Incumbent Republican Jack Bergman holds a strong position in Michigan's 1st congressional district, a seat with an R+11 partisan voting index where Donald Trump received 60% support in 2024. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November 2026 general election, citing the district's consistent GOP performance and Bergman's prior 59% victory. Multiple Democratic primary candidates, including 2024 nominee Callie Barr, face an uphill path in this northern Michigan and Upper Peninsula area. With primaries scheduled for August 4, trader consensus on Republican retention at 71.5% aligns with these structural factors and limited recent polling movement in competitive House contests elsewhere in the state.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$13,121 交易量
$13,121 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
72%
民主党
22%
$13,121 交易量
$13,121 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$6,516 交易量
72%
民主党
$6,606 交易量
22%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Jack Bergman holds a strong position in Michigan's 1st congressional district, a seat with an R+11 partisan voting index where Donald Trump received 60% support in 2024. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November 2026 general election, citing the district's consistent GOP performance and Bergman's prior 59% victory. Multiple Democratic primary candidates, including 2024 nominee Callie Barr, face an uphill path in this northern Michigan and Upper Peninsula area. With primaries scheduled for August 4, trader consensus on Republican retention at 71.5% aligns with these structural factors and limited recent polling movement in competitive House contests elsewhere in the state.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
交易量
$13,121结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Jack Bergman holds a strong position in Michigan's 1st congressional district, a seat with an R+11 partisan voting index where Donald Trump received 60% support in 2024. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November 2026 general election, citing the district's consistent GOP performance and Bergman's prior 59% victory. Multiple Democratic primary candidates, including 2024 nominee Callie Barr, face an uphill path in this northern Michigan and Upper Peninsula area. With primaries scheduled for August 4, trader consensus on Republican retention at 71.5% aligns with these structural factors and limited recent polling movement in competitive House contests elsewhere in the state.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$13,121结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Jack Bergman holds a strong position in Michigan's 1st congressional district, a seat with an R+11 partisan voting index where Donald Trump received 60% support in 2024. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November 2026 general election, citing the district's consistent GOP performance and Bergman's prior 59% victory. Multiple Democratic primary candidates, including 2024 nominee Callie Barr, face an uphill path in this northern Michigan and Upper Peninsula area. With primaries scheduled for August 4, trader consensus on Republican retention at 71.5% aligns with these structural factors and limited recent polling movement in competitive House contests elsewhere in the state.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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