California's 36th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+21 partisan voting index and consistent ratings as solidly Democratic by major forecasters. Incumbent Representative Ted Lieu advanced from the June 2 primary with 61 percent of the vote against a fragmented Republican field, positioning him for the November general election under the state's top-two system. The district's coastal demographics and historical voting patterns continue to favor Democratic candidates, aligning with the current trader consensus on party outcomes. No significant shifts in registration, redistricting, or candidate dynamics have altered this baseline in recent weeks.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$11,734 交易量
$11,734 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
90%
共和党
6%
$11,734 交易量
$11,734 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$5,441 交易量
90%
共和党
$6,293 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-36 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 36th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+21 partisan voting index and consistent ratings as solidly Democratic by major forecasters. Incumbent Representative Ted Lieu advanced from the June 2 primary with 61 percent of the vote against a fragmented Republican field, positioning him for the November general election under the state's top-two system. The district's coastal demographics and historical voting patterns continue to favor Democratic candidates, aligning with the current trader consensus on party outcomes. No significant shifts in registration, redistricting, or candidate dynamics have altered this baseline in recent weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-36 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$11,734结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-36 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 36th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+21 partisan voting index and consistent ratings as solidly Democratic by major forecasters. Incumbent Representative Ted Lieu advanced from the June 2 primary with 61 percent of the vote against a fragmented Republican field, positioning him for the November general election under the state's top-two system. The district's coastal demographics and historical voting patterns continue to favor Democratic candidates, aligning with the current trader consensus on party outcomes. No significant shifts in registration, redistricting, or candidate dynamics have altered this baseline in recent weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-36 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$11,734结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...California's 36th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+21 partisan voting index and consistent ratings as solidly Democratic by major forecasters. Incumbent Representative Ted Lieu advanced from the June 2 primary with 61 percent of the vote against a fragmented Republican field, positioning him for the November general election under the state's top-two system. The district's coastal demographics and historical voting patterns continue to favor Democratic candidates, aligning with the current trader consensus on party outcomes. No significant shifts in registration, redistricting, or candidate dynamics have altered this baseline in recent weeks.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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