Incumbent Democrat Lou Correa's strong performance in California's June 2 primary, where he secured the top spot and advanced to face Republican David Pan in the November general election, reinforces trader consensus around the Democratic outcome. The district's D+11 partisan lean, concentrated Democratic voter base in areas such as Santa Ana and Anaheim, and consistent historical margins favor the incumbent. Nonpartisan analysts rate the seat as solid or safe Democratic. While a national Republican surge, late scandal, or unusually low Democratic turnout could narrow the gap, structural factors and Correa's established position make such shifts unlikely without major unforeseen developments.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$11,259 交易量
$11,259 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
93%
共和党
6%
$11,259 交易量
$11,259 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$2,449 交易量
93%
共和党
$8,811 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-46 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Lou Correa's strong performance in California's June 2 primary, where he secured the top spot and advanced to face Republican David Pan in the November general election, reinforces trader consensus around the Democratic outcome. The district's D+11 partisan lean, concentrated Democratic voter base in areas such as Santa Ana and Anaheim, and consistent historical margins favor the incumbent. Nonpartisan analysts rate the seat as solid or safe Democratic. While a national Republican surge, late scandal, or unusually low Democratic turnout could narrow the gap, structural factors and Correa's established position make such shifts unlikely without major unforeseen developments.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-46 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
交易量
$11,259结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-46 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Lou Correa's strong performance in California's June 2 primary, where he secured the top spot and advanced to face Republican David Pan in the November general election, reinforces trader consensus around the Democratic outcome. The district's D+11 partisan lean, concentrated Democratic voter base in areas such as Santa Ana and Anaheim, and consistent historical margins favor the incumbent. Nonpartisan analysts rate the seat as solid or safe Democratic. While a national Republican surge, late scandal, or unusually low Democratic turnout could narrow the gap, structural factors and Correa's established position make such shifts unlikely without major unforeseen developments.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-46 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$11,259结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Lou Correa's strong performance in California's June 2 primary, where he secured the top spot and advanced to face Republican David Pan in the November general election, reinforces trader consensus around the Democratic outcome. The district's D+11 partisan lean, concentrated Democratic voter base in areas such as Santa Ana and Anaheim, and consistent historical margins favor the incumbent. Nonpartisan analysts rate the seat as solid or safe Democratic. While a national Republican surge, late scandal, or unusually low Democratic turnout could narrow the gap, structural factors and Correa's established position make such shifts unlikely without major unforeseen developments.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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