Utah’s 3rd congressional district remains a reliably Republican seat based on historical voting patterns and recent statewide results. Incumbent Celeste Maloy secured the GOP nomination in the June 2026 primary with roughly two-thirds of the vote, defeating challenger Phil Lyman and advancing as the clear nominee against Democrat Kent Udell and several minor-party candidates. The district’s conservative electorate, combined with Maloy’s established incumbency and primary consolidation, underpins the overwhelming trader consensus favoring the Republican Party. A realistic shift in odds would require an unforeseen late-cycle development such as a major scandal affecting the nominee, an unusually strong Democratic national environment, or significant turnout surprises in suburban or rural precincts that have not materialized in prior cycles.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-04
共和党
94%
民主党
6%
最新
最新
2026-11-04
共和党
$4,448 交易量
94%
民主党
$2,173 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Utah’s 3rd congressional district remains a reliably Republican seat based on historical voting patterns and recent statewide results. Incumbent Celeste Maloy secured the GOP nomination in the June 2026 primary with roughly two-thirds of the vote, defeating challenger Phil Lyman and advancing as the clear nominee against Democrat Kent Udell and several minor-party candidates. The district’s conservative electorate, combined with Maloy’s established incumbency and primary consolidation, underpins the overwhelming trader consensus favoring the Republican Party. A realistic shift in odds would require an unforeseen late-cycle development such as a major scandal affecting the nominee, an unusually strong Democratic national environment, or significant turnout surprises in suburban or rural precincts that have not materialized in prior cycles.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ET
交易量
$6,621结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Utah’s 3rd congressional district remains a reliably Republican seat based on historical voting patterns and recent statewide results. Incumbent Celeste Maloy secured the GOP nomination in the June 2026 primary with roughly two-thirds of the vote, defeating challenger Phil Lyman and advancing as the clear nominee against Democrat Kent Udell and several minor-party candidates. The district’s conservative electorate, combined with Maloy’s established incumbency and primary consolidation, underpins the overwhelming trader consensus favoring the Republican Party. A realistic shift in odds would require an unforeseen late-cycle development such as a major scandal affecting the nominee, an unusually strong Democratic national environment, or significant turnout surprises in suburban or rural precincts that have not materialized in prior cycles.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$6,621结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Utah’s 3rd congressional district remains a reliably Republican seat based on historical voting patterns and recent statewide results. Incumbent Celeste Maloy secured the GOP nomination in the June 2026 primary with roughly two-thirds of the vote, defeating challenger Phil Lyman and advancing as the clear nominee against Democrat Kent Udell and several minor-party candidates. The district’s conservative electorate, combined with Maloy’s established incumbency and primary consolidation, underpins the overwhelming trader consensus favoring the Republican Party. A realistic shift in odds would require an unforeseen late-cycle development such as a major scandal affecting the nominee, an unusually strong Democratic national environment, or significant turnout surprises in suburban or rural precincts that have not materialized in prior cycles.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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