Republican incumbent Brad Knott secured his party's nomination in the March 2026 primary and enters the November general election with structural advantages in North Carolina's 13th district, rated Solid Republican by the Cook Political Report with an R+8 partisan voting index. Recent polls from spring and early summer 2026 showed Knott leading Democratic challenger Paul Barringer by modest margins in a race featuring limited national attention or major campaign shifts. Traders' strong consensus on the Republican outcome aligns with the district's voting history, the absence of competitive Democratic momentum, and standard midterm patterns favoring the party holding the seat in non-swing terrain. No significant late developments have altered this positioning ahead of the November 3 contest.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于共和党
84%
民主党
16%
共和党
84%
民主党
16%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican incumbent Brad Knott secured his party's nomination in the March 2026 primary and enters the November general election with structural advantages in North Carolina's 13th district, rated Solid Republican by the Cook Political Report with an R+8 partisan voting index. Recent polls from spring and early summer 2026 showed Knott leading Democratic challenger Paul Barringer by modest margins in a race featuring limited national attention or major campaign shifts. Traders' strong consensus on the Republican outcome aligns with the district's voting history, the absence of competitive Democratic momentum, and standard midterm patterns favoring the party holding the seat in non-swing terrain. No significant late developments have altered this positioning ahead of the November 3 contest.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于


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警惕外部链接哦。
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