Incumbent Democrat Tom Suozzi secured his party's nomination in the June 2026 primary with a wide margin and faces Republican Michael LiPetri Jr. in the November 3 general election for New York's 3rd congressional district. The suburban North Shore Nassau County and Queens areas comprising the seat have shown a modest Democratic lean in recent cycles, reflected in Suozzi's 2024 victory margin. Forecasters rate the contest Lean or Likely Democratic, citing the incumbent's name recognition, fundraising edge, and limited Republican momentum since the primary. These elements align with current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at high probability, though the seat's historical competitiveness leaves room for shifts from turnout patterns or late-cycle developments.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$11,222 交易量
$11,222 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
86%
共和党
15%
$11,222 交易量
$11,222 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$4,266 交易量
86%
共和党
$6,956 交易量
15%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Tom Suozzi secured his party's nomination in the June 2026 primary with a wide margin and faces Republican Michael LiPetri Jr. in the November 3 general election for New York's 3rd congressional district. The suburban North Shore Nassau County and Queens areas comprising the seat have shown a modest Democratic lean in recent cycles, reflected in Suozzi's 2024 victory margin. Forecasters rate the contest Lean or Likely Democratic, citing the incumbent's name recognition, fundraising edge, and limited Republican momentum since the primary. These elements align with current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at high probability, though the seat's historical competitiveness leaves room for shifts from turnout patterns or late-cycle developments.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Dec 16, 2025, 12:27 PM ET
交易量
$11,222结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 12:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Tom Suozzi secured his party's nomination in the June 2026 primary with a wide margin and faces Republican Michael LiPetri Jr. in the November 3 general election for New York's 3rd congressional district. The suburban North Shore Nassau County and Queens areas comprising the seat have shown a modest Democratic lean in recent cycles, reflected in Suozzi's 2024 victory margin. Forecasters rate the contest Lean or Likely Democratic, citing the incumbent's name recognition, fundraising edge, and limited Republican momentum since the primary. These elements align with current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at high probability, though the seat's historical competitiveness leaves room for shifts from turnout patterns or late-cycle developments.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$11,222结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 12:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Tom Suozzi secured his party's nomination in the June 2026 primary with a wide margin and faces Republican Michael LiPetri Jr. in the November 3 general election for New York's 3rd congressional district. The suburban North Shore Nassau County and Queens areas comprising the seat have shown a modest Democratic lean in recent cycles, reflected in Suozzi's 2024 victory margin. Forecasters rate the contest Lean or Likely Democratic, citing the incumbent's name recognition, fundraising edge, and limited Republican momentum since the primary. These elements align with current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at high probability, though the seat's historical competitiveness leaves room for shifts from turnout patterns or late-cycle developments.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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