Incumbent Democrat Delia Ramirez secured her party's nomination in the March 2026 primary and faces Republican Angel Oakley in the November general election for Illinois's 3rd congressional district. The seat's consistent Democratic performance, including Ramirez's 67 percent share in 2024, combined with nonpartisan ratings classifying the race as Safe or Solid Democratic, underpins the market's overwhelming consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Fundraising reports show Ramirez maintaining a substantial cash advantage heading into the fall campaign. A late-breaking scandal, significant health event, or unusually strong Republican national environment could theoretically narrow the gap, though historical voting patterns and the district's partisan composition limit realistic pathways for an upset.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$39,478 交易量
$39,478 交易量
民主党
94%
共和党
3%
$39,478 交易量
$39,478 交易量
民主党
94%
共和党
3%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间: Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Delia Ramirez secured her party's nomination in the March 2026 primary and faces Republican Angel Oakley in the November general election for Illinois's 3rd congressional district. The seat's consistent Democratic performance, including Ramirez's 67 percent share in 2024, combined with nonpartisan ratings classifying the race as Safe or Solid Democratic, underpins the market's overwhelming consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Fundraising reports show Ramirez maintaining a substantial cash advantage heading into the fall campaign. A late-breaking scandal, significant health event, or unusually strong Republican national environment could theoretically narrow the gap, though historical voting patterns and the district's partisan composition limit realistic pathways for an upset.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题