Arizona's 5th congressional district, an open seat with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+10, leans strongly Republican based on recent presidential results. Incumbent Representative Andy Biggs is not seeking re-election and instead running for governor, leaving the race to July 21 primaries where Republican Mark Lamb holds a substantial polling lead over Daniel Keenan following a Trump endorsement. Democratic candidates Brian Hualde, Chris James, and Elizabeth Lee are competing in their primary with limited visibility in a district rated Solid Republican by the Cook Political Report and Safe Republican by Sabato's Crystal Ball. These structural factors and the absence of competitive general-election polling sustain the market's 81% implied probability for a Republican winner in the November 3 general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$12,879 交易量
$12,879 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
81%
民主党
15%
$12,879 交易量
$12,879 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$8,182 交易量
81%
民主党
$4,697 交易量
15%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Arizona's 5th congressional district, an open seat with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+10, leans strongly Republican based on recent presidential results. Incumbent Representative Andy Biggs is not seeking re-election and instead running for governor, leaving the race to July 21 primaries where Republican Mark Lamb holds a substantial polling lead over Daniel Keenan following a Trump endorsement. Democratic candidates Brian Hualde, Chris James, and Elizabeth Lee are competing in their primary with limited visibility in a district rated Solid Republican by the Cook Political Report and Safe Republican by Sabato's Crystal Ball. These structural factors and the absence of competitive general-election polling sustain the market's 81% implied probability for a Republican winner in the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
交易量
$12,879结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Arizona's 5th congressional district, an open seat with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+10, leans strongly Republican based on recent presidential results. Incumbent Representative Andy Biggs is not seeking re-election and instead running for governor, leaving the race to July 21 primaries where Republican Mark Lamb holds a substantial polling lead over Daniel Keenan following a Trump endorsement. Democratic candidates Brian Hualde, Chris James, and Elizabeth Lee are competing in their primary with limited visibility in a district rated Solid Republican by the Cook Political Report and Safe Republican by Sabato's Crystal Ball. These structural factors and the absence of competitive general-election polling sustain the market's 81% implied probability for a Republican winner in the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$12,879结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Arizona's 5th congressional district, an open seat with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+10, leans strongly Republican based on recent presidential results. Incumbent Representative Andy Biggs is not seeking re-election and instead running for governor, leaving the race to July 21 primaries where Republican Mark Lamb holds a substantial polling lead over Daniel Keenan following a Trump endorsement. Democratic candidates Brian Hualde, Chris James, and Elizabeth Lee are competing in their primary with limited visibility in a district rated Solid Republican by the Cook Political Report and Safe Republican by Sabato's Crystal Ball. These structural factors and the absence of competitive general-election polling sustain the market's 81% implied probability for a Republican winner in the November 3 general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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