Missouri's 3rd congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt rooted in its partisan composition, including St. Charles County suburbs and rural western areas, which has produced consistent GOP victories in recent cycles. Incumbent Representative Bob Onder faces a primary challenge but holds the advantages of name recognition and fundraising typical for sitting members in safe seats. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, aligning with the market's 90.5 percent consensus for the Republican nominee ahead of the August 4 primaries and November 3 general election. Democratic candidates in their primary have limited visibility in a district where structural factors and historical margins limit competitiveness. Shifts could occur if an upset alters the Republican nominee, national midterm dynamics produce unusually high suburban turnout, or late developments change the broader electoral environment.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-03
共和党
91%
民主党
10%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
共和党
$67 交易量
91%
民主党
$5,653 交易量
10%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Missouri's 3rd congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt rooted in its partisan composition, including St. Charles County suburbs and rural western areas, which has produced consistent GOP victories in recent cycles. Incumbent Representative Bob Onder faces a primary challenge but holds the advantages of name recognition and fundraising typical for sitting members in safe seats. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, aligning with the market's 90.5 percent consensus for the Republican nominee ahead of the August 4 primaries and November 3 general election. Democratic candidates in their primary have limited visibility in a district where structural factors and historical margins limit competitiveness. Shifts could occur if an upset alters the Republican nominee, national midterm dynamics produce unusually high suburban turnout, or late developments change the broader electoral environment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
交易量
$5,720结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Missouri's 3rd congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt rooted in its partisan composition, including St. Charles County suburbs and rural western areas, which has produced consistent GOP victories in recent cycles. Incumbent Representative Bob Onder faces a primary challenge but holds the advantages of name recognition and fundraising typical for sitting members in safe seats. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, aligning with the market's 90.5 percent consensus for the Republican nominee ahead of the August 4 primaries and November 3 general election. Democratic candidates in their primary have limited visibility in a district where structural factors and historical margins limit competitiveness. Shifts could occur if an upset alters the Republican nominee, national midterm dynamics produce unusually high suburban turnout, or late developments change the broader electoral environment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$5,720结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Missouri's 3rd congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt rooted in its partisan composition, including St. Charles County suburbs and rural western areas, which has produced consistent GOP victories in recent cycles. Incumbent Representative Bob Onder faces a primary challenge but holds the advantages of name recognition and fundraising typical for sitting members in safe seats. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, aligning with the market's 90.5 percent consensus for the Republican nominee ahead of the August 4 primaries and November 3 general election. Democratic candidates in their primary have limited visibility in a district where structural factors and historical margins limit competitiveness. Shifts could occur if an upset alters the Republican nominee, national midterm dynamics produce unusually high suburban turnout, or late developments change the broader electoral environment.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题