Utah's 4th Congressional District maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in unanimous expert ratings of Solid or Safe Republican from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Incumbent Mike Kennedy faces limited Democratic opposition from Jonny Larsen, who advanced unopposed after the June Democratic primary was canceled. Court-ordered redistricting left the seat's partisan balance largely intact, consistent with its history of Republican dominance in general elections. Trader consensus at 90.5% for the Republican nominee aligns with this structural advantage and the absence of competitive polling or fundraising signals for Democrats. A major national Democratic wave or unforeseen candidate issue could narrow the gap, though the district's voting patterns make such shifts improbable by November 2026.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$15,043 交易量
$15,043 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
91%
民主党
9%
$15,043 交易量
$15,043 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$5,494 交易量
91%
民主党
$9,549 交易量
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Utah's 4th Congressional District maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in unanimous expert ratings of Solid or Safe Republican from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Incumbent Mike Kennedy faces limited Democratic opposition from Jonny Larsen, who advanced unopposed after the June Democratic primary was canceled. Court-ordered redistricting left the seat's partisan balance largely intact, consistent with its history of Republican dominance in general elections. Trader consensus at 90.5% for the Republican nominee aligns with this structural advantage and the absence of competitive polling or fundraising signals for Democrats. A major national Democratic wave or unforeseen candidate issue could narrow the gap, though the district's voting patterns make such shifts improbable by November 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
交易量
$15,043结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Utah's 4th Congressional District maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in unanimous expert ratings of Solid or Safe Republican from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Incumbent Mike Kennedy faces limited Democratic opposition from Jonny Larsen, who advanced unopposed after the June Democratic primary was canceled. Court-ordered redistricting left the seat's partisan balance largely intact, consistent with its history of Republican dominance in general elections. Trader consensus at 90.5% for the Republican nominee aligns with this structural advantage and the absence of competitive polling or fundraising signals for Democrats. A major national Democratic wave or unforeseen candidate issue could narrow the gap, though the district's voting patterns make such shifts improbable by November 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$15,043结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Utah's 4th Congressional District maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in unanimous expert ratings of Solid or Safe Republican from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Incumbent Mike Kennedy faces limited Democratic opposition from Jonny Larsen, who advanced unopposed after the June Democratic primary was canceled. Court-ordered redistricting left the seat's partisan balance largely intact, consistent with its history of Republican dominance in general elections. Trader consensus at 90.5% for the Republican nominee aligns with this structural advantage and the absence of competitive polling or fundraising signals for Democrats. A major national Democratic wave or unforeseen candidate issue could narrow the gap, though the district's voting patterns make such shifts improbable by November 2026.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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