Utah’s 4th congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles. Incumbent Mike Kennedy secured the Republican nomination with overwhelming convention support and faces limited primary opposition ahead of the June 23 vote. Democratic nominee Jonny Larsen and minor-party candidates trail significantly in a district rated Solid or Safe Republican by major forecasters. Court-ordered redistricting altered neighboring seats more substantially but left UT-04’s underlying partisan balance intact. Trader consensus at 90.5% Republican therefore tracks the seat’s structural advantages and the absence of competitive Democratic infrastructure. A late scandal, unusually high Democratic turnout, or national wave could narrow the gap, though historical patterns and current candidate positioning make such shifts unlikely before November.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$20,526 交易量
$20,526 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
93%
民主党
6%
$20,526 交易量
$20,526 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$7,449 交易量
93%
民主党
$13,077 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Utah’s 4th congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles. Incumbent Mike Kennedy secured the Republican nomination with overwhelming convention support and faces limited primary opposition ahead of the June 23 vote. Democratic nominee Jonny Larsen and minor-party candidates trail significantly in a district rated Solid or Safe Republican by major forecasters. Court-ordered redistricting altered neighboring seats more substantially but left UT-04’s underlying partisan balance intact. Trader consensus at 90.5% Republican therefore tracks the seat’s structural advantages and the absence of competitive Democratic infrastructure. A late scandal, unusually high Democratic turnout, or national wave could narrow the gap, though historical patterns and current candidate positioning make such shifts unlikely before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
交易量
$20,526结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Utah’s 4th congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles. Incumbent Mike Kennedy secured the Republican nomination with overwhelming convention support and faces limited primary opposition ahead of the June 23 vote. Democratic nominee Jonny Larsen and minor-party candidates trail significantly in a district rated Solid or Safe Republican by major forecasters. Court-ordered redistricting altered neighboring seats more substantially but left UT-04’s underlying partisan balance intact. Trader consensus at 90.5% Republican therefore tracks the seat’s structural advantages and the absence of competitive Democratic infrastructure. A late scandal, unusually high Democratic turnout, or national wave could narrow the gap, though historical patterns and current candidate positioning make such shifts unlikely before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$20,526结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Utah’s 4th congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles. Incumbent Mike Kennedy secured the Republican nomination with overwhelming convention support and faces limited primary opposition ahead of the June 23 vote. Democratic nominee Jonny Larsen and minor-party candidates trail significantly in a district rated Solid or Safe Republican by major forecasters. Court-ordered redistricting altered neighboring seats more substantially but left UT-04’s underlying partisan balance intact. Trader consensus at 90.5% Republican therefore tracks the seat’s structural advantages and the absence of competitive Democratic infrastructure. A late scandal, unusually high Democratic turnout, or national wave could narrow the gap, though historical patterns and current candidate positioning make such shifts unlikely before November.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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