Incumbent Democrat Bobby Scott faces limited opposition in Virginia's 3rd congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election. The district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in recent presidential results and a D+18 partisan voting index, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 93.5%. Scott advanced unopposed after the August 2026 Democratic primary was canceled, while Republican Edwin Rivera secured his party's nomination. Multiple forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic based on historical margins exceeding 30 points. Potential shifts could arise from an unforeseen national political wave, candidate withdrawal, or late-breaking scandal, though structural factors and low Republican baseline support constrain such outcomes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$42,234 交易量
$42,234 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
94%
共和党
6%
$42,234 交易量
$42,234 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$20,585 交易量
94%
共和党
$21,649 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Bobby Scott faces limited opposition in Virginia's 3rd congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election. The district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in recent presidential results and a D+18 partisan voting index, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 93.5%. Scott advanced unopposed after the August 2026 Democratic primary was canceled, while Republican Edwin Rivera secured his party's nomination. Multiple forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic based on historical margins exceeding 30 points. Potential shifts could arise from an unforeseen national political wave, candidate withdrawal, or late-breaking scandal, though structural factors and low Republican baseline support constrain such outcomes.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
交易量
$42,234结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Bobby Scott faces limited opposition in Virginia's 3rd congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election. The district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in recent presidential results and a D+18 partisan voting index, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 93.5%. Scott advanced unopposed after the August 2026 Democratic primary was canceled, while Republican Edwin Rivera secured his party's nomination. Multiple forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic based on historical margins exceeding 30 points. Potential shifts could arise from an unforeseen national political wave, candidate withdrawal, or late-breaking scandal, though structural factors and low Republican baseline support constrain such outcomes.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$42,234结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Bobby Scott faces limited opposition in Virginia's 3rd congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election. The district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in recent presidential results and a D+18 partisan voting index, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 93.5%. Scott advanced unopposed after the August 2026 Democratic primary was canceled, while Republican Edwin Rivera secured his party's nomination. Multiple forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic based on historical margins exceeding 30 points. Potential shifts could arise from an unforeseen national political wave, candidate withdrawal, or late-breaking scandal, though structural factors and low Republican baseline support constrain such outcomes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题