Incumbent Democrat Bobby Scott has represented Virginia’s 3rd Congressional District since 1993 and won re-election in 2024 with roughly 70 percent of the vote in a seat rated Solid Democratic by Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. The district’s strong partisan voter index and consistent Democratic performance in presidential and statewide races underpin trader consensus around a wide margin for the Democratic nominee. Recent redistricting litigation left the existing map in place, preserving the district’s current boundaries and partisan balance. A low-profile Republican challenger has drawn limited fundraising and visibility. A major scandal, serious health event for the incumbent, or an unprecedented national political shift could narrow the gap, though historical patterns suggest such outcomes remain remote in this heavily Democratic territory.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$36,750 交易量
$36,750 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
94%
共和党
6%
$36,750 交易量
$36,750 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$20,078 交易量
94%
共和党
$16,672 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Bobby Scott has represented Virginia’s 3rd Congressional District since 1993 and won re-election in 2024 with roughly 70 percent of the vote in a seat rated Solid Democratic by Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. The district’s strong partisan voter index and consistent Democratic performance in presidential and statewide races underpin trader consensus around a wide margin for the Democratic nominee. Recent redistricting litigation left the existing map in place, preserving the district’s current boundaries and partisan balance. A low-profile Republican challenger has drawn limited fundraising and visibility. A major scandal, serious health event for the incumbent, or an unprecedented national political shift could narrow the gap, though historical patterns suggest such outcomes remain remote in this heavily Democratic territory.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
交易量
$36,750结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Bobby Scott has represented Virginia’s 3rd Congressional District since 1993 and won re-election in 2024 with roughly 70 percent of the vote in a seat rated Solid Democratic by Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. The district’s strong partisan voter index and consistent Democratic performance in presidential and statewide races underpin trader consensus around a wide margin for the Democratic nominee. Recent redistricting litigation left the existing map in place, preserving the district’s current boundaries and partisan balance. A low-profile Republican challenger has drawn limited fundraising and visibility. A major scandal, serious health event for the incumbent, or an unprecedented national political shift could narrow the gap, though historical patterns suggest such outcomes remain remote in this heavily Democratic territory.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$36,750结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Bobby Scott has represented Virginia’s 3rd Congressional District since 1993 and won re-election in 2024 with roughly 70 percent of the vote in a seat rated Solid Democratic by Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. The district’s strong partisan voter index and consistent Democratic performance in presidential and statewide races underpin trader consensus around a wide margin for the Democratic nominee. Recent redistricting litigation left the existing map in place, preserving the district’s current boundaries and partisan balance. A low-profile Republican challenger has drawn limited fundraising and visibility. A major scandal, serious health event for the incumbent, or an unprecedented national political shift could narrow the gap, though historical patterns suggest such outcomes remain remote in this heavily Democratic territory.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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