Democratic incumbent Ted Lieu secured a decisive primary victory on June 2, advancing to the November general election in California's 36th congressional district, a seat long rated Solid Democratic by nonpartisan analysts. The district's voter composition and partisan voting index heavily favor Democratic candidates, consistent with historical margins exceeding 20 points. Lieu's strong primary showing against multiple challengers reinforces trader expectations of continued party control, with limited Republican competitiveness in this West Los Angeles area. No significant recent shifts in polling, endorsements, or district boundaries have altered the underlying dynamics ahead of the general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$11,434 交易量
$11,434 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
89%
共和党
6%
$11,434 交易量
$11,434 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$5,341 交易量
89%
共和党
$6,093 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-36 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Ted Lieu secured a decisive primary victory on June 2, advancing to the November general election in California's 36th congressional district, a seat long rated Solid Democratic by nonpartisan analysts. The district's voter composition and partisan voting index heavily favor Democratic candidates, consistent with historical margins exceeding 20 points. Lieu's strong primary showing against multiple challengers reinforces trader expectations of continued party control, with limited Republican competitiveness in this West Los Angeles area. No significant recent shifts in polling, endorsements, or district boundaries have altered the underlying dynamics ahead of the general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-36 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$11,434结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-36 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Ted Lieu secured a decisive primary victory on June 2, advancing to the November general election in California's 36th congressional district, a seat long rated Solid Democratic by nonpartisan analysts. The district's voter composition and partisan voting index heavily favor Democratic candidates, consistent with historical margins exceeding 20 points. Lieu's strong primary showing against multiple challengers reinforces trader expectations of continued party control, with limited Republican competitiveness in this West Los Angeles area. No significant recent shifts in polling, endorsements, or district boundaries have altered the underlying dynamics ahead of the general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-36 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$11,434结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Democratic incumbent Ted Lieu secured a decisive primary victory on June 2, advancing to the November general election in California's 36th congressional district, a seat long rated Solid Democratic by nonpartisan analysts. The district's voter composition and partisan voting index heavily favor Democratic candidates, consistent with historical margins exceeding 20 points. Lieu's strong primary showing against multiple challengers reinforces trader expectations of continued party control, with limited Republican competitiveness in this West Los Angeles area. No significant recent shifts in polling, endorsements, or district boundaries have altered the underlying dynamics ahead of the general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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