New Jersey’s 10th congressional district remains a reliably Democratic seat anchored by urban centers with consistent partisan margins exceeding 40 points in recent cycles. Incumbent LaMonica McIver secured the Democratic nomination in the June 2026 primary by a wide margin against limited opposition, while Republican Carmen Bucco faces minimal organizational or fundraising support. Nonpartisan analysts rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting stable voter registration advantages and historical turnout patterns. Trader consensus at 95.5% for Democrats aligns with these structural factors. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen event such as a major incumbent scandal or health issue between now and November that alters local dynamics or depresses Democratic participation.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$46,664 交易量
$46,664 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
96%
共和党
5%
$46,664 交易量
$46,664 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$13,890 交易量
96%
共和党
$32,774 交易量
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).New Jersey’s 10th congressional district remains a reliably Democratic seat anchored by urban centers with consistent partisan margins exceeding 40 points in recent cycles. Incumbent LaMonica McIver secured the Democratic nomination in the June 2026 primary by a wide margin against limited opposition, while Republican Carmen Bucco faces minimal organizational or fundraising support. Nonpartisan analysts rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting stable voter registration advantages and historical turnout patterns. Trader consensus at 95.5% for Democrats aligns with these structural factors. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen event such as a major incumbent scandal or health issue between now and November that alters local dynamics or depresses Democratic participation.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
交易量
$46,664结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).New Jersey’s 10th congressional district remains a reliably Democratic seat anchored by urban centers with consistent partisan margins exceeding 40 points in recent cycles. Incumbent LaMonica McIver secured the Democratic nomination in the June 2026 primary by a wide margin against limited opposition, while Republican Carmen Bucco faces minimal organizational or fundraising support. Nonpartisan analysts rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting stable voter registration advantages and historical turnout patterns. Trader consensus at 95.5% for Democrats aligns with these structural factors. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen event such as a major incumbent scandal or health issue between now and November that alters local dynamics or depresses Democratic participation.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$46,664结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...New Jersey’s 10th congressional district remains a reliably Democratic seat anchored by urban centers with consistent partisan margins exceeding 40 points in recent cycles. Incumbent LaMonica McIver secured the Democratic nomination in the June 2026 primary by a wide margin against limited opposition, while Republican Carmen Bucco faces minimal organizational or fundraising support. Nonpartisan analysts rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting stable voter registration advantages and historical turnout patterns. Trader consensus at 95.5% for Democrats aligns with these structural factors. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen event such as a major incumbent scandal or health issue between now and November that alters local dynamics or depresses Democratic participation.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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