Utah’s 3rd Congressional District features a Republican primary on June 23, 2026, between incumbent Celeste Maloy and challenger Phil Lyman after Maloy secured a narrow 51-49 delegate victory at the April state convention. The newly redrawn district, shaped by court-ordered map changes, carries a strongly Republican partisan voting index and receives Solid or Safe Republican ratings from major forecasters. Democratic nominee Kent Udell faces structural headwinds in a seat where Republicans have historically dominated general elections. The June 1 primary debate highlighted overlapping positions on key issues such as water, public lands, and growth, leaving the nomination outcome as the primary near-term variable. Traders appear to assign elevated uncertainty to the Republican nominee’s path and the impact of redistricting relative to historical baselines, producing the current 56-43.5 split.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-04
民主党
43%
共和党
57%
最新
最新
2026-11-04
民主党
$70 交易量
43%
共和党
$372 交易量
57%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Utah’s 3rd Congressional District features a Republican primary on June 23, 2026, between incumbent Celeste Maloy and challenger Phil Lyman after Maloy secured a narrow 51-49 delegate victory at the April state convention. The newly redrawn district, shaped by court-ordered map changes, carries a strongly Republican partisan voting index and receives Solid or Safe Republican ratings from major forecasters. Democratic nominee Kent Udell faces structural headwinds in a seat where Republicans have historically dominated general elections. The June 1 primary debate highlighted overlapping positions on key issues such as water, public lands, and growth, leaving the nomination outcome as the primary near-term variable. Traders appear to assign elevated uncertainty to the Republican nominee’s path and the impact of redistricting relative to historical baselines, producing the current 56-43.5 split.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ET
交易量
$442结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Utah’s 3rd Congressional District features a Republican primary on June 23, 2026, between incumbent Celeste Maloy and challenger Phil Lyman after Maloy secured a narrow 51-49 delegate victory at the April state convention. The newly redrawn district, shaped by court-ordered map changes, carries a strongly Republican partisan voting index and receives Solid or Safe Republican ratings from major forecasters. Democratic nominee Kent Udell faces structural headwinds in a seat where Republicans have historically dominated general elections. The June 1 primary debate highlighted overlapping positions on key issues such as water, public lands, and growth, leaving the nomination outcome as the primary near-term variable. Traders appear to assign elevated uncertainty to the Republican nominee’s path and the impact of redistricting relative to historical baselines, producing the current 56-43.5 split.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$442结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Utah’s 3rd Congressional District features a Republican primary on June 23, 2026, between incumbent Celeste Maloy and challenger Phil Lyman after Maloy secured a narrow 51-49 delegate victory at the April state convention. The newly redrawn district, shaped by court-ordered map changes, carries a strongly Republican partisan voting index and receives Solid or Safe Republican ratings from major forecasters. Democratic nominee Kent Udell faces structural headwinds in a seat where Republicans have historically dominated general elections. The June 1 primary debate highlighted overlapping positions on key issues such as water, public lands, and growth, leaving the nomination outcome as the primary near-term variable. Traders appear to assign elevated uncertainty to the Republican nominee’s path and the impact of redistricting relative to historical baselines, producing the current 56-43.5 split.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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