Incumbent Democrat Nanette Barragán secured a decisive primary victory on June 2, 2026, advancing to the November general election against Republican Genevieve Angel in California's 44th congressional district. The seat's strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its partisan voting index and consistent historical margins, underpins trader consensus around a Democratic hold. Barragán's multiple terms and established fundraising advantage further reinforce this positioning ahead of the general election. A Republican upset would require substantial shifts in voter turnout, national political conditions, or unforeseen developments such as candidate withdrawals or major scandals to meaningfully alter the current outlook.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$23,145 交易量
$23,145 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
94%
共和党
6%
$23,145 交易量
$23,145 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$14,909 交易量
94%
共和党
$8,236 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-44 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Nanette Barragán secured a decisive primary victory on June 2, 2026, advancing to the November general election against Republican Genevieve Angel in California's 44th congressional district. The seat's strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its partisan voting index and consistent historical margins, underpins trader consensus around a Democratic hold. Barragán's multiple terms and established fundraising advantage further reinforce this positioning ahead of the general election. A Republican upset would require substantial shifts in voter turnout, national political conditions, or unforeseen developments such as candidate withdrawals or major scandals to meaningfully alter the current outlook.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-44 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 10:29 AM ET
交易量
$23,145结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:29 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-44 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Nanette Barragán secured a decisive primary victory on June 2, 2026, advancing to the November general election against Republican Genevieve Angel in California's 44th congressional district. The seat's strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its partisan voting index and consistent historical margins, underpins trader consensus around a Democratic hold. Barragán's multiple terms and established fundraising advantage further reinforce this positioning ahead of the general election. A Republican upset would require substantial shifts in voter turnout, national political conditions, or unforeseen developments such as candidate withdrawals or major scandals to meaningfully alter the current outlook.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-44 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$23,145结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:29 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Nanette Barragán secured a decisive primary victory on June 2, 2026, advancing to the November general election against Republican Genevieve Angel in California's 44th congressional district. The seat's strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its partisan voting index and consistent historical margins, underpins trader consensus around a Democratic hold. Barragán's multiple terms and established fundraising advantage further reinforce this positioning ahead of the general election. A Republican upset would require substantial shifts in voter turnout, national political conditions, or unforeseen developments such as candidate withdrawals or major scandals to meaningfully alter the current outlook.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题