Missouri's 4th congressional district maintains a pronounced Republican tilt, reinforced by incumbent Mark Alford's renomination bid and consistent ratings of Solid or Safe Republican from forecasters including Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Multiple Republican primary candidates filed for the August 4 contest, while Democratic contenders remain limited in visibility and resources, aligning with the district's historical voting patterns and modest opposition fundraising. Traders price the Republican nominee at 92 percent, reflecting entrenched partisan advantages and the absence of recent polling shifts or scandals that might narrow the contest. A late primary surprise or unusually high Democratic turnout could still introduce modest uncertainty before the November general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$44,410 交易量
$44,410 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
92%
民主党
9%
$44,410 交易量
$44,410 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$28,212 交易量
92%
民主党
$16,198 交易量
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Missouri's 4th congressional district maintains a pronounced Republican tilt, reinforced by incumbent Mark Alford's renomination bid and consistent ratings of Solid or Safe Republican from forecasters including Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Multiple Republican primary candidates filed for the August 4 contest, while Democratic contenders remain limited in visibility and resources, aligning with the district's historical voting patterns and modest opposition fundraising. Traders price the Republican nominee at 92 percent, reflecting entrenched partisan advantages and the absence of recent polling shifts or scandals that might narrow the contest. A late primary surprise or unusually high Democratic turnout could still introduce modest uncertainty before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
交易量
$44,410结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Missouri's 4th congressional district maintains a pronounced Republican tilt, reinforced by incumbent Mark Alford's renomination bid and consistent ratings of Solid or Safe Republican from forecasters including Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Multiple Republican primary candidates filed for the August 4 contest, while Democratic contenders remain limited in visibility and resources, aligning with the district's historical voting patterns and modest opposition fundraising. Traders price the Republican nominee at 92 percent, reflecting entrenched partisan advantages and the absence of recent polling shifts or scandals that might narrow the contest. A late primary surprise or unusually high Democratic turnout could still introduce modest uncertainty before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$44,410结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Missouri's 4th congressional district maintains a pronounced Republican tilt, reinforced by incumbent Mark Alford's renomination bid and consistent ratings of Solid or Safe Republican from forecasters including Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Multiple Republican primary candidates filed for the August 4 contest, while Democratic contenders remain limited in visibility and resources, aligning with the district's historical voting patterns and modest opposition fundraising. Traders price the Republican nominee at 92 percent, reflecting entrenched partisan advantages and the absence of recent polling shifts or scandals that might narrow the contest. A late primary surprise or unusually high Democratic turnout could still introduce modest uncertainty before the November general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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