Sarah Elfreth, the Democratic incumbent first elected in 2024, holds a commanding position in Maryland’s 3rd congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election. The district’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in its partisan voting index and consistent results, underpins the 94.5% trader consensus for the Democratic nominee. Elfreth benefits from name recognition, established fundraising, and the absence of competitive Republican challengers in a seat last won by Democrats with nearly 60% of the vote. The June 23 Democratic primary features several opponents, yet filings and outreach indicate limited momentum against the incumbent. A Republican victory would require an extraordinary national swing, major Democratic scandal, or unprecedented turnout shift within the resolution window.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$27,266 交易量
$27,266 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
95%
共和党
6%
$27,266 交易量
$27,266 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$20,444 交易量
95%
共和党
$6,822 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Sarah Elfreth, the Democratic incumbent first elected in 2024, holds a commanding position in Maryland’s 3rd congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election. The district’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in its partisan voting index and consistent results, underpins the 94.5% trader consensus for the Democratic nominee. Elfreth benefits from name recognition, established fundraising, and the absence of competitive Republican challengers in a seat last won by Democrats with nearly 60% of the vote. The June 23 Democratic primary features several opponents, yet filings and outreach indicate limited momentum against the incumbent. A Republican victory would require an extraordinary national swing, major Democratic scandal, or unprecedented turnout shift within the resolution window.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
交易量
$27,266结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Sarah Elfreth, the Democratic incumbent first elected in 2024, holds a commanding position in Maryland’s 3rd congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election. The district’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in its partisan voting index and consistent results, underpins the 94.5% trader consensus for the Democratic nominee. Elfreth benefits from name recognition, established fundraising, and the absence of competitive Republican challengers in a seat last won by Democrats with nearly 60% of the vote. The June 23 Democratic primary features several opponents, yet filings and outreach indicate limited momentum against the incumbent. A Republican victory would require an extraordinary national swing, major Democratic scandal, or unprecedented turnout shift within the resolution window.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$27,266结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Sarah Elfreth, the Democratic incumbent first elected in 2024, holds a commanding position in Maryland’s 3rd congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election. The district’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in its partisan voting index and consistent results, underpins the 94.5% trader consensus for the Democratic nominee. Elfreth benefits from name recognition, established fundraising, and the absence of competitive Republican challengers in a seat last won by Democrats with nearly 60% of the vote. The June 23 Democratic primary features several opponents, yet filings and outreach indicate limited momentum against the incumbent. A Republican victory would require an extraordinary national swing, major Democratic scandal, or unprecedented turnout shift within the resolution window.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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