Incumbent Republican Darin LaHood faces Democrat Paul Nolley in the November 3, 2026, general election for Illinois’s 16th congressional district, a rural northern Illinois seat with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+11. LaHood advanced unopposed through the March 2026 Republican primary, while Nolley secured the Democratic nomination without opposition. The district’s consistent Republican voting patterns, LaHood’s incumbency and established name recognition, and the absence of competitive challengers or major recent developments have produced strong trader consensus favoring the Republican outcome. A Democratic victory would require an unusually large national midterm swing, a significant local scandal, or polling miscalculation far exceeding historical norms for this solidly Republican district.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$28,809 交易量
$28,809 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
92%
民主党
8%
$28,809 交易量
$28,809 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$11,705 交易量
92%
民主党
$17,104 交易量
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Darin LaHood faces Democrat Paul Nolley in the November 3, 2026, general election for Illinois’s 16th congressional district, a rural northern Illinois seat with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+11. LaHood advanced unopposed through the March 2026 Republican primary, while Nolley secured the Democratic nomination without opposition. The district’s consistent Republican voting patterns, LaHood’s incumbency and established name recognition, and the absence of competitive challengers or major recent developments have produced strong trader consensus favoring the Republican outcome. A Democratic victory would require an unusually large national midterm swing, a significant local scandal, or polling miscalculation far exceeding historical norms for this solidly Republican district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
交易量
$28,809结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Darin LaHood faces Democrat Paul Nolley in the November 3, 2026, general election for Illinois’s 16th congressional district, a rural northern Illinois seat with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+11. LaHood advanced unopposed through the March 2026 Republican primary, while Nolley secured the Democratic nomination without opposition. The district’s consistent Republican voting patterns, LaHood’s incumbency and established name recognition, and the absence of competitive challengers or major recent developments have produced strong trader consensus favoring the Republican outcome. A Democratic victory would require an unusually large national midterm swing, a significant local scandal, or polling miscalculation far exceeding historical norms for this solidly Republican district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$28,809结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Darin LaHood faces Democrat Paul Nolley in the November 3, 2026, general election for Illinois’s 16th congressional district, a rural northern Illinois seat with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+11. LaHood advanced unopposed through the March 2026 Republican primary, while Nolley secured the Democratic nomination without opposition. The district’s consistent Republican voting patterns, LaHood’s incumbency and established name recognition, and the absence of competitive challengers or major recent developments have produced strong trader consensus favoring the Republican outcome. A Democratic victory would require an unusually large national midterm swing, a significant local scandal, or polling miscalculation far exceeding historical norms for this solidly Republican district.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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