Texas's 2nd congressional district carries a strong Republican lean, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voter Index near R+12 and consistent ratings as a solid Republican seat ahead of the November 2026 general election. In the March 2026 Republican primary, state Representative Steve Toth defeated four-term incumbent Dan Crenshaw, securing the nomination with roughly 56 percent of the vote while Democrat Shaun Finnie advanced unopposed. The district's composition, shaped by recent redistricting that reinforced GOP advantages in Texas, positions the Republican nominee to face limited opposition in the general election. Trader consensus aligns with these structural and electoral factors, with limited scope for shifts absent major unforeseen developments before Election Day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$10,377 交易量
$10,377 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
87%
民主党
12%
$10,377 交易量
$10,377 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$4,593 交易量
87%
民主党
$5,784 交易量
12%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas's 2nd congressional district carries a strong Republican lean, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voter Index near R+12 and consistent ratings as a solid Republican seat ahead of the November 2026 general election. In the March 2026 Republican primary, state Representative Steve Toth defeated four-term incumbent Dan Crenshaw, securing the nomination with roughly 56 percent of the vote while Democrat Shaun Finnie advanced unopposed. The district's composition, shaped by recent redistricting that reinforced GOP advantages in Texas, positions the Republican nominee to face limited opposition in the general election. Trader consensus aligns with these structural and electoral factors, with limited scope for shifts absent major unforeseen developments before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
交易量
$10,377结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas's 2nd congressional district carries a strong Republican lean, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voter Index near R+12 and consistent ratings as a solid Republican seat ahead of the November 2026 general election. In the March 2026 Republican primary, state Representative Steve Toth defeated four-term incumbent Dan Crenshaw, securing the nomination with roughly 56 percent of the vote while Democrat Shaun Finnie advanced unopposed. The district's composition, shaped by recent redistricting that reinforced GOP advantages in Texas, positions the Republican nominee to face limited opposition in the general election. Trader consensus aligns with these structural and electoral factors, with limited scope for shifts absent major unforeseen developments before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$10,377结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Texas's 2nd congressional district carries a strong Republican lean, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voter Index near R+12 and consistent ratings as a solid Republican seat ahead of the November 2026 general election. In the March 2026 Republican primary, state Representative Steve Toth defeated four-term incumbent Dan Crenshaw, securing the nomination with roughly 56 percent of the vote while Democrat Shaun Finnie advanced unopposed. The district's composition, shaped by recent redistricting that reinforced GOP advantages in Texas, positions the Republican nominee to face limited opposition in the general election. Trader consensus aligns with these structural and electoral factors, with limited scope for shifts absent major unforeseen developments before Election Day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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