The general election matchup in Texas’s 15th congressional district pits incumbent Republican Monica De La Cruz against Democratic nominee Bobby Pulido, a Tejano musician who won his party’s primary by a wide margin in March 2026. South Texas demographics, particularly Latino voter turnout and preferences in this R+7 Cook Partisan Voting Index district, remain central to assessments of the contest. An early September 2025 poll sponsored by a Democratic group showed De La Cruz ahead by three points, underscoring the race’s competitiveness despite the incumbent’s prior 57 percent general-election performance. With the November 3, 2026, vote still months away and no major intervening developments reported, trader positioning reflects uncertainty around turnout dynamics, fundraising, and potential shifts in national midterm conditions.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-04
民主党
54%
共和党
45%
最新
最新
2026-11-04
民主党
$1,105 交易量
54%
共和党
$1,243 交易量
45%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The general election matchup in Texas’s 15th congressional district pits incumbent Republican Monica De La Cruz against Democratic nominee Bobby Pulido, a Tejano musician who won his party’s primary by a wide margin in March 2026. South Texas demographics, particularly Latino voter turnout and preferences in this R+7 Cook Partisan Voting Index district, remain central to assessments of the contest. An early September 2025 poll sponsored by a Democratic group showed De La Cruz ahead by three points, underscoring the race’s competitiveness despite the incumbent’s prior 57 percent general-election performance. With the November 3, 2026, vote still months away and no major intervening developments reported, trader positioning reflects uncertainty around turnout dynamics, fundraising, and potential shifts in national midterm conditions.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ET
交易量
$2,348结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The general election matchup in Texas’s 15th congressional district pits incumbent Republican Monica De La Cruz against Democratic nominee Bobby Pulido, a Tejano musician who won his party’s primary by a wide margin in March 2026. South Texas demographics, particularly Latino voter turnout and preferences in this R+7 Cook Partisan Voting Index district, remain central to assessments of the contest. An early September 2025 poll sponsored by a Democratic group showed De La Cruz ahead by three points, underscoring the race’s competitiveness despite the incumbent’s prior 57 percent general-election performance. With the November 3, 2026, vote still months away and no major intervening developments reported, trader positioning reflects uncertainty around turnout dynamics, fundraising, and potential shifts in national midterm conditions.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$2,348结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The general election matchup in Texas’s 15th congressional district pits incumbent Republican Monica De La Cruz against Democratic nominee Bobby Pulido, a Tejano musician who won his party’s primary by a wide margin in March 2026. South Texas demographics, particularly Latino voter turnout and preferences in this R+7 Cook Partisan Voting Index district, remain central to assessments of the contest. An early September 2025 poll sponsored by a Democratic group showed De La Cruz ahead by three points, underscoring the race’s competitiveness despite the incumbent’s prior 57 percent general-election performance. With the November 3, 2026, vote still months away and no major intervening developments reported, trader positioning reflects uncertainty around turnout dynamics, fundraising, and potential shifts in national midterm conditions.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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