California's 37th congressional district, anchored in Los Angeles and featuring a heavily Democratic voter base, drives the overwhelming trader consensus for a Democratic victory in the 2026 House race. The June primary produced a general-election matchup between incumbent Sydney Kamlager-Dove and fellow Democrat Samantha Mota under the state's top-two system, eliminating any Republican from the November ballot and aligning with long-standing partisan patterns in the seat. Forecasters rate the district Safe or Solid Democratic, reflecting consistent margins that leave little room for crossover success. While a Republican win remains possible only in the event of major unforeseen disruptions such as candidate disqualification or dramatic shifts in turnout, the structural and electoral barriers keep implied probabilities firmly elevated for the Democratic Party.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-03
民主党
96%
共和党
3%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
民主党
$2,024 交易量
96%
共和党
$1,353 交易量
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-37 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 37th congressional district, anchored in Los Angeles and featuring a heavily Democratic voter base, drives the overwhelming trader consensus for a Democratic victory in the 2026 House race. The June primary produced a general-election matchup between incumbent Sydney Kamlager-Dove and fellow Democrat Samantha Mota under the state's top-two system, eliminating any Republican from the November ballot and aligning with long-standing partisan patterns in the seat. Forecasters rate the district Safe or Solid Democratic, reflecting consistent margins that leave little room for crossover success. While a Republican win remains possible only in the event of major unforeseen disruptions such as candidate disqualification or dramatic shifts in turnout, the structural and electoral barriers keep implied probabilities firmly elevated for the Democratic Party.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-37 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$3,377结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-37 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 37th congressional district, anchored in Los Angeles and featuring a heavily Democratic voter base, drives the overwhelming trader consensus for a Democratic victory in the 2026 House race. The June primary produced a general-election matchup between incumbent Sydney Kamlager-Dove and fellow Democrat Samantha Mota under the state's top-two system, eliminating any Republican from the November ballot and aligning with long-standing partisan patterns in the seat. Forecasters rate the district Safe or Solid Democratic, reflecting consistent margins that leave little room for crossover success. While a Republican win remains possible only in the event of major unforeseen disruptions such as candidate disqualification or dramatic shifts in turnout, the structural and electoral barriers keep implied probabilities firmly elevated for the Democratic Party.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-37 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$3,377结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...California's 37th congressional district, anchored in Los Angeles and featuring a heavily Democratic voter base, drives the overwhelming trader consensus for a Democratic victory in the 2026 House race. The June primary produced a general-election matchup between incumbent Sydney Kamlager-Dove and fellow Democrat Samantha Mota under the state's top-two system, eliminating any Republican from the November ballot and aligning with long-standing partisan patterns in the seat. Forecasters rate the district Safe or Solid Democratic, reflecting consistent margins that leave little room for crossover success. While a Republican win remains possible only in the event of major unforeseen disruptions such as candidate disqualification or dramatic shifts in turnout, the structural and electoral barriers keep implied probabilities firmly elevated for the Democratic Party.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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