Traders currently price the Democratic nominee as the favorite in Texas's 15th congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election. The race features Republican incumbent Monica De La Cruz against Democratic challenger Bobby Pulido, who secured his party's nomination by a wide margin in the March primary. The district's South Texas demographics, including a large Latino electorate, combined with the typical midterm environment under a Republican administration, underpin the current implied probabilities. Expert ratings still classify the seat as leaning or likely Republican based on its partisan voting index and 2024 results, creating a noted divergence from market pricing that could shift with national polling trends, campaign fundraising, or late-cycle events before Election Day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-04
民主党
57%
共和党
38%
最新
最新
2026-11-04
民主党
$1,105 交易量
57%
共和党
$1,243 交易量
38%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Traders currently price the Democratic nominee as the favorite in Texas's 15th congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election. The race features Republican incumbent Monica De La Cruz against Democratic challenger Bobby Pulido, who secured his party's nomination by a wide margin in the March primary. The district's South Texas demographics, including a large Latino electorate, combined with the typical midterm environment under a Republican administration, underpin the current implied probabilities. Expert ratings still classify the seat as leaning or likely Republican based on its partisan voting index and 2024 results, creating a noted divergence from market pricing that could shift with national polling trends, campaign fundraising, or late-cycle events before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ET
交易量
$2,348结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Traders currently price the Democratic nominee as the favorite in Texas's 15th congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election. The race features Republican incumbent Monica De La Cruz against Democratic challenger Bobby Pulido, who secured his party's nomination by a wide margin in the March primary. The district's South Texas demographics, including a large Latino electorate, combined with the typical midterm environment under a Republican administration, underpin the current implied probabilities. Expert ratings still classify the seat as leaning or likely Republican based on its partisan voting index and 2024 results, creating a noted divergence from market pricing that could shift with national polling trends, campaign fundraising, or late-cycle events before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$2,348结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Traders currently price the Democratic nominee as the favorite in Texas's 15th congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election. The race features Republican incumbent Monica De La Cruz against Democratic challenger Bobby Pulido, who secured his party's nomination by a wide margin in the March primary. The district's South Texas demographics, including a large Latino electorate, combined with the typical midterm environment under a Republican administration, underpin the current implied probabilities. Expert ratings still classify the seat as leaning or likely Republican based on its partisan voting index and 2024 results, creating a noted divergence from market pricing that could shift with national polling trends, campaign fundraising, or late-cycle events before Election Day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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