California's 42nd congressional district remains a strongly Democratic seat held by incumbent Robert Garcia, who advanced from the June 2, 2026, primary with roughly 56 percent of the vote against a fragmented Republican field. The district's partisan composition, voter registration edge, and history of comfortable Democratic margins underpin trader pricing near 93.5 percent for a Democratic general-election victory on November 3. Fundraising data and nonpartisan ratings classify the race as solid Democratic, with limited Republican resources or name recognition to close the gap. A late scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Republican environment could narrow the margin, though structural factors would still require an unprecedented swing to flip the seat.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-03
民主党
94%
共和党
7%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
民主党
$7,749 交易量
94%
共和党
$1,058 交易量
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-42 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 42nd congressional district remains a strongly Democratic seat held by incumbent Robert Garcia, who advanced from the June 2, 2026, primary with roughly 56 percent of the vote against a fragmented Republican field. The district's partisan composition, voter registration edge, and history of comfortable Democratic margins underpin trader pricing near 93.5 percent for a Democratic general-election victory on November 3. Fundraising data and nonpartisan ratings classify the race as solid Democratic, with limited Republican resources or name recognition to close the gap. A late scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Republican environment could narrow the margin, though structural factors would still require an unprecedented swing to flip the seat.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-42 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 10:29 AM ET
交易量
$8,807结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:29 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-42 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 42nd congressional district remains a strongly Democratic seat held by incumbent Robert Garcia, who advanced from the June 2, 2026, primary with roughly 56 percent of the vote against a fragmented Republican field. The district's partisan composition, voter registration edge, and history of comfortable Democratic margins underpin trader pricing near 93.5 percent for a Democratic general-election victory on November 3. Fundraising data and nonpartisan ratings classify the race as solid Democratic, with limited Republican resources or name recognition to close the gap. A late scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Republican environment could narrow the margin, though structural factors would still require an unprecedented swing to flip the seat.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-42 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$8,807结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:29 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...California's 42nd congressional district remains a strongly Democratic seat held by incumbent Robert Garcia, who advanced from the June 2, 2026, primary with roughly 56 percent of the vote against a fragmented Republican field. The district's partisan composition, voter registration edge, and history of comfortable Democratic margins underpin trader pricing near 93.5 percent for a Democratic general-election victory on November 3. Fundraising data and nonpartisan ratings classify the race as solid Democratic, with limited Republican resources or name recognition to close the gap. A late scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Republican environment could narrow the margin, though structural factors would still require an unprecedented swing to flip the seat.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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