Democratic incumbent Ted Lieu advanced from the June 2, 2026, primary with a commanding share of the vote in California's 36th congressional district, a seat rated Solid Democratic by major forecasters due to its strong partisan lean in the Los Angeles area. The district's voter composition and historical results favor Democratic candidates by wide margins, limiting any path for Republican challengers Houston Brignano or Melissa Toomim in the November general election. Recent primary turnout and candidate performance have reinforced trader consensus on the low likelihood of an upset, consistent with the seat's established electoral patterns and lack of competitive shifts in the past month.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$11,434 交易量
$11,434 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
90%
共和党
6%
$11,434 交易量
$11,434 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$5,341 交易量
90%
共和党
$6,093 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-36 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Ted Lieu advanced from the June 2, 2026, primary with a commanding share of the vote in California's 36th congressional district, a seat rated Solid Democratic by major forecasters due to its strong partisan lean in the Los Angeles area. The district's voter composition and historical results favor Democratic candidates by wide margins, limiting any path for Republican challengers Houston Brignano or Melissa Toomim in the November general election. Recent primary turnout and candidate performance have reinforced trader consensus on the low likelihood of an upset, consistent with the seat's established electoral patterns and lack of competitive shifts in the past month.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-36 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$11,434结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-36 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Ted Lieu advanced from the June 2, 2026, primary with a commanding share of the vote in California's 36th congressional district, a seat rated Solid Democratic by major forecasters due to its strong partisan lean in the Los Angeles area. The district's voter composition and historical results favor Democratic candidates by wide margins, limiting any path for Republican challengers Houston Brignano or Melissa Toomim in the November general election. Recent primary turnout and candidate performance have reinforced trader consensus on the low likelihood of an upset, consistent with the seat's established electoral patterns and lack of competitive shifts in the past month.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-36 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$11,434结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Democratic incumbent Ted Lieu advanced from the June 2, 2026, primary with a commanding share of the vote in California's 36th congressional district, a seat rated Solid Democratic by major forecasters due to its strong partisan lean in the Los Angeles area. The district's voter composition and historical results favor Democratic candidates by wide margins, limiting any path for Republican challengers Houston Brignano or Melissa Toomim in the November general election. Recent primary turnout and candidate performance have reinforced trader consensus on the low likelihood of an upset, consistent with the seat's established electoral patterns and lack of competitive shifts in the past month.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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