Maryland’s 4th congressional district, encompassing heavily Democratic suburbs in Prince George’s County, has delivered consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles, including the incumbent’s 88% share in 2024. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting its partisan composition and limited Republican infrastructure. Incumbent Glenn Ivey faces a crowded June 23 primary against several challengers, yet the general-election outcome on November 3 remains the decisive factor for traders. The Republican nominee, George McDermott, lacks the fundraising or name recognition to mount a credible challenge in this environment. Only an unforeseen development such as a late scandal involving the eventual Democratic nominee or an unusually large turnout shift could realistically alter the current trader consensus.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$27,357 交易量
$27,357 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
92%
共和党
6%
$27,357 交易量
$27,357 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$8,107 交易量
92%
共和党
$19,251 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland’s 4th congressional district, encompassing heavily Democratic suburbs in Prince George’s County, has delivered consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles, including the incumbent’s 88% share in 2024. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting its partisan composition and limited Republican infrastructure. Incumbent Glenn Ivey faces a crowded June 23 primary against several challengers, yet the general-election outcome on November 3 remains the decisive factor for traders. The Republican nominee, George McDermott, lacks the fundraising or name recognition to mount a credible challenge in this environment. Only an unforeseen development such as a late scandal involving the eventual Democratic nominee or an unusually large turnout shift could realistically alter the current trader consensus.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
交易量
$27,357结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland’s 4th congressional district, encompassing heavily Democratic suburbs in Prince George’s County, has delivered consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles, including the incumbent’s 88% share in 2024. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting its partisan composition and limited Republican infrastructure. Incumbent Glenn Ivey faces a crowded June 23 primary against several challengers, yet the general-election outcome on November 3 remains the decisive factor for traders. The Republican nominee, George McDermott, lacks the fundraising or name recognition to mount a credible challenge in this environment. Only an unforeseen development such as a late scandal involving the eventual Democratic nominee or an unusually large turnout shift could realistically alter the current trader consensus.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$27,357结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Maryland’s 4th congressional district, encompassing heavily Democratic suburbs in Prince George’s County, has delivered consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles, including the incumbent’s 88% share in 2024. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting its partisan composition and limited Republican infrastructure. Incumbent Glenn Ivey faces a crowded June 23 primary against several challengers, yet the general-election outcome on November 3 remains the decisive factor for traders. The Republican nominee, George McDermott, lacks the fundraising or name recognition to mount a credible challenge in this environment. Only an unforeseen development such as a late scandal involving the eventual Democratic nominee or an unusually large turnout shift could realistically alter the current trader consensus.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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