Massachusetts's 7th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+34 and consistent historical results favoring Democratic candidates by wide margins. Incumbent Ayanna Pressley faces the September 1, 2026 Democratic primary with no significant opposition filed, while Republican and independent general election challengers remain minimal ahead of the November 3 contest. This structural advantage, combined with Massachusetts's overall partisan makeup and the absence of competitive filing activity by the June 2 deadline, underpins trader consensus around a Democratic outcome. Potential shifts remain limited to low-probability events such as an unforeseen primary upset, late candidate entry, or unusual turnout dynamics that have not materialized in prior cycles.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$17,232 交易量
$17,232 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
95%
共和党
3%
$17,232 交易量
$17,232 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$9,264 交易量
95%
共和党
$7,968 交易量
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Massachusetts's 7th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+34 and consistent historical results favoring Democratic candidates by wide margins. Incumbent Ayanna Pressley faces the September 1, 2026 Democratic primary with no significant opposition filed, while Republican and independent general election challengers remain minimal ahead of the November 3 contest. This structural advantage, combined with Massachusetts's overall partisan makeup and the absence of competitive filing activity by the June 2 deadline, underpins trader consensus around a Democratic outcome. Potential shifts remain limited to low-probability events such as an unforeseen primary upset, late candidate entry, or unusual turnout dynamics that have not materialized in prior cycles.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
交易量
$17,232结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Massachusetts's 7th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+34 and consistent historical results favoring Democratic candidates by wide margins. Incumbent Ayanna Pressley faces the September 1, 2026 Democratic primary with no significant opposition filed, while Republican and independent general election challengers remain minimal ahead of the November 3 contest. This structural advantage, combined with Massachusetts's overall partisan makeup and the absence of competitive filing activity by the June 2 deadline, underpins trader consensus around a Democratic outcome. Potential shifts remain limited to low-probability events such as an unforeseen primary upset, late candidate entry, or unusual turnout dynamics that have not materialized in prior cycles.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$17,232结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Massachusetts's 7th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+34 and consistent historical results favoring Democratic candidates by wide margins. Incumbent Ayanna Pressley faces the September 1, 2026 Democratic primary with no significant opposition filed, while Republican and independent general election challengers remain minimal ahead of the November 3 contest. This structural advantage, combined with Massachusetts's overall partisan makeup and the absence of competitive filing activity by the June 2 deadline, underpins trader consensus around a Democratic outcome. Potential shifts remain limited to low-probability events such as an unforeseen primary upset, late candidate entry, or unusual turnout dynamics that have not materialized in prior cycles.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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