**Democratic nominee Bobby Pulido holds a modest edge in trader consensus for Texas’s 15th District.** Pulido, a Tejano musician, secured the Democratic nomination with a decisive 67.5% primary win on March 3, 2026, demonstrating strong grassroots support in the Rio Grande Valley. Incumbent Republican Monica De La Cruz ran unopposed in her primary and enters the November 3 general as a two-term representative in a district with an R+7 Cook Partisan Voting Index. Recent polling showed the race within a few points, with notable Democratic primary turnout among Latino voters potentially narrowing historical Republican margins. National midterm dynamics and local candidate appeal appear to be the main variables shaping current implied probabilities ahead of the general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-04
民主党
61%
共和党
40%
最新
最新
2026-11-04
民主党
$1,110 交易量
61%
共和党
$1,243 交易量
40%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Democratic nominee Bobby Pulido holds a modest edge in trader consensus for Texas’s 15th District.** Pulido, a Tejano musician, secured the Democratic nomination with a decisive 67.5% primary win on March 3, 2026, demonstrating strong grassroots support in the Rio Grande Valley. Incumbent Republican Monica De La Cruz ran unopposed in her primary and enters the November 3 general as a two-term representative in a district with an R+7 Cook Partisan Voting Index. Recent polling showed the race within a few points, with notable Democratic primary turnout among Latino voters potentially narrowing historical Republican margins. National midterm dynamics and local candidate appeal appear to be the main variables shaping current implied probabilities ahead of the general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ET
交易量
$2,353结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Democratic nominee Bobby Pulido holds a modest edge in trader consensus for Texas’s 15th District.** Pulido, a Tejano musician, secured the Democratic nomination with a decisive 67.5% primary win on March 3, 2026, demonstrating strong grassroots support in the Rio Grande Valley. Incumbent Republican Monica De La Cruz ran unopposed in her primary and enters the November 3 general as a two-term representative in a district with an R+7 Cook Partisan Voting Index. Recent polling showed the race within a few points, with notable Democratic primary turnout among Latino voters potentially narrowing historical Republican margins. National midterm dynamics and local candidate appeal appear to be the main variables shaping current implied probabilities ahead of the general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$2,353结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...**Democratic nominee Bobby Pulido holds a modest edge in trader consensus for Texas’s 15th District.** Pulido, a Tejano musician, secured the Democratic nomination with a decisive 67.5% primary win on March 3, 2026, demonstrating strong grassroots support in the Rio Grande Valley. Incumbent Republican Monica De La Cruz ran unopposed in her primary and enters the November 3 general as a two-term representative in a district with an R+7 Cook Partisan Voting Index. Recent polling showed the race within a few points, with notable Democratic primary turnout among Latino voters potentially narrowing historical Republican margins. National midterm dynamics and local candidate appeal appear to be the main variables shaping current implied probabilities ahead of the general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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