Bobby Pulido secured the Democratic nomination for Texas’s 15th congressional district with a decisive primary victory, positioning him to challenge incumbent Republican Monica De La Cruz in the November 2026 general election. The South Texas district, with its large Latino electorate and recent history of shifting partisan support, remains a focal point for both parties’ midterm strategies. Early polling showed the race within single digits, and traders appear to weigh Pulido’s name recognition and community ties against De La Cruz’s incumbency advantages and fundraising. National midterm dynamics, including voter turnout patterns in battleground areas, contribute to the current market positioning favoring the Democratic candidate at 57 percent implied probability.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-04
民主党
57%
共和党
41%
最新
最新
2026-11-04
民主党
$1,105 交易量
57%
共和党
$1,243 交易量
41%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Bobby Pulido secured the Democratic nomination for Texas’s 15th congressional district with a decisive primary victory, positioning him to challenge incumbent Republican Monica De La Cruz in the November 2026 general election. The South Texas district, with its large Latino electorate and recent history of shifting partisan support, remains a focal point for both parties’ midterm strategies. Early polling showed the race within single digits, and traders appear to weigh Pulido’s name recognition and community ties against De La Cruz’s incumbency advantages and fundraising. National midterm dynamics, including voter turnout patterns in battleground areas, contribute to the current market positioning favoring the Democratic candidate at 57 percent implied probability.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ET
交易量
$2,348结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Bobby Pulido secured the Democratic nomination for Texas’s 15th congressional district with a decisive primary victory, positioning him to challenge incumbent Republican Monica De La Cruz in the November 2026 general election. The South Texas district, with its large Latino electorate and recent history of shifting partisan support, remains a focal point for both parties’ midterm strategies. Early polling showed the race within single digits, and traders appear to weigh Pulido’s name recognition and community ties against De La Cruz’s incumbency advantages and fundraising. National midterm dynamics, including voter turnout patterns in battleground areas, contribute to the current market positioning favoring the Democratic candidate at 57 percent implied probability.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$2,348结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Bobby Pulido secured the Democratic nomination for Texas’s 15th congressional district with a decisive primary victory, positioning him to challenge incumbent Republican Monica De La Cruz in the November 2026 general election. The South Texas district, with its large Latino electorate and recent history of shifting partisan support, remains a focal point for both parties’ midterm strategies. Early polling showed the race within single digits, and traders appear to weigh Pulido’s name recognition and community ties against De La Cruz’s incumbency advantages and fundraising. National midterm dynamics, including voter turnout patterns in battleground areas, contribute to the current market positioning favoring the Democratic candidate at 57 percent implied probability.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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