Republican nominee Anthony Constantino holds a clear edge in New York’s 21st congressional district, reflecting its consistent right-leaning profile and the outcome of the June 2026 Republican primary. The open seat, vacated by former Representative Elise Stefanik, features Constantino—a Trump-endorsed businessman—facing Democratic nominee Blake Gendebien, a dairy farmer who prevailed in his party’s primary. Recent August polling from J.L. Partners showed Constantino ahead by double digits after leaners, though an earlier SurveyUSA survey had the race closer. The district’s partisan voter index and strong Republican performance in the prior presidential cycle reinforce trader expectations that the GOP will retain the seat on November 3, 2026, absent major shifts in voter sentiment.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$61,161 交易量
$61,161 交易量
2026-11-02
共和党
71%
民主党
28%
$61,161 交易量
$61,161 交易量
2026-11-02
共和党
$31,390 交易量
71%
民主党
$29,770 交易量
28%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican nominee Anthony Constantino holds a clear edge in New York’s 21st congressional district, reflecting its consistent right-leaning profile and the outcome of the June 2026 Republican primary. The open seat, vacated by former Representative Elise Stefanik, features Constantino—a Trump-endorsed businessman—facing Democratic nominee Blake Gendebien, a dairy farmer who prevailed in his party’s primary. Recent August polling from J.L. Partners showed Constantino ahead by double digits after leaners, though an earlier SurveyUSA survey had the race closer. The district’s partisan voter index and strong Republican performance in the prior presidential cycle reinforce trader expectations that the GOP will retain the seat on November 3, 2026, absent major shifts in voter sentiment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
交易量
$61,161结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican nominee Anthony Constantino holds a clear edge in New York’s 21st congressional district, reflecting its consistent right-leaning profile and the outcome of the June 2026 Republican primary. The open seat, vacated by former Representative Elise Stefanik, features Constantino—a Trump-endorsed businessman—facing Democratic nominee Blake Gendebien, a dairy farmer who prevailed in his party’s primary. Recent August polling from J.L. Partners showed Constantino ahead by double digits after leaners, though an earlier SurveyUSA survey had the race closer. The district’s partisan voter index and strong Republican performance in the prior presidential cycle reinforce trader expectations that the GOP will retain the seat on November 3, 2026, absent major shifts in voter sentiment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$61,161结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETRepublican nominee Anthony Constantino holds a clear edge in New York’s 21st congressional district, reflecting its consistent right-leaning profile and the outcome of the June 2026 Republican primary. The open seat, vacated by former Representative Elise Stefanik, features Constantino—a Trump-endorsed businessman—facing Democratic nominee Blake Gendebien, a dairy farmer who prevailed in his party’s primary. Recent August polling from J.L. Partners showed Constantino ahead by double digits after leaners, though an earlier SurveyUSA survey had the race closer. The district’s partisan voter index and strong Republican performance in the prior presidential cycle reinforce trader expectations that the GOP will retain the seat on November 3, 2026, absent major shifts in voter sentiment.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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