Incumbent Democrat Eric Sorensen holds a strong position in Illinois’s 17th congressional district ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election, backed by a D+3 partisan voting index and the district’s recent performance favoring Democratic candidates. Sorensen faced no primary opposition after securing the seat in prior cycles, while Republican nominee Dillan Vancil emerged from a March 2026 primary against limited competition. Ratings from outlets such as Cook Political Report classify the race as Likely Democratic, aligning with trader consensus that assigns the Democratic Party a 91.5% implied probability. A major national Republican surge, unexpected local developments, or shifts in voter turnout patterns could narrow the margin before Election Day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$14,242 交易量
$14,242 交易量
2026-11-04
民主党
92%
共和党
8%
$14,242 交易量
$14,242 交易量
2026-11-04
民主党
$2,001 交易量
92%
共和党
$12,241 交易量
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Eric Sorensen holds a strong position in Illinois’s 17th congressional district ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election, backed by a D+3 partisan voting index and the district’s recent performance favoring Democratic candidates. Sorensen faced no primary opposition after securing the seat in prior cycles, while Republican nominee Dillan Vancil emerged from a March 2026 primary against limited competition. Ratings from outlets such as Cook Political Report classify the race as Likely Democratic, aligning with trader consensus that assigns the Democratic Party a 91.5% implied probability. A major national Republican surge, unexpected local developments, or shifts in voter turnout patterns could narrow the margin before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Dec 16, 2025, 11:52 AM ET
交易量
$14,242结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 11:52 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Eric Sorensen holds a strong position in Illinois’s 17th congressional district ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election, backed by a D+3 partisan voting index and the district’s recent performance favoring Democratic candidates. Sorensen faced no primary opposition after securing the seat in prior cycles, while Republican nominee Dillan Vancil emerged from a March 2026 primary against limited competition. Ratings from outlets such as Cook Political Report classify the race as Likely Democratic, aligning with trader consensus that assigns the Democratic Party a 91.5% implied probability. A major national Republican surge, unexpected local developments, or shifts in voter turnout patterns could narrow the margin before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$14,242结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 11:52 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Eric Sorensen holds a strong position in Illinois’s 17th congressional district ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election, backed by a D+3 partisan voting index and the district’s recent performance favoring Democratic candidates. Sorensen faced no primary opposition after securing the seat in prior cycles, while Republican nominee Dillan Vancil emerged from a March 2026 primary against limited competition. Ratings from outlets such as Cook Political Report classify the race as Likely Democratic, aligning with trader consensus that assigns the Democratic Party a 91.5% implied probability. A major national Republican surge, unexpected local developments, or shifts in voter turnout patterns could narrow the margin before Election Day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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