Missouri’s 4th congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its Solid Republican rating from multiple forecasters and the incumbent’s 71 percent margin in the prior cycle. Mark Alford, the sitting representative, benefits from high name recognition, established fundraising, and limited opposition in the Republican primary ahead of the August 4 vote. The general election on November 3 is widely viewed by traders as low-risk for the GOP given the district’s partisan voting index and historical results. A Republican victory remains the consensus outcome unless a significant late development—such as an unforeseen scandal, health issue, or unusually strong Democratic turnout—materializes in the final months.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$34,928 交易量
$34,928 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
93%
民主党
7%
$34,928 交易量
$34,928 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$20,778 交易量
93%
民主党
$14,150 交易量
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Missouri’s 4th congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its Solid Republican rating from multiple forecasters and the incumbent’s 71 percent margin in the prior cycle. Mark Alford, the sitting representative, benefits from high name recognition, established fundraising, and limited opposition in the Republican primary ahead of the August 4 vote. The general election on November 3 is widely viewed by traders as low-risk for the GOP given the district’s partisan voting index and historical results. A Republican victory remains the consensus outcome unless a significant late development—such as an unforeseen scandal, health issue, or unusually strong Democratic turnout—materializes in the final months.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
交易量
$34,928结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Missouri’s 4th congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its Solid Republican rating from multiple forecasters and the incumbent’s 71 percent margin in the prior cycle. Mark Alford, the sitting representative, benefits from high name recognition, established fundraising, and limited opposition in the Republican primary ahead of the August 4 vote. The general election on November 3 is widely viewed by traders as low-risk for the GOP given the district’s partisan voting index and historical results. A Republican victory remains the consensus outcome unless a significant late development—such as an unforeseen scandal, health issue, or unusually strong Democratic turnout—materializes in the final months.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$34,928结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Missouri’s 4th congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its Solid Republican rating from multiple forecasters and the incumbent’s 71 percent margin in the prior cycle. Mark Alford, the sitting representative, benefits from high name recognition, established fundraising, and limited opposition in the Republican primary ahead of the August 4 vote. The general election on November 3 is widely viewed by traders as low-risk for the GOP given the district’s partisan voting index and historical results. A Republican victory remains the consensus outcome unless a significant late development—such as an unforeseen scandal, health issue, or unusually strong Democratic turnout—materializes in the final months.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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