**Utah’s 2nd congressional district has been redrawn ahead of the 2026 cycle, creating a solidly Republican seat that encompasses northern counties including parts of Davis and Weber.** Nonpartisan analysts rate the general election Safe or Solid Republican, consistent with the district’s strong performance for GOP candidates in recent cycles. The June 23 Republican primary between incumbent Blake Moore and challenger Karianne Lisonbee is the only competitive contest; Moore holds a substantial lead in available polling. Democrat Peter Crosby advanced without opposition after the Democratic primary was canceled, leaving no serious challenge in the general election. With early voting underway and the GOP nominee expected to prevail comfortably, traders have priced the Republican outcome at 88.5 percent, reflecting the district’s partisan composition and limited path for Democratic gains.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于共和党
89%
民主党
14%
共和党
89%
民主党
14%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间: Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...**Utah’s 2nd congressional district has been redrawn ahead of the 2026 cycle, creating a solidly Republican seat that encompasses northern counties including parts of Davis and Weber.** Nonpartisan analysts rate the general election Safe or Solid Republican, consistent with the district’s strong performance for GOP candidates in recent cycles. The June 23 Republican primary between incumbent Blake Moore and challenger Karianne Lisonbee is the only competitive contest; Moore holds a substantial lead in available polling. Democrat Peter Crosby advanced without opposition after the Democratic primary was canceled, leaving no serious challenge in the general election. With early voting underway and the GOP nominee expected to prevail comfortably, traders have priced the Republican outcome at 88.5 percent, reflecting the district’s partisan composition and limited path for Democratic gains.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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