Incumbent Republican Blake Moore secured the nomination in the June 2026 primary for Utah’s 2nd congressional district following court-ordered redistricting that shifted boundaries northward and strengthened the seat’s Republican tilt, with Donald Trump carrying the new lines by 29 points in 2024. Moore’s established record and primary performance have solidified party unity behind him against Democratic nominee Peter Crosby, producing the current trader consensus that places the Republican Party at 93.5 percent implied probability. Utah’s consistent Republican voting patterns, limited crossover appeal for challengers, and the absence of competitive polling or fundraising data supporting a Democratic path have reinforced this positioning. Late developments such as a major scandal, unexpected national midterm wave, or unusually high Democratic turnout could still alter the outcome before the November 3 general election, though no such factors have emerged.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-04
共和党
94%
民主党
6%
最新
最新
2026-11-04
共和党
$1,105 交易量
94%
民主党
$5,691 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Blake Moore secured the nomination in the June 2026 primary for Utah’s 2nd congressional district following court-ordered redistricting that shifted boundaries northward and strengthened the seat’s Republican tilt, with Donald Trump carrying the new lines by 29 points in 2024. Moore’s established record and primary performance have solidified party unity behind him against Democratic nominee Peter Crosby, producing the current trader consensus that places the Republican Party at 93.5 percent implied probability. Utah’s consistent Republican voting patterns, limited crossover appeal for challengers, and the absence of competitive polling or fundraising data supporting a Democratic path have reinforced this positioning. Late developments such as a major scandal, unexpected national midterm wave, or unusually high Democratic turnout could still alter the outcome before the November 3 general election, though no such factors have emerged.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ET
交易量
$6,796结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Blake Moore secured the nomination in the June 2026 primary for Utah’s 2nd congressional district following court-ordered redistricting that shifted boundaries northward and strengthened the seat’s Republican tilt, with Donald Trump carrying the new lines by 29 points in 2024. Moore’s established record and primary performance have solidified party unity behind him against Democratic nominee Peter Crosby, producing the current trader consensus that places the Republican Party at 93.5 percent implied probability. Utah’s consistent Republican voting patterns, limited crossover appeal for challengers, and the absence of competitive polling or fundraising data supporting a Democratic path have reinforced this positioning. Late developments such as a major scandal, unexpected national midterm wave, or unusually high Democratic turnout could still alter the outcome before the November 3 general election, though no such factors have emerged.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$6,796结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Blake Moore secured the nomination in the June 2026 primary for Utah’s 2nd congressional district following court-ordered redistricting that shifted boundaries northward and strengthened the seat’s Republican tilt, with Donald Trump carrying the new lines by 29 points in 2024. Moore’s established record and primary performance have solidified party unity behind him against Democratic nominee Peter Crosby, producing the current trader consensus that places the Republican Party at 93.5 percent implied probability. Utah’s consistent Republican voting patterns, limited crossover appeal for challengers, and the absence of competitive polling or fundraising data supporting a Democratic path have reinforced this positioning. Late developments such as a major scandal, unexpected national midterm wave, or unusually high Democratic turnout could still alter the outcome before the November 3 general election, though no such factors have emerged.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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