The Republican Party holds a commanding position in Missouri's 3rd congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election, reflecting the seat's consistent partisan leanings and the presence of an incumbent Republican. Forecasters rate the race as solid or safe for the GOP, consistent with historical results in a district covering suburban and rural areas near St. Louis. The August 4 primaries feature an incumbent Republican facing one challenger and multiple Democrats vying for the nomination, yet these contests have not altered the broader outlook. Trader consensus incorporates the district's electoral math, low historical Democratic performance, and limited competitive indicators. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include an unusually strong national Democratic environment or unexpected primary outcomes that elevate a high-profile challenger, though structural factors limit such shifts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-03
共和党
91%
民主党
10%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
共和党
$67 交易量
91%
民主党
$5,653 交易量
10%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Republican Party holds a commanding position in Missouri's 3rd congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election, reflecting the seat's consistent partisan leanings and the presence of an incumbent Republican. Forecasters rate the race as solid or safe for the GOP, consistent with historical results in a district covering suburban and rural areas near St. Louis. The August 4 primaries feature an incumbent Republican facing one challenger and multiple Democrats vying for the nomination, yet these contests have not altered the broader outlook. Trader consensus incorporates the district's electoral math, low historical Democratic performance, and limited competitive indicators. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include an unusually strong national Democratic environment or unexpected primary outcomes that elevate a high-profile challenger, though structural factors limit such shifts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
交易量
$5,720结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Republican Party holds a commanding position in Missouri's 3rd congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election, reflecting the seat's consistent partisan leanings and the presence of an incumbent Republican. Forecasters rate the race as solid or safe for the GOP, consistent with historical results in a district covering suburban and rural areas near St. Louis. The August 4 primaries feature an incumbent Republican facing one challenger and multiple Democrats vying for the nomination, yet these contests have not altered the broader outlook. Trader consensus incorporates the district's electoral math, low historical Democratic performance, and limited competitive indicators. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include an unusually strong national Democratic environment or unexpected primary outcomes that elevate a high-profile challenger, though structural factors limit such shifts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$5,720结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Republican Party holds a commanding position in Missouri's 3rd congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election, reflecting the seat's consistent partisan leanings and the presence of an incumbent Republican. Forecasters rate the race as solid or safe for the GOP, consistent with historical results in a district covering suburban and rural areas near St. Louis. The August 4 primaries feature an incumbent Republican facing one challenger and multiple Democrats vying for the nomination, yet these contests have not altered the broader outlook. Trader consensus incorporates the district's electoral math, low historical Democratic performance, and limited competitive indicators. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include an unusually strong national Democratic environment or unexpected primary outcomes that elevate a high-profile challenger, though structural factors limit such shifts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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