The June 2, 2026, top-two primary in California's 38th congressional district advanced Democrat Hilda Solis to face Republican Pedro Casas in the November general election, aligning with the seat's strong Democratic tilt after redistricting created an open contest. The district's partisan voting index and voter demographics in suburban eastern Los Angeles and Orange counties have long favored Democratic nominees, with multiple Democratic contenders splitting the primary vote yet still securing the top spot. Trader consensus at these levels reflects that structural advantage and the absence of competitive factors to date. Scenarios that could still shift the outcome include a major scandal, significant national political realignment before November, or unusually low Democratic turnout in this safe seat.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$58,838 交易量
$58,838 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
95%
共和党
2%
$58,838 交易量
$58,838 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$29,240 交易量
95%
共和党
$29,598 交易量
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The June 2, 2026, top-two primary in California's 38th congressional district advanced Democrat Hilda Solis to face Republican Pedro Casas in the November general election, aligning with the seat's strong Democratic tilt after redistricting created an open contest. The district's partisan voting index and voter demographics in suburban eastern Los Angeles and Orange counties have long favored Democratic nominees, with multiple Democratic contenders splitting the primary vote yet still securing the top spot. Trader consensus at these levels reflects that structural advantage and the absence of competitive factors to date. Scenarios that could still shift the outcome include a major scandal, significant national political realignment before November, or unusually low Democratic turnout in this safe seat.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$58,838结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The June 2, 2026, top-two primary in California's 38th congressional district advanced Democrat Hilda Solis to face Republican Pedro Casas in the November general election, aligning with the seat's strong Democratic tilt after redistricting created an open contest. The district's partisan voting index and voter demographics in suburban eastern Los Angeles and Orange counties have long favored Democratic nominees, with multiple Democratic contenders splitting the primary vote yet still securing the top spot. Trader consensus at these levels reflects that structural advantage and the absence of competitive factors to date. Scenarios that could still shift the outcome include a major scandal, significant national political realignment before November, or unusually low Democratic turnout in this safe seat.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$58,838结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The June 2, 2026, top-two primary in California's 38th congressional district advanced Democrat Hilda Solis to face Republican Pedro Casas in the November general election, aligning with the seat's strong Democratic tilt after redistricting created an open contest. The district's partisan voting index and voter demographics in suburban eastern Los Angeles and Orange counties have long favored Democratic nominees, with multiple Democratic contenders splitting the primary vote yet still securing the top spot. Trader consensus at these levels reflects that structural advantage and the absence of competitive factors to date. Scenarios that could still shift the outcome include a major scandal, significant national political realignment before November, or unusually low Democratic turnout in this safe seat.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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