Utah’s 2nd congressional district maintains a strong Republican lean, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles. With the June 23 Republican primary featuring incumbent Blake Moore holding a substantial lead over challenger Karianne Lisonbee in available polling, the eventual GOP nominee faces limited general-election opposition from Democrat Peter Crosby, who advanced unopposed after other candidates withdrew. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with Utah’s broader electoral patterns and the absence of major recent shifts in voter registration or turnout dynamics. Traders price the Republican outcome at 88.5% to capture this structural advantage and the limited window for Democratic inroads before November.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-04
共和党
89%
民主党
16%
最新
最新
2026-11-04
共和党
$713 交易量
89%
民主党
$760 交易量
16%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Utah’s 2nd congressional district maintains a strong Republican lean, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles. With the June 23 Republican primary featuring incumbent Blake Moore holding a substantial lead over challenger Karianne Lisonbee in available polling, the eventual GOP nominee faces limited general-election opposition from Democrat Peter Crosby, who advanced unopposed after other candidates withdrew. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with Utah’s broader electoral patterns and the absence of major recent shifts in voter registration or turnout dynamics. Traders price the Republican outcome at 88.5% to capture this structural advantage and the limited window for Democratic inroads before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ET
交易量
$1,473结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Utah’s 2nd congressional district maintains a strong Republican lean, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles. With the June 23 Republican primary featuring incumbent Blake Moore holding a substantial lead over challenger Karianne Lisonbee in available polling, the eventual GOP nominee faces limited general-election opposition from Democrat Peter Crosby, who advanced unopposed after other candidates withdrew. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with Utah’s broader electoral patterns and the absence of major recent shifts in voter registration or turnout dynamics. Traders price the Republican outcome at 88.5% to capture this structural advantage and the limited window for Democratic inroads before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$1,473结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Utah’s 2nd congressional district maintains a strong Republican lean, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles. With the June 23 Republican primary featuring incumbent Blake Moore holding a substantial lead over challenger Karianne Lisonbee in available polling, the eventual GOP nominee faces limited general-election opposition from Democrat Peter Crosby, who advanced unopposed after other candidates withdrew. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with Utah’s broader electoral patterns and the absence of major recent shifts in voter registration or turnout dynamics. Traders price the Republican outcome at 88.5% to capture this structural advantage and the limited window for Democratic inroads before November.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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