Incumbent Democratic Representative Norma Torres advanced from California's June 2 top-two primary to face Republican Mike Cargile in the November 3 general election for CA-35. The district's entrenched Democratic lean, reflected in consistent voter registration advantages and past results, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee by a wide margin. Torres has held the seat since 2015 with strong local support in the Inland Empire area. Limited Republican infrastructure and fundraising in this safely Democratic constituency further reinforce the positioning. A major scandal, significant health event for Torres, or unexpected national political shift could narrow the gap, though such developments remain low-probability factors at this stage.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$34,483 交易量
$34,483 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
95%
共和党
4%
$34,483 交易量
$34,483 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$19,895 交易量
95%
共和党
$14,588 交易量
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-35 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democratic Representative Norma Torres advanced from California's June 2 top-two primary to face Republican Mike Cargile in the November 3 general election for CA-35. The district's entrenched Democratic lean, reflected in consistent voter registration advantages and past results, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee by a wide margin. Torres has held the seat since 2015 with strong local support in the Inland Empire area. Limited Republican infrastructure and fundraising in this safely Democratic constituency further reinforce the positioning. A major scandal, significant health event for Torres, or unexpected national political shift could narrow the gap, though such developments remain low-probability factors at this stage.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-35 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$34,483结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-35 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democratic Representative Norma Torres advanced from California's June 2 top-two primary to face Republican Mike Cargile in the November 3 general election for CA-35. The district's entrenched Democratic lean, reflected in consistent voter registration advantages and past results, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee by a wide margin. Torres has held the seat since 2015 with strong local support in the Inland Empire area. Limited Republican infrastructure and fundraising in this safely Democratic constituency further reinforce the positioning. A major scandal, significant health event for Torres, or unexpected national political shift could narrow the gap, though such developments remain low-probability factors at this stage.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-35 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$34,483结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Representative Norma Torres advanced from California's June 2 top-two primary to face Republican Mike Cargile in the November 3 general election for CA-35. The district's entrenched Democratic lean, reflected in consistent voter registration advantages and past results, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee by a wide margin. Torres has held the seat since 2015 with strong local support in the Inland Empire area. Limited Republican infrastructure and fundraising in this safely Democratic constituency further reinforce the positioning. A major scandal, significant health event for Torres, or unexpected national political shift could narrow the gap, though such developments remain low-probability factors at this stage.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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