Incumbent Democratic Rep. Ted Lieu dominated California's June 2 primary for the 36th congressional district, capturing roughly 58-60% of the vote and advancing comfortably under the state's top-two system. The district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in a partisan voting index exceeding D+20, has long favored the party in general elections. Republican candidates split their support, with the top two finishers each below 18%, confirming a November matchup between a Democrat and Republican. Trader consensus on a Democratic victory aligns with the district's established voting patterns and the absence of competitive challengers capable of shifting the outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$10,724 交易量
$10,724 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
69%
共和党
5%
$10,724 交易量
$10,724 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$5,341 交易量
69%
共和党
$5,383 交易量
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-36 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democratic Rep. Ted Lieu dominated California's June 2 primary for the 36th congressional district, capturing roughly 58-60% of the vote and advancing comfortably under the state's top-two system. The district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in a partisan voting index exceeding D+20, has long favored the party in general elections. Republican candidates split their support, with the top two finishers each below 18%, confirming a November matchup between a Democrat and Republican. Trader consensus on a Democratic victory aligns with the district's established voting patterns and the absence of competitive challengers capable of shifting the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-36 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$10,724结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-36 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democratic Rep. Ted Lieu dominated California's June 2 primary for the 36th congressional district, capturing roughly 58-60% of the vote and advancing comfortably under the state's top-two system. The district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in a partisan voting index exceeding D+20, has long favored the party in general elections. Republican candidates split their support, with the top two finishers each below 18%, confirming a November matchup between a Democrat and Republican. Trader consensus on a Democratic victory aligns with the district's established voting patterns and the absence of competitive challengers capable of shifting the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-36 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$10,724结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Rep. Ted Lieu dominated California's June 2 primary for the 36th congressional district, capturing roughly 58-60% of the vote and advancing comfortably under the state's top-two system. The district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in a partisan voting index exceeding D+20, has long favored the party in general elections. Republican candidates split their support, with the top two finishers each below 18%, confirming a November matchup between a Democrat and Republican. Trader consensus on a Democratic victory aligns with the district's established voting patterns and the absence of competitive challengers capable of shifting the outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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