Incumbent Republican Tracey Mann secured renomination in the August 4, 2026, primary with over 80% of the vote against a single challenger, positioning the party for the November 3 general election in Kansas's 1st congressional district. The sprawling rural district's strong Republican lean, reflected in its R+16 partisan voting index, has produced consistent double-digit margins for GOP candidates in recent cycles. Democratic nominee Lauren Reinhold faces structural barriers in a seat rated Solid Republican by forecasters. Trader consensus at 93.5% for the Republican nominee could shift only in the event of an unforeseen national political realignment, a major scandal involving the incumbent, or unusually high Democratic turnout driven by external events before Election Day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$17,348 交易量
$17,348 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
94%
民主党
6%
$17,348 交易量
$17,348 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$6,050 交易量
94%
民主党
$11,298 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Tracey Mann secured renomination in the August 4, 2026, primary with over 80% of the vote against a single challenger, positioning the party for the November 3 general election in Kansas's 1st congressional district. The sprawling rural district's strong Republican lean, reflected in its R+16 partisan voting index, has produced consistent double-digit margins for GOP candidates in recent cycles. Democratic nominee Lauren Reinhold faces structural barriers in a seat rated Solid Republican by forecasters. Trader consensus at 93.5% for the Republican nominee could shift only in the event of an unforeseen national political realignment, a major scandal involving the incumbent, or unusually high Democratic turnout driven by external events before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
交易量
$17,348结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Tracey Mann secured renomination in the August 4, 2026, primary with over 80% of the vote against a single challenger, positioning the party for the November 3 general election in Kansas's 1st congressional district. The sprawling rural district's strong Republican lean, reflected in its R+16 partisan voting index, has produced consistent double-digit margins for GOP candidates in recent cycles. Democratic nominee Lauren Reinhold faces structural barriers in a seat rated Solid Republican by forecasters. Trader consensus at 93.5% for the Republican nominee could shift only in the event of an unforeseen national political realignment, a major scandal involving the incumbent, or unusually high Democratic turnout driven by external events before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$17,348结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Tracey Mann secured renomination in the August 4, 2026, primary with over 80% of the vote against a single challenger, positioning the party for the November 3 general election in Kansas's 1st congressional district. The sprawling rural district's strong Republican lean, reflected in its R+16 partisan voting index, has produced consistent double-digit margins for GOP candidates in recent cycles. Democratic nominee Lauren Reinhold faces structural barriers in a seat rated Solid Republican by forecasters. Trader consensus at 93.5% for the Republican nominee could shift only in the event of an unforeseen national political realignment, a major scandal involving the incumbent, or unusually high Democratic turnout driven by external events before Election Day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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