Democratic incumbent Eric Sorensen secured the nomination in the March 17, 2026 primary for Illinois’s 17th congressional district and faces Republican nominee Dillan Vancil in the November general election. The district, which covers north-central areas including Rockford, the Quad Cities, Bloomington, and Peoria, carries a modest Democratic tilt reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+3 and Sorensen’s 2024 victory margin. This baseline, combined with incumbency advantages and limited reported shifts in voter sentiment since the primaries, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. No major late-breaking events or polling surges have altered the competitive positioning in recent months, keeping probabilities closely aligned with the seat’s structural lean.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-04
民主党
74%
共和党
48%
最新
最新
2026-11-04
民主党
$840 交易量
74%
共和党
$677 交易量
48%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Eric Sorensen secured the nomination in the March 17, 2026 primary for Illinois’s 17th congressional district and faces Republican nominee Dillan Vancil in the November general election. The district, which covers north-central areas including Rockford, the Quad Cities, Bloomington, and Peoria, carries a modest Democratic tilt reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+3 and Sorensen’s 2024 victory margin. This baseline, combined with incumbency advantages and limited reported shifts in voter sentiment since the primaries, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. No major late-breaking events or polling surges have altered the competitive positioning in recent months, keeping probabilities closely aligned with the seat’s structural lean.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Dec 16, 2025, 11:52 AM ET
交易量
$1,517结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 11:52 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Eric Sorensen secured the nomination in the March 17, 2026 primary for Illinois’s 17th congressional district and faces Republican nominee Dillan Vancil in the November general election. The district, which covers north-central areas including Rockford, the Quad Cities, Bloomington, and Peoria, carries a modest Democratic tilt reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+3 and Sorensen’s 2024 victory margin. This baseline, combined with incumbency advantages and limited reported shifts in voter sentiment since the primaries, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. No major late-breaking events or polling surges have altered the competitive positioning in recent months, keeping probabilities closely aligned with the seat’s structural lean.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$1,517结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 11:52 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Democratic incumbent Eric Sorensen secured the nomination in the March 17, 2026 primary for Illinois’s 17th congressional district and faces Republican nominee Dillan Vancil in the November general election. The district, which covers north-central areas including Rockford, the Quad Cities, Bloomington, and Peoria, carries a modest Democratic tilt reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+3 and Sorensen’s 2024 victory margin. This baseline, combined with incumbency advantages and limited reported shifts in voter sentiment since the primaries, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. No major late-breaking events or polling surges have altered the competitive positioning in recent months, keeping probabilities closely aligned with the seat’s structural lean.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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