North Carolina’s 14th congressional district leans solidly Republican, with a partisan voting index around R+8 and prior presidential results showing a 15-point Trump margin, anchoring trader expectations for the Republican nominee. Incumbent Tim Moore secured the GOP primary nomination in March 2026 with strong support, while Democrat Lakesha Womack emerged from a divided primary field. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the seat as Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting limited Democratic path to victory absent major shifts in turnout or national conditions. The November 2026 general election timeline leaves room for standard midterm dynamics but offers few immediate catalysts to alter the current implied probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$19,045 交易量
$19,045 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
77%
民主党
24%
$19,045 交易量
$19,045 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$6,115 交易量
77%
民主党
$12,930 交易量
24%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).North Carolina’s 14th congressional district leans solidly Republican, with a partisan voting index around R+8 and prior presidential results showing a 15-point Trump margin, anchoring trader expectations for the Republican nominee. Incumbent Tim Moore secured the GOP primary nomination in March 2026 with strong support, while Democrat Lakesha Womack emerged from a divided primary field. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the seat as Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting limited Democratic path to victory absent major shifts in turnout or national conditions. The November 2026 general election timeline leaves room for standard midterm dynamics but offers few immediate catalysts to alter the current implied probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
交易量
$19,045结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).North Carolina’s 14th congressional district leans solidly Republican, with a partisan voting index around R+8 and prior presidential results showing a 15-point Trump margin, anchoring trader expectations for the Republican nominee. Incumbent Tim Moore secured the GOP primary nomination in March 2026 with strong support, while Democrat Lakesha Womack emerged from a divided primary field. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the seat as Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting limited Democratic path to victory absent major shifts in turnout or national conditions. The November 2026 general election timeline leaves room for standard midterm dynamics but offers few immediate catalysts to alter the current implied probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$19,045结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...North Carolina’s 14th congressional district leans solidly Republican, with a partisan voting index around R+8 and prior presidential results showing a 15-point Trump margin, anchoring trader expectations for the Republican nominee. Incumbent Tim Moore secured the GOP primary nomination in March 2026 with strong support, while Democrat Lakesha Womack emerged from a divided primary field. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the seat as Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting limited Democratic path to victory absent major shifts in turnout or national conditions. The November 2026 general election timeline leaves room for standard midterm dynamics but offers few immediate catalysts to alter the current implied probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题