Democratic incumbent Robert C. Scott holds a commanding position in Virginia's 3rd congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election, with trader consensus reflecting the seat's consistent Democratic lean and Scott's long record of strong performance. The district, encompassing parts of Hampton Roads including Norfolk and Newport News, has delivered large margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles, supported by its voter composition and historical turnout patterns. Race ratings from major forecasters classify the contest as solid or safe Democratic, with limited Republican opposition and no recent developments indicating a shift in the underlying electoral fundamentals. While an unusually large national partisan swing, late primary surprise, or unforeseen candidate withdrawal could theoretically alter the trajectory before November, such outcomes remain low-probability based on current structural advantages.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$36,750 交易量
$36,750 交易量
民主党
94%
共和党
6%
$36,750 交易量
$36,750 交易量
民主党
94%
共和党
6%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Democratic incumbent Robert C. Scott holds a commanding position in Virginia's 3rd congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election, with trader consensus reflecting the seat's consistent Democratic lean and Scott's long record of strong performance. The district, encompassing parts of Hampton Roads including Norfolk and Newport News, has delivered large margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles, supported by its voter composition and historical turnout patterns. Race ratings from major forecasters classify the contest as solid or safe Democratic, with limited Republican opposition and no recent developments indicating a shift in the underlying electoral fundamentals. While an unusually large national partisan swing, late primary surprise, or unforeseen candidate withdrawal could theoretically alter the trajectory before November, such outcomes remain low-probability based on current structural advantages.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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