**Republican nominee Brad Knott holds a strong position in North Carolina’s 13th congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election.** The freshman incumbent secured his party’s nomination with nearly 90 percent of the vote in the March primary, while Democrat Paul Barringer emerged from a low-turnout Democratic contest. Multiple nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as Solid Republican, reflecting a Cook Partisan Voting Index of roughly R+9 and a post-2025 redistricting map that added Republican-leaning territory. With the general election still five months away, trader consensus at 83 percent Republican probability aligns with the district’s structural advantages, limited Democratic fundraising visibility, and the absence of major late-breaking developments that would shift the race into competitive territory. Historical midterm patterns and the current national environment further support expectations of an incumbent hold unless unforeseen national or local events intervene.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-03
共和党
83%
民主党
16%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
共和党
$3,666 交易量
83%
民主党
$5,168 交易量
16%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Republican nominee Brad Knott holds a strong position in North Carolina’s 13th congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election.** The freshman incumbent secured his party’s nomination with nearly 90 percent of the vote in the March primary, while Democrat Paul Barringer emerged from a low-turnout Democratic contest. Multiple nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as Solid Republican, reflecting a Cook Partisan Voting Index of roughly R+9 and a post-2025 redistricting map that added Republican-leaning territory.
With the general election still five months away, trader consensus at 83 percent Republican probability aligns with the district’s structural advantages, limited Democratic fundraising visibility, and the absence of major late-breaking developments that would shift the race into competitive territory. Historical midterm patterns and the current national environment further support expectations of an incumbent hold unless unforeseen national or local events intervene.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
交易量
$8,834结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Republican nominee Brad Knott holds a strong position in North Carolina’s 13th congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election.** The freshman incumbent secured his party’s nomination with nearly 90 percent of the vote in the March primary, while Democrat Paul Barringer emerged from a low-turnout Democratic contest. Multiple nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as Solid Republican, reflecting a Cook Partisan Voting Index of roughly R+9 and a post-2025 redistricting map that added Republican-leaning territory.
With the general election still five months away, trader consensus at 83 percent Republican probability aligns with the district’s structural advantages, limited Democratic fundraising visibility, and the absence of major late-breaking developments that would shift the race into competitive territory. Historical midterm patterns and the current national environment further support expectations of an incumbent hold unless unforeseen national or local events intervene.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$8,834结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...**Republican nominee Brad Knott holds a strong position in North Carolina’s 13th congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election.** The freshman incumbent secured his party’s nomination with nearly 90 percent of the vote in the March primary, while Democrat Paul Barringer emerged from a low-turnout Democratic contest. Multiple nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as Solid Republican, reflecting a Cook Partisan Voting Index of roughly R+9 and a post-2025 redistricting map that added Republican-leaning territory. With the general election still five months away, trader consensus at 83 percent Republican probability aligns with the district’s structural advantages, limited Democratic fundraising visibility, and the absence of major late-breaking developments that would shift the race into competitive territory. Historical midterm patterns and the current national environment further support expectations of an incumbent hold unless unforeseen national or local events intervene.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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