The heavily Democratic composition of California's 37th congressional district, reflected in its D+33 Cook Partisan Voting Index and strong voter registration advantage for Democrats, underpins the 95.5% trader consensus for a Democratic victory in the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Representative Sydney Kamlager-Dove secured the Democratic nomination in the June 2 primary with a clear majority, advancing alongside Republican Baltazar Fedalizo in the top-two format. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat as solid or safe Democratic, consistent with historical results in this Los Angeles-area district. A Republican win would require an unprecedented national shift or unforeseen disruption to the incumbent's position between now and November.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-03
民主党
96%
共和党
6%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
民主党
$1,881 交易量
96%
共和党
$312 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-37 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The heavily Democratic composition of California's 37th congressional district, reflected in its D+33 Cook Partisan Voting Index and strong voter registration advantage for Democrats, underpins the 95.5% trader consensus for a Democratic victory in the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Representative Sydney Kamlager-Dove secured the Democratic nomination in the June 2 primary with a clear majority, advancing alongside Republican Baltazar Fedalizo in the top-two format. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat as solid or safe Democratic, consistent with historical results in this Los Angeles-area district. A Republican win would require an unprecedented national shift or unforeseen disruption to the incumbent's position between now and November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-37 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$2,192结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-37 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The heavily Democratic composition of California's 37th congressional district, reflected in its D+33 Cook Partisan Voting Index and strong voter registration advantage for Democrats, underpins the 95.5% trader consensus for a Democratic victory in the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Representative Sydney Kamlager-Dove secured the Democratic nomination in the June 2 primary with a clear majority, advancing alongside Republican Baltazar Fedalizo in the top-two format. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat as solid or safe Democratic, consistent with historical results in this Los Angeles-area district. A Republican win would require an unprecedented national shift or unforeseen disruption to the incumbent's position between now and November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-37 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$2,192结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The heavily Democratic composition of California's 37th congressional district, reflected in its D+33 Cook Partisan Voting Index and strong voter registration advantage for Democrats, underpins the 95.5% trader consensus for a Democratic victory in the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Representative Sydney Kamlager-Dove secured the Democratic nomination in the June 2 primary with a clear majority, advancing alongside Republican Baltazar Fedalizo in the top-two format. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat as solid or safe Democratic, consistent with historical results in this Los Angeles-area district. A Republican win would require an unprecedented national shift or unforeseen disruption to the incumbent's position between now and November.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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