California's 37th congressional district remains one of the state's most reliably Democratic seats, with a partisan lean exceeding D+30 and recent general election margins above 55 points for the incumbent. Sydney Kamlager-Dove's strong primary performance on June 2, 2026, where she advanced comfortably ahead of Democratic challengers and the sole Republican, has reinforced trader expectations for a November general election victory. The top-two primary system and limited Republican infrastructure in the Los Angeles-based district further constrain opposition prospects. While a national political shift, major scandal, or health event could theoretically alter outcomes, the current candidate field and district fundamentals sustain the pronounced Democratic advantage reflected in market pricing.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-03
民主党
96%
共和党
4%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
民主党
$1,881 交易量
96%
共和党
$1,005 交易量
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-37 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 37th congressional district remains one of the state's most reliably Democratic seats, with a partisan lean exceeding D+30 and recent general election margins above 55 points for the incumbent. Sydney Kamlager-Dove's strong primary performance on June 2, 2026, where she advanced comfortably ahead of Democratic challengers and the sole Republican, has reinforced trader expectations for a November general election victory. The top-two primary system and limited Republican infrastructure in the Los Angeles-based district further constrain opposition prospects. While a national political shift, major scandal, or health event could theoretically alter outcomes, the current candidate field and district fundamentals sustain the pronounced Democratic advantage reflected in market pricing.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-37 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$2,885结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-37 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 37th congressional district remains one of the state's most reliably Democratic seats, with a partisan lean exceeding D+30 and recent general election margins above 55 points for the incumbent. Sydney Kamlager-Dove's strong primary performance on June 2, 2026, where she advanced comfortably ahead of Democratic challengers and the sole Republican, has reinforced trader expectations for a November general election victory. The top-two primary system and limited Republican infrastructure in the Los Angeles-based district further constrain opposition prospects. While a national political shift, major scandal, or health event could theoretically alter outcomes, the current candidate field and district fundamentals sustain the pronounced Democratic advantage reflected in market pricing.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-37 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$2,885结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...California's 37th congressional district remains one of the state's most reliably Democratic seats, with a partisan lean exceeding D+30 and recent general election margins above 55 points for the incumbent. Sydney Kamlager-Dove's strong primary performance on June 2, 2026, where she advanced comfortably ahead of Democratic challengers and the sole Republican, has reinforced trader expectations for a November general election victory. The top-two primary system and limited Republican infrastructure in the Los Angeles-based district further constrain opposition prospects. While a national political shift, major scandal, or health event could theoretically alter outcomes, the current candidate field and district fundamentals sustain the pronounced Democratic advantage reflected in market pricing.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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