Maryland’s 7th Congressional District, anchored in Baltimore and surrounding suburbs, carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+31 and has delivered Democratic margins above 75 percent in recent cycles. Incumbent Democrat Kweisi Mfume, who captured 80.3 percent of the vote in 2024, faces a June 23 primary against several challengers but remains the prohibitive favorite to secure renomination. Republican nominee Scott Collier is expected to contest the November 3 general election. Independent race ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic. These structural factors—incumbency, partisan composition, and consistent historical performance—underpin trader consensus that the Democratic nominee will win the seat.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$15,584 交易量
$15,584 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
89%
共和党
5%
$15,584 交易量
$15,584 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$9,212 交易量
89%
共和党
$6,372 交易量
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland’s 7th Congressional District, anchored in Baltimore and surrounding suburbs, carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+31 and has delivered Democratic margins above 75 percent in recent cycles. Incumbent Democrat Kweisi Mfume, who captured 80.3 percent of the vote in 2024, faces a June 23 primary against several challengers but remains the prohibitive favorite to secure renomination. Republican nominee Scott Collier is expected to contest the November 3 general election. Independent race ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic. These structural factors—incumbency, partisan composition, and consistent historical performance—underpin trader consensus that the Democratic nominee will win the seat.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
交易量
$15,584结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland’s 7th Congressional District, anchored in Baltimore and surrounding suburbs, carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+31 and has delivered Democratic margins above 75 percent in recent cycles. Incumbent Democrat Kweisi Mfume, who captured 80.3 percent of the vote in 2024, faces a June 23 primary against several challengers but remains the prohibitive favorite to secure renomination. Republican nominee Scott Collier is expected to contest the November 3 general election. Independent race ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic. These structural factors—incumbency, partisan composition, and consistent historical performance—underpin trader consensus that the Democratic nominee will win the seat.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$15,584结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Maryland’s 7th Congressional District, anchored in Baltimore and surrounding suburbs, carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+31 and has delivered Democratic margins above 75 percent in recent cycles. Incumbent Democrat Kweisi Mfume, who captured 80.3 percent of the vote in 2024, faces a June 23 primary against several challengers but remains the prohibitive favorite to secure renomination. Republican nominee Scott Collier is expected to contest the November 3 general election. Independent race ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic. These structural factors—incumbency, partisan composition, and consistent historical performance—underpin trader consensus that the Democratic nominee will win the seat.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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