Idaho’s 2nd congressional district remains a strongly Republican-leaning seat covering eastern Idaho and portions of the Boise area, where incumbent Representative Mike Simpson secured renomination in the May 2026 primary and enters the general election against Democratic nominee Elinor Gilbreath. Simpson’s long tenure, consistent fundraising edge, and the district’s voting patterns in recent cycles underpin the current trader consensus favoring a Republican hold. Nonpartisan race ratings classify the contest as safe or solid Republican. A late scandal involving the incumbent or an unusually strong Democratic national environment could narrow the margin, though structural factors such as partisan registration and past election results limit the scope for an upset.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-03
共和党
93%
民主党
8%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
共和党
$3,049 交易量
93%
民主党
$3,409 交易量
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ID-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Idaho’s 2nd congressional district remains a strongly Republican-leaning seat covering eastern Idaho and portions of the Boise area, where incumbent Representative Mike Simpson secured renomination in the May 2026 primary and enters the general election against Democratic nominee Elinor Gilbreath. Simpson’s long tenure, consistent fundraising edge, and the district’s voting patterns in recent cycles underpin the current trader consensus favoring a Republican hold. Nonpartisan race ratings classify the contest as safe or solid Republican. A late scandal involving the incumbent or an unusually strong Democratic national environment could narrow the margin, though structural factors such as partisan registration and past election results limit the scope for an upset.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ID-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
交易量
$6,458结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ID-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Idaho’s 2nd congressional district remains a strongly Republican-leaning seat covering eastern Idaho and portions of the Boise area, where incumbent Representative Mike Simpson secured renomination in the May 2026 primary and enters the general election against Democratic nominee Elinor Gilbreath. Simpson’s long tenure, consistent fundraising edge, and the district’s voting patterns in recent cycles underpin the current trader consensus favoring a Republican hold. Nonpartisan race ratings classify the contest as safe or solid Republican. A late scandal involving the incumbent or an unusually strong Democratic national environment could narrow the margin, though structural factors such as partisan registration and past election results limit the scope for an upset.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ID-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$6,458结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Idaho’s 2nd congressional district remains a strongly Republican-leaning seat covering eastern Idaho and portions of the Boise area, where incumbent Representative Mike Simpson secured renomination in the May 2026 primary and enters the general election against Democratic nominee Elinor Gilbreath. Simpson’s long tenure, consistent fundraising edge, and the district’s voting patterns in recent cycles underpin the current trader consensus favoring a Republican hold. Nonpartisan race ratings classify the contest as safe or solid Republican. A late scandal involving the incumbent or an unusually strong Democratic national environment could narrow the margin, though structural factors such as partisan registration and past election results limit the scope for an upset.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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