Republican incumbent Brad Knott secured renomination with nearly 90% of the vote in the March 2026 primary for North Carolina’s 13th congressional district, while Democrat Paul Barringer prevailed in his party’s contest. The seat carries a Republican-leaning partisan voting index of roughly R+8 to R+9 under the map enacted in late 2025, consistent with Knott’s 2024 victory margin. With the November 2026 general election still months away, limited polling and fundraising data show no major shifts that would alter the district’s structural tilt. Trader consensus reflected in current prices aligns with this combination of incumbency advantage, redistricting effects, and baseline voting patterns that have historically favored Republican House candidates in the area.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于共和党
83%
民主党
16%
共和党
83%
民主党
16%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican incumbent Brad Knott secured renomination with nearly 90% of the vote in the March 2026 primary for North Carolina’s 13th congressional district, while Democrat Paul Barringer prevailed in his party’s contest. The seat carries a Republican-leaning partisan voting index of roughly R+8 to R+9 under the map enacted in late 2025, consistent with Knott’s 2024 victory margin. With the November 2026 general election still months away, limited polling and fundraising data show no major shifts that would alter the district’s structural tilt. Trader consensus reflected in current prices aligns with this combination of incumbency advantage, redistricting effects, and baseline voting patterns that have historically favored Republican House candidates in the area.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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