Incumbent Republican Jack Bergman secured his party's nomination in the August 4 primary for Michigan's 1st congressional district, reinforcing trader expectations in a race rated Solid or Safe Republican by nonpartisan analysts. The district's partisan voting index favors the GOP by double digits, reflecting consistent support in rural and northern Michigan areas. Democratic primary contenders, including Callie Barr and Kyle Blomquist, face structural challenges in a seat held by Republicans since 2017. With the general election set for November 3, 2026, the current 87% Republican consensus among prediction market participants aligns with historical base rates for comparable safe seats and the absence of major shifts from polling trends or candidate developments in recent weeks.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$19,276 交易量
$19,276 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
87%
民主党
14%
$19,276 交易量
$19,276 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$10,750 交易量
87%
民主党
$8,525 交易量
14%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Jack Bergman secured his party's nomination in the August 4 primary for Michigan's 1st congressional district, reinforcing trader expectations in a race rated Solid or Safe Republican by nonpartisan analysts. The district's partisan voting index favors the GOP by double digits, reflecting consistent support in rural and northern Michigan areas. Democratic primary contenders, including Callie Barr and Kyle Blomquist, face structural challenges in a seat held by Republicans since 2017. With the general election set for November 3, 2026, the current 87% Republican consensus among prediction market participants aligns with historical base rates for comparable safe seats and the absence of major shifts from polling trends or candidate developments in recent weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
交易量
$19,276结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Jack Bergman secured his party's nomination in the August 4 primary for Michigan's 1st congressional district, reinforcing trader expectations in a race rated Solid or Safe Republican by nonpartisan analysts. The district's partisan voting index favors the GOP by double digits, reflecting consistent support in rural and northern Michigan areas. Democratic primary contenders, including Callie Barr and Kyle Blomquist, face structural challenges in a seat held by Republicans since 2017. With the general election set for November 3, 2026, the current 87% Republican consensus among prediction market participants aligns with historical base rates for comparable safe seats and the absence of major shifts from polling trends or candidate developments in recent weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$19,276结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Jack Bergman secured his party's nomination in the August 4 primary for Michigan's 1st congressional district, reinforcing trader expectations in a race rated Solid or Safe Republican by nonpartisan analysts. The district's partisan voting index favors the GOP by double digits, reflecting consistent support in rural and northern Michigan areas. Democratic primary contenders, including Callie Barr and Kyle Blomquist, face structural challenges in a seat held by Republicans since 2017. With the general election set for November 3, 2026, the current 87% Republican consensus among prediction market participants aligns with historical base rates for comparable safe seats and the absence of major shifts from polling trends or candidate developments in recent weeks.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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