Idaho’s 1st Congressional District remains a strongly Republican seat, reflected in trader consensus pricing the Republican nominee at 95 percent. Incumbent Russ Fulcher secured renomination in the May 19, 2026 primary with roughly 78 percent of the vote against limited intra-party opposition, while Democrat Kaylee Peterson advanced on her side. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with the district’s partisan voting index exceeding R+20 and its history of large GOP margins. No significant late-cycle developments have altered the outlook. A major personal or ethical controversy involving Fulcher, a national political realignment of unusual magnitude, or an unforeseen surge in Democratic turnout could narrow the gap, though such shifts lack current evidence in primary results or district fundamentals.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$34,550 交易量
$34,550 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
95%
民主党
2%
$34,550 交易量
$34,550 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$21,726 交易量
95%
民主党
$12,824 交易量
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ID-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Idaho’s 1st Congressional District remains a strongly Republican seat, reflected in trader consensus pricing the Republican nominee at 95 percent. Incumbent Russ Fulcher secured renomination in the May 19, 2026 primary with roughly 78 percent of the vote against limited intra-party opposition, while Democrat Kaylee Peterson advanced on her side. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with the district’s partisan voting index exceeding R+20 and its history of large GOP margins. No significant late-cycle developments have altered the outlook. A major personal or ethical controversy involving Fulcher, a national political realignment of unusual magnitude, or an unforeseen surge in Democratic turnout could narrow the gap, though such shifts lack current evidence in primary results or district fundamentals.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ID-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
交易量
$34,550结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ID-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Idaho’s 1st Congressional District remains a strongly Republican seat, reflected in trader consensus pricing the Republican nominee at 95 percent. Incumbent Russ Fulcher secured renomination in the May 19, 2026 primary with roughly 78 percent of the vote against limited intra-party opposition, while Democrat Kaylee Peterson advanced on her side. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with the district’s partisan voting index exceeding R+20 and its history of large GOP margins. No significant late-cycle developments have altered the outlook. A major personal or ethical controversy involving Fulcher, a national political realignment of unusual magnitude, or an unforeseen surge in Democratic turnout could narrow the gap, though such shifts lack current evidence in primary results or district fundamentals.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ID-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$34,550结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Idaho’s 1st Congressional District remains a strongly Republican seat, reflected in trader consensus pricing the Republican nominee at 95 percent. Incumbent Russ Fulcher secured renomination in the May 19, 2026 primary with roughly 78 percent of the vote against limited intra-party opposition, while Democrat Kaylee Peterson advanced on her side. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with the district’s partisan voting index exceeding R+20 and its history of large GOP margins. No significant late-cycle developments have altered the outlook. A major personal or ethical controversy involving Fulcher, a national political realignment of unusual magnitude, or an unforeseen surge in Democratic turnout could narrow the gap, though such shifts lack current evidence in primary results or district fundamentals.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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