Increased numbers of eligible voters, including a record share of EU citizens and the first-time inclusion of 16- and 17-year-olds in the Abgeordnetenhaus contest, have expanded the electorate beyond the 2.44 million who participated in the 2023 repeat election that recorded 62.9% turnout. The September 20, 2026, vote coincides with district assembly elections and forms part of Germany's broader state election cycle, sustaining media attention and campaign activity across parties. Polling shows a fragmented contest involving the CDU-SPD coalition, Greens, Left Party, and AfD, which traders interpret as a catalyst for greater mobilization relative to the prior low-turnout baseline. These structural and contextual factors underpin the market's strong consensus favoring higher participation.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于上升
89% 概率
最新
最新
2026-09-20
上升
89% 概率
最新
最新
2026-09-20
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Up" if the turnout in the specified election is higher than 62.9%.
This market will resolve to "Down" if the turnout in the specified election is lower than 62.9%.
If the reported turnout is exactly 62.9%, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the specified election, defined as the total number of voters who participated, divided by the total number of eligible voters. Qualifying figures must be final; preliminary results will not be considered.
The level of precision considered will be one decimal place; if presented otherwise, the figure will be rounded to one decimal place before comparison.
If voting in the specified election does not occur or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based solely on the finalized official results as published by the authoritative sources such as the Landeswahlleiterin für Berlin (https://www.wahlen-berlin.de/) and the Amt für Statistik Berlin-Brandenburg (https://www.statistik-berlin-brandenburg.de/wahlen-berlin/).Increased numbers of eligible voters, including a record share of EU citizens and the first-time inclusion of 16- and 17-year-olds in the Abgeordnetenhaus contest, have expanded the electorate beyond the 2.44 million who participated in the 2023 repeat election that recorded 62.9% turnout. The September 20, 2026, vote coincides with district assembly elections and forms part of Germany's broader state election cycle, sustaining media attention and campaign activity across parties. Polling shows a fragmented contest involving the CDU-SPD coalition, Greens, Left Party, and AfD, which traders interpret as a catalyst for greater mobilization relative to the prior low-turnout baseline. These structural and contextual factors underpin the market's strong consensus favoring higher participation.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Up" if the turnout in the specified election is higher than 62.9%.
This market will resolve to "Down" if the turnout in the specified election is lower than 62.9%.
If the reported turnout is exactly 62.9%, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the specified election, defined as the total number of voters who participated, divided by the total number of eligible voters. Qualifying figures must be final; preliminary results will not be considered.
The level of precision considered will be one decimal place; if presented otherwise, the figure will be rounded to one decimal place before comparison.
If voting in the specified election does not occur or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based solely on the finalized official results as published by the authoritative sources such as the Landeswahlleiterin für Berlin (https://www.wahlen-berlin.de/) and the Amt für Statistik Berlin-Brandenburg (https://www.statistik-berlin-brandenburg.de/wahlen-berlin/).
This market will resolve to "Up" if the turnout in the specified election is higher than 62.9%.
This market will resolve to "Down" if the turnout in the specified election is lower than 62.9%.
If the reported turnout is exactly 62.9%, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the specified election, defined as the total number of voters who participated, divided by the total number of eligible voters. Qualifying figures must be final; preliminary results will not be considered.
The level of precision considered will be one decimal place; if presented otherwise, the figure will be rounded to one decimal place before comparison.
If voting in the specified election does not occur or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based solely on the finalized official results as published by the authoritative sources such as the Landeswahlleiterin für Berlin (https://www.wahlen-berlin.de/) and the Amt für Statistik Berlin-Brandenburg (https://www.statistik-berlin-brandenburg.de/wahlen-berlin/).
市场开放时间： Aug 6, 2026, 8:50 PM ET
交易量
$1,961结束日期
2026-09-20市场开放时间
Aug 6, 2026, 8:50 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Up" if the turnout in the specified election is higher than 62.9%.
This market will resolve to "Down" if the turnout in the specified election is lower than 62.9%.
If the reported turnout is exactly 62.9%, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the specified election, defined as the total number of voters who participated, divided by the total number of eligible voters. Qualifying figures must be final; preliminary results will not be considered.
The level of precision considered will be one decimal place; if presented otherwise, the figure will be rounded to one decimal place before comparison.
If voting in the specified election does not occur or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based solely on the finalized official results as published by the authoritative sources such as the Landeswahlleiterin für Berlin (https://www.wahlen-berlin.de/) and the Amt für Statistik Berlin-Brandenburg (https://www.statistik-berlin-brandenburg.de/wahlen-berlin/).Increased numbers of eligible voters, including a record share of EU citizens and the first-time inclusion of 16- and 17-year-olds in the Abgeordnetenhaus contest, have expanded the electorate beyond the 2.44 million who participated in the 2023 repeat election that recorded 62.9% turnout. The September 20, 2026, vote coincides with district assembly elections and forms part of Germany's broader state election cycle, sustaining media attention and campaign activity across parties. Polling shows a fragmented contest involving the CDU-SPD coalition, Greens, Left Party, and AfD, which traders interpret as a catalyst for greater mobilization relative to the prior low-turnout baseline. These structural and contextual factors underpin the market's strong consensus favoring higher participation.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Up" if the turnout in the specified election is higher than 62.9%.
This market will resolve to "Down" if the turnout in the specified election is lower than 62.9%.
If the reported turnout is exactly 62.9%, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the specified election, defined as the total number of voters who participated, divided by the total number of eligible voters. Qualifying figures must be final; preliminary results will not be considered.
The level of precision considered will be one decimal place; if presented otherwise, the figure will be rounded to one decimal place before comparison.
If voting in the specified election does not occur or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based solely on the finalized official results as published by the authoritative sources such as the Landeswahlleiterin für Berlin (https://www.wahlen-berlin.de/) and the Amt für Statistik Berlin-Brandenburg (https://www.statistik-berlin-brandenburg.de/wahlen-berlin/).
This market will resolve to "Up" if the turnout in the specified election is higher than 62.9%.
This market will resolve to "Down" if the turnout in the specified election is lower than 62.9%.
If the reported turnout is exactly 62.9%, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the specified election, defined as the total number of voters who participated, divided by the total number of eligible voters. Qualifying figures must be final; preliminary results will not be considered.
The level of precision considered will be one decimal place; if presented otherwise, the figure will be rounded to one decimal place before comparison.
If voting in the specified election does not occur or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based solely on the finalized official results as published by the authoritative sources such as the Landeswahlleiterin für Berlin (https://www.wahlen-berlin.de/) and the Amt für Statistik Berlin-Brandenburg (https://www.statistik-berlin-brandenburg.de/wahlen-berlin/).
交易量
$1,961结束日期
2026-09-20市场开放时间
Aug 6, 2026, 8:50 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Increased numbers of eligible voters, including a record share of EU citizens and the first-time inclusion of 16- and 17-year-olds in the Abgeordnetenhaus contest, have expanded the electorate beyond the 2.44 million who participated in the 2023 repeat election that recorded 62.9% turnout. The September 20, 2026, vote coincides with district assembly elections and forms part of Germany's broader state election cycle, sustaining media attention and campaign activity across parties. Polling shows a fragmented contest involving the CDU-SPD coalition, Greens, Left Party, and AfD, which traders interpret as a catalyst for greater mobilization relative to the prior low-turnout baseline. These structural and contextual factors underpin the market's strong consensus favoring higher participation.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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