Recent polling in Texas’s 15th District shows Democratic challenger Bobby Pulido holding narrow leads over Republican incumbent Monica De La Cruz, including a 50-45 percent result in an August 2026 survey of likely voters. Redistricting adopted in 2025 altered the district’s boundaries, adding new territory where De La Cruz has limited prior visibility while shifting the partisan baseline toward Republicans. Pulido’s profile as a Tejano musician with deep roots in the Rio Grande Valley has supported strong name recognition and turnout potential among key voting blocs. De La Cruz maintains an edge in overall fundraising and emphasizes border security and agriculture priorities. Forecasters rate the race Lean Republican or Toss-up, yet trader pricing reflects the competitive polling environment and uncertainty over how new district lines and local candidate dynamics will translate on Election Day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$22,522 交易量
$22,522 交易量
2026-11-03
Bobby Pulido（民主党）
65%
莫妮卡·德拉克鲁斯（共和党）
37%
$22,522 交易量
$22,522 交易量
2026-11-03
Bobby Pulido（民主党）
$9,031 交易量
65%
莫妮卡·德拉克鲁斯（共和党）
$13,491 交易量
37%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Recent polling in Texas’s 15th District shows Democratic challenger Bobby Pulido holding narrow leads over Republican incumbent Monica De La Cruz, including a 50-45 percent result in an August 2026 survey of likely voters. Redistricting adopted in 2025 altered the district’s boundaries, adding new territory where De La Cruz has limited prior visibility while shifting the partisan baseline toward Republicans. Pulido’s profile as a Tejano musician with deep roots in the Rio Grande Valley has supported strong name recognition and turnout potential among key voting blocs. De La Cruz maintains an edge in overall fundraising and emphasizes border security and agriculture priorities. Forecasters rate the race Lean Republican or Toss-up, yet trader pricing reflects the competitive polling environment and uncertainty over how new district lines and local candidate dynamics will translate on Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ET
交易量
$22,522结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Recent polling in Texas’s 15th District shows Democratic challenger Bobby Pulido holding narrow leads over Republican incumbent Monica De La Cruz, including a 50-45 percent result in an August 2026 survey of likely voters. Redistricting adopted in 2025 altered the district’s boundaries, adding new territory where De La Cruz has limited prior visibility while shifting the partisan baseline toward Republicans. Pulido’s profile as a Tejano musician with deep roots in the Rio Grande Valley has supported strong name recognition and turnout potential among key voting blocs. De La Cruz maintains an edge in overall fundraising and emphasizes border security and agriculture priorities. Forecasters rate the race Lean Republican or Toss-up, yet trader pricing reflects the competitive polling environment and uncertainty over how new district lines and local candidate dynamics will translate on Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$22,522结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETRecent polling in Texas’s 15th District shows Democratic challenger Bobby Pulido holding narrow leads over Republican incumbent Monica De La Cruz, including a 50-45 percent result in an August 2026 survey of likely voters. Redistricting adopted in 2025 altered the district’s boundaries, adding new territory where De La Cruz has limited prior visibility while shifting the partisan baseline toward Republicans. Pulido’s profile as a Tejano musician with deep roots in the Rio Grande Valley has supported strong name recognition and turnout potential among key voting blocs. De La Cruz maintains an edge in overall fundraising and emphasizes border security and agriculture priorities. Forecasters rate the race Lean Republican or Toss-up, yet trader pricing reflects the competitive polling environment and uncertainty over how new district lines and local candidate dynamics will translate on Election Day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题