Maryland's 3rd congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt reflected in its D+12 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent performance in recent presidential and House races. Incumbent Democrat Sarah Elfreth, who won the open seat in 2024 with 59 percent, faces several challengers in the June 23 Democratic primary, while Republicans field their own slate. Forecasters rate the general election Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with the district's suburban and urban composition spanning Howard and Anne Arundel counties. Trader consensus on a Democratic victory aligns with these structural factors and the absence of recent polling or events indicating a competitive general-election environment. A Democratic primary upset followed by an unusually strong Republican performance or late-breaking scandal could theoretically narrow the margin, though historical results and current ratings suggest limited realistic pathways for such shifts before November 2026.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$27,266 交易量
$27,266 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
95%
共和党
6%
$27,266 交易量
$27,266 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$20,444 交易量
95%
共和党
$6,822 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland's 3rd congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt reflected in its D+12 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent performance in recent presidential and House races. Incumbent Democrat Sarah Elfreth, who won the open seat in 2024 with 59 percent, faces several challengers in the June 23 Democratic primary, while Republicans field their own slate. Forecasters rate the general election Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with the district's suburban and urban composition spanning Howard and Anne Arundel counties. Trader consensus on a Democratic victory aligns with these structural factors and the absence of recent polling or events indicating a competitive general-election environment. A Democratic primary upset followed by an unusually strong Republican performance or late-breaking scandal could theoretically narrow the margin, though historical results and current ratings suggest limited realistic pathways for such shifts before November 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
交易量
$27,266结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland's 3rd congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt reflected in its D+12 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent performance in recent presidential and House races. Incumbent Democrat Sarah Elfreth, who won the open seat in 2024 with 59 percent, faces several challengers in the June 23 Democratic primary, while Republicans field their own slate. Forecasters rate the general election Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with the district's suburban and urban composition spanning Howard and Anne Arundel counties. Trader consensus on a Democratic victory aligns with these structural factors and the absence of recent polling or events indicating a competitive general-election environment. A Democratic primary upset followed by an unusually strong Republican performance or late-breaking scandal could theoretically narrow the margin, though historical results and current ratings suggest limited realistic pathways for such shifts before November 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$27,266结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Maryland's 3rd congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt reflected in its D+12 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent performance in recent presidential and House races. Incumbent Democrat Sarah Elfreth, who won the open seat in 2024 with 59 percent, faces several challengers in the June 23 Democratic primary, while Republicans field their own slate. Forecasters rate the general election Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with the district's suburban and urban composition spanning Howard and Anne Arundel counties. Trader consensus on a Democratic victory aligns with these structural factors and the absence of recent polling or events indicating a competitive general-election environment. A Democratic primary upset followed by an unusually strong Republican performance or late-breaking scandal could theoretically narrow the margin, though historical results and current ratings suggest limited realistic pathways for such shifts before November 2026.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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