Abraham Hamadeh, the Republican incumbent first elected in 2024, holds a significant structural edge in Arizona’s 8th congressional district, which carries an R+8 partisan voting index and encompasses growing western Phoenix suburbs that have trended solidly Republican. Cook Political Report rates the seat Solid Republican, consistent with the market’s 79% consensus for the Republican Party. The July 21, 2026, primaries left Hamadeh unopposed on the GOP side while Bernadette Greene Placentia secured the Democratic nomination, but neither development altered the district’s underlying math or introduced competitive polling. With the general election still months away on November 3, 2026, trader positioning reflects the limited path for Democrats absent major shifts in turnout, candidate resources, or late-cycle events.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-03
共和党
80%
民主党
16%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
共和党
$3,783 交易量
80%
民主党
$5,907 交易量
16%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Abraham Hamadeh, the Republican incumbent first elected in 2024, holds a significant structural edge in Arizona’s 8th congressional district, which carries an R+8 partisan voting index and encompasses growing western Phoenix suburbs that have trended solidly Republican. Cook Political Report rates the seat Solid Republican, consistent with the market’s 79% consensus for the Republican Party. The July 21, 2026, primaries left Hamadeh unopposed on the GOP side while Bernadette Greene Placentia secured the Democratic nomination, but neither development altered the district’s underlying math or introduced competitive polling. With the general election still months away on November 3, 2026, trader positioning reflects the limited path for Democrats absent major shifts in turnout, candidate resources, or late-cycle events.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
交易量
$9,690结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Abraham Hamadeh, the Republican incumbent first elected in 2024, holds a significant structural edge in Arizona’s 8th congressional district, which carries an R+8 partisan voting index and encompasses growing western Phoenix suburbs that have trended solidly Republican. Cook Political Report rates the seat Solid Republican, consistent with the market’s 79% consensus for the Republican Party. The July 21, 2026, primaries left Hamadeh unopposed on the GOP side while Bernadette Greene Placentia secured the Democratic nomination, but neither development altered the district’s underlying math or introduced competitive polling. With the general election still months away on November 3, 2026, trader positioning reflects the limited path for Democrats absent major shifts in turnout, candidate resources, or late-cycle events.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$9,690结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Abraham Hamadeh, the Republican incumbent first elected in 2024, holds a significant structural edge in Arizona’s 8th congressional district, which carries an R+8 partisan voting index and encompasses growing western Phoenix suburbs that have trended solidly Republican. Cook Political Report rates the seat Solid Republican, consistent with the market’s 79% consensus for the Republican Party. The July 21, 2026, primaries left Hamadeh unopposed on the GOP side while Bernadette Greene Placentia secured the Democratic nomination, but neither development altered the district’s underlying math or introduced competitive polling. With the general election still months away on November 3, 2026, trader positioning reflects the limited path for Democrats absent major shifts in turnout, candidate resources, or late-cycle events.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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