Missouri’s 3rd Congressional District maintains a strong Republican tilt rooted in its rural and suburban composition across eastern Missouri, reflected in the 2024 presidential margin exceeding 47 points Republican. Incumbent Representative Bob Onder faces only token primary opposition while Democratic contenders, including repeat candidate Bethany Mann, compete in an August 4 primary ahead of the November 3 general election. Forecasters across Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball uniformly classify the seat as Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with the district’s voting patterns and limited recent shifts in turnout or candidate recruitment. A national political environment favoring Democrats or an unusually strong general-election challenger could narrow the margin, though such developments remain distant and have not yet altered the race’s fundamentals.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-03
共和党
91%
民主党
10%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
共和党
$67 交易量
91%
民主党
$5,653 交易量
10%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Missouri’s 3rd Congressional District maintains a strong Republican tilt rooted in its rural and suburban composition across eastern Missouri, reflected in the 2024 presidential margin exceeding 47 points Republican. Incumbent Representative Bob Onder faces only token primary opposition while Democratic contenders, including repeat candidate Bethany Mann, compete in an August 4 primary ahead of the November 3 general election. Forecasters across Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball uniformly classify the seat as Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with the district’s voting patterns and limited recent shifts in turnout or candidate recruitment. A national political environment favoring Democrats or an unusually strong general-election challenger could narrow the margin, though such developments remain distant and have not yet altered the race’s fundamentals.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
交易量
$5,720结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Missouri’s 3rd Congressional District maintains a strong Republican tilt rooted in its rural and suburban composition across eastern Missouri, reflected in the 2024 presidential margin exceeding 47 points Republican. Incumbent Representative Bob Onder faces only token primary opposition while Democratic contenders, including repeat candidate Bethany Mann, compete in an August 4 primary ahead of the November 3 general election. Forecasters across Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball uniformly classify the seat as Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with the district’s voting patterns and limited recent shifts in turnout or candidate recruitment. A national political environment favoring Democrats or an unusually strong general-election challenger could narrow the margin, though such developments remain distant and have not yet altered the race’s fundamentals.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$5,720结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Missouri’s 3rd Congressional District maintains a strong Republican tilt rooted in its rural and suburban composition across eastern Missouri, reflected in the 2024 presidential margin exceeding 47 points Republican. Incumbent Representative Bob Onder faces only token primary opposition while Democratic contenders, including repeat candidate Bethany Mann, compete in an August 4 primary ahead of the November 3 general election. Forecasters across Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball uniformly classify the seat as Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with the district’s voting patterns and limited recent shifts in turnout or candidate recruitment. A national political environment favoring Democrats or an unusually strong general-election challenger could narrow the margin, though such developments remain distant and have not yet altered the race’s fundamentals.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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