The Democratic Party holds a commanding 95.5% implied probability in the CA-37 House race due to the district’s strong partisan composition in Los Angeles County and the performance of incumbent Sydney Kamlager-Dove, who captured over 53% in the June 2026 primary against a fragmented field that included Republican Baltazar Fedalizo at roughly 12%. Historical results show consistent Democratic margins exceeding 50 points in recent cycles. Trader consensus reflects limited Republican infrastructure and fundraising in this urban seat. Late developments such as an unforeseen scandal, health issue for the incumbent, or an unusually strong national Republican wave could narrow the gap, though such shifts remain rare in districts with this voting pattern.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-03
民主党
96%
共和党
6%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
民主党
$1,881 交易量
96%
共和党
$312 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-37 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Democratic Party holds a commanding 95.5% implied probability in the CA-37 House race due to the district’s strong partisan composition in Los Angeles County and the performance of incumbent Sydney Kamlager-Dove, who captured over 53% in the June 2026 primary against a fragmented field that included Republican Baltazar Fedalizo at roughly 12%. Historical results show consistent Democratic margins exceeding 50 points in recent cycles. Trader consensus reflects limited Republican infrastructure and fundraising in this urban seat. Late developments such as an unforeseen scandal, health issue for the incumbent, or an unusually strong national Republican wave could narrow the gap, though such shifts remain rare in districts with this voting pattern.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-37 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$2,192结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-37 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Democratic Party holds a commanding 95.5% implied probability in the CA-37 House race due to the district’s strong partisan composition in Los Angeles County and the performance of incumbent Sydney Kamlager-Dove, who captured over 53% in the June 2026 primary against a fragmented field that included Republican Baltazar Fedalizo at roughly 12%. Historical results show consistent Democratic margins exceeding 50 points in recent cycles. Trader consensus reflects limited Republican infrastructure and fundraising in this urban seat. Late developments such as an unforeseen scandal, health issue for the incumbent, or an unusually strong national Republican wave could narrow the gap, though such shifts remain rare in districts with this voting pattern.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-37 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$2,192结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Democratic Party holds a commanding 95.5% implied probability in the CA-37 House race due to the district’s strong partisan composition in Los Angeles County and the performance of incumbent Sydney Kamlager-Dove, who captured over 53% in the June 2026 primary against a fragmented field that included Republican Baltazar Fedalizo at roughly 12%. Historical results show consistent Democratic margins exceeding 50 points in recent cycles. Trader consensus reflects limited Republican infrastructure and fundraising in this urban seat. Late developments such as an unforeseen scandal, health issue for the incumbent, or an unusually strong national Republican wave could narrow the gap, though such shifts remain rare in districts with this voting pattern.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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