The general election matchup in Texas’s 15th Congressional District pits Republican incumbent Monica De La Cruz against Democratic nominee Bobby Pulido, with the race rated competitive by forecasters amid the district’s R+7 partisan voting index. Pulido secured the Democratic nomination by a wide margin in the March 2026 primary, positioning him to capitalize on name recognition as a Tejano musician in a heavily Latino South Texas district. A September 2025 head-to-head poll showed the candidates separated by just three points with a large undecided share, reflecting voter shifts that have made the seat more contested than its recent Republican margins of 53-57 percent would suggest. Traders appear to weigh these local dynamics and polling trends more heavily than the district’s historical lean, resulting in the current implied probabilities. The November 3 general election remains months away, leaving room for further campaign developments to influence outcomes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-04
民主党
58%
共和党
43%
最新
最新
2026-11-04
民主党
$1,105 交易量
58%
共和党
$1,243 交易量
43%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The general election matchup in Texas’s 15th Congressional District pits Republican incumbent Monica De La Cruz against Democratic nominee Bobby Pulido, with the race rated competitive by forecasters amid the district’s R+7 partisan voting index. Pulido secured the Democratic nomination by a wide margin in the March 2026 primary, positioning him to capitalize on name recognition as a Tejano musician in a heavily Latino South Texas district. A September 2025 head-to-head poll showed the candidates separated by just three points with a large undecided share, reflecting voter shifts that have made the seat more contested than its recent Republican margins of 53-57 percent would suggest. Traders appear to weigh these local dynamics and polling trends more heavily than the district’s historical lean, resulting in the current implied probabilities. The November 3 general election remains months away, leaving room for further campaign developments to influence outcomes.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ET
交易量
$2,348结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The general election matchup in Texas’s 15th Congressional District pits Republican incumbent Monica De La Cruz against Democratic nominee Bobby Pulido, with the race rated competitive by forecasters amid the district’s R+7 partisan voting index. Pulido secured the Democratic nomination by a wide margin in the March 2026 primary, positioning him to capitalize on name recognition as a Tejano musician in a heavily Latino South Texas district. A September 2025 head-to-head poll showed the candidates separated by just three points with a large undecided share, reflecting voter shifts that have made the seat more contested than its recent Republican margins of 53-57 percent would suggest. Traders appear to weigh these local dynamics and polling trends more heavily than the district’s historical lean, resulting in the current implied probabilities. The November 3 general election remains months away, leaving room for further campaign developments to influence outcomes.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$2,348结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The general election matchup in Texas’s 15th Congressional District pits Republican incumbent Monica De La Cruz against Democratic nominee Bobby Pulido, with the race rated competitive by forecasters amid the district’s R+7 partisan voting index. Pulido secured the Democratic nomination by a wide margin in the March 2026 primary, positioning him to capitalize on name recognition as a Tejano musician in a heavily Latino South Texas district. A September 2025 head-to-head poll showed the candidates separated by just three points with a large undecided share, reflecting voter shifts that have made the seat more contested than its recent Republican margins of 53-57 percent would suggest. Traders appear to weigh these local dynamics and polling trends more heavily than the district’s historical lean, resulting in the current implied probabilities. The November 3 general election remains months away, leaving room for further campaign developments to influence outcomes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题