The Massachusetts 6th congressional district’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+11 partisan voting index and consistent Solid Democratic ratings from nonpartisan forecasters, underpins the overwhelming trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee in the 2026 general election. Seth Moulton’s decision to vacate the seat for a Senate primary challenge created an open race, spurring a crowded Democratic primary scheduled for September 1, yet the district’s voting patterns and lack of competitive Republican infrastructure have kept GOP prospects minimal. Forecasters cite the area’s North Shore demographics and historical margins exceeding 20 points as durable barriers, with any realistic shift hinging on an unusually weak Democratic nominee or a national Republican wave that has not materialized in recent cycles.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$14,691 交易量
$14,691 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
93%
共和党
4%
$14,691 交易量
$14,691 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$6,787 交易量
93%
共和党
$7,903 交易量
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Massachusetts 6th congressional district’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+11 partisan voting index and consistent Solid Democratic ratings from nonpartisan forecasters, underpins the overwhelming trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee in the 2026 general election. Seth Moulton’s decision to vacate the seat for a Senate primary challenge created an open race, spurring a crowded Democratic primary scheduled for September 1, yet the district’s voting patterns and lack of competitive Republican infrastructure have kept GOP prospects minimal. Forecasters cite the area’s North Shore demographics and historical margins exceeding 20 points as durable barriers, with any realistic shift hinging on an unusually weak Democratic nominee or a national Republican wave that has not materialized in recent cycles.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
交易量
$14,691结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Massachusetts 6th congressional district’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+11 partisan voting index and consistent Solid Democratic ratings from nonpartisan forecasters, underpins the overwhelming trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee in the 2026 general election. Seth Moulton’s decision to vacate the seat for a Senate primary challenge created an open race, spurring a crowded Democratic primary scheduled for September 1, yet the district’s voting patterns and lack of competitive Republican infrastructure have kept GOP prospects minimal. Forecasters cite the area’s North Shore demographics and historical margins exceeding 20 points as durable barriers, with any realistic shift hinging on an unusually weak Democratic nominee or a national Republican wave that has not materialized in recent cycles.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$14,691结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Massachusetts 6th congressional district’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+11 partisan voting index and consistent Solid Democratic ratings from nonpartisan forecasters, underpins the overwhelming trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee in the 2026 general election. Seth Moulton’s decision to vacate the seat for a Senate primary challenge created an open race, spurring a crowded Democratic primary scheduled for September 1, yet the district’s voting patterns and lack of competitive Republican infrastructure have kept GOP prospects minimal. Forecasters cite the area’s North Shore demographics and historical margins exceeding 20 points as durable barriers, with any realistic shift hinging on an unusually weak Democratic nominee or a national Republican wave that has not materialized in recent cycles.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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