Maryland's 4th congressional district, centered in Prince George's County and encompassing Washington, D.C. suburbs such as Landover, Laurel, and Suitland, has delivered consistent Democratic victories in recent cycles, including the incumbent's 88.4% share in 2024. The seat carries a Solid D rating from the Cook Political Report, reflecting its strong partisan lean and the limited viability of Republican challengers ahead of the June 23 primary and November 3 general election. Trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee aligns with this structural advantage and the absence of recent polling shifts or major disruptions. A realistic challenge would require an unanticipated primary upset producing a weakened nominee, a significant late-cycle scandal, or substantial turnout anomalies that historically do not materialize in this district.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$29,607 交易量
$29,607 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
92%
共和党
2%
$29,607 交易量
$29,607 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$8,107 交易量
92%
共和党
$21,500 交易量
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland's 4th congressional district, centered in Prince George's County and encompassing Washington, D.C. suburbs such as Landover, Laurel, and Suitland, has delivered consistent Democratic victories in recent cycles, including the incumbent's 88.4% share in 2024. The seat carries a Solid D rating from the Cook Political Report, reflecting its strong partisan lean and the limited viability of Republican challengers ahead of the June 23 primary and November 3 general election. Trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee aligns with this structural advantage and the absence of recent polling shifts or major disruptions. A realistic challenge would require an unanticipated primary upset producing a weakened nominee, a significant late-cycle scandal, or substantial turnout anomalies that historically do not materialize in this district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
交易量
$29,607结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland's 4th congressional district, centered in Prince George's County and encompassing Washington, D.C. suburbs such as Landover, Laurel, and Suitland, has delivered consistent Democratic victories in recent cycles, including the incumbent's 88.4% share in 2024. The seat carries a Solid D rating from the Cook Political Report, reflecting its strong partisan lean and the limited viability of Republican challengers ahead of the June 23 primary and November 3 general election. Trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee aligns with this structural advantage and the absence of recent polling shifts or major disruptions. A realistic challenge would require an unanticipated primary upset producing a weakened nominee, a significant late-cycle scandal, or substantial turnout anomalies that historically do not materialize in this district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$29,607结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Maryland's 4th congressional district, centered in Prince George's County and encompassing Washington, D.C. suburbs such as Landover, Laurel, and Suitland, has delivered consistent Democratic victories in recent cycles, including the incumbent's 88.4% share in 2024. The seat carries a Solid D rating from the Cook Political Report, reflecting its strong partisan lean and the limited viability of Republican challengers ahead of the June 23 primary and November 3 general election. Trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee aligns with this structural advantage and the absence of recent polling shifts or major disruptions. A realistic challenge would require an unanticipated primary upset producing a weakened nominee, a significant late-cycle scandal, or substantial turnout anomalies that historically do not materialize in this district.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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