The district's entrenched Democratic lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+18 and consistent "Solid Democratic" or "Safe Democratic" ratings from major forecasters, underpins the overwhelming trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Longtime incumbent Robert C. Scott faces minimal primary opposition ahead of the August 4 contest and only token Republican challengers such as Edwin Rivera in the November 3 general election, with the seat encompassing reliably Democratic areas of Hampton Roads including Norfolk and Newport News. Historical margins and the absence of recent polling shifts or major political catalysts reinforce this positioning. Late developments that could still alter outcomes include an unexpected primary upset, health-related withdrawal by the incumbent, or unusually high Republican turnout in the broader midterm environment.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$36,750 交易量
$36,750 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
94%
共和党
6%
$36,750 交易量
$36,750 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$20,078 交易量
94%
共和党
$16,672 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The district's entrenched Democratic lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+18 and consistent "Solid Democratic" or "Safe Democratic" ratings from major forecasters, underpins the overwhelming trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Longtime incumbent Robert C. Scott faces minimal primary opposition ahead of the August 4 contest and only token Republican challengers such as Edwin Rivera in the November 3 general election, with the seat encompassing reliably Democratic areas of Hampton Roads including Norfolk and Newport News. Historical margins and the absence of recent polling shifts or major political catalysts reinforce this positioning. Late developments that could still alter outcomes include an unexpected primary upset, health-related withdrawal by the incumbent, or unusually high Republican turnout in the broader midterm environment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
交易量
$36,750结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The district's entrenched Democratic lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+18 and consistent "Solid Democratic" or "Safe Democratic" ratings from major forecasters, underpins the overwhelming trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Longtime incumbent Robert C. Scott faces minimal primary opposition ahead of the August 4 contest and only token Republican challengers such as Edwin Rivera in the November 3 general election, with the seat encompassing reliably Democratic areas of Hampton Roads including Norfolk and Newport News. Historical margins and the absence of recent polling shifts or major political catalysts reinforce this positioning. Late developments that could still alter outcomes include an unexpected primary upset, health-related withdrawal by the incumbent, or unusually high Republican turnout in the broader midterm environment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$36,750结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The district's entrenched Democratic lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+18 and consistent "Solid Democratic" or "Safe Democratic" ratings from major forecasters, underpins the overwhelming trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Longtime incumbent Robert C. Scott faces minimal primary opposition ahead of the August 4 contest and only token Republican challengers such as Edwin Rivera in the November 3 general election, with the seat encompassing reliably Democratic areas of Hampton Roads including Norfolk and Newport News. Historical margins and the absence of recent polling shifts or major political catalysts reinforce this positioning. Late developments that could still alter outcomes include an unexpected primary upset, health-related withdrawal by the incumbent, or unusually high Republican turnout in the broader midterm environment.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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