The IL-04 district's strong Democratic tilt, rooted in its southwest Chicago and suburban voter base, underpins the 94.5% consensus for the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Jesús "Chuy" García's retirement opened the seat, yet Patty Garcia secured the nomination uncontested in the March 2026 primary as his endorsed successor, maintaining party continuity. The Republican nominee, Lupe Castillo, previously lost by wide margins in the same district. A recent poll showed Garcia ahead but with high undecideds ahead of the November general election. Realistic challenges include a major national Republican surge, Democratic turnout collapse, or late scandals that could narrow the margin in this otherwise safe hold.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$58,090 交易量
$58,090 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
95%
共和党
5%
$58,090 交易量
$58,090 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$42,282 交易量
95%
共和党
$15,808 交易量
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The IL-04 district's strong Democratic tilt, rooted in its southwest Chicago and suburban voter base, underpins the 94.5% consensus for the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Jesús "Chuy" García's retirement opened the seat, yet Patty Garcia secured the nomination uncontested in the March 2026 primary as his endorsed successor, maintaining party continuity. The Republican nominee, Lupe Castillo, previously lost by wide margins in the same district. A recent poll showed Garcia ahead but with high undecideds ahead of the November general election. Realistic challenges include a major national Republican surge, Democratic turnout collapse, or late scandals that could narrow the margin in this otherwise safe hold.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
交易量
$58,090结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The IL-04 district's strong Democratic tilt, rooted in its southwest Chicago and suburban voter base, underpins the 94.5% consensus for the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Jesús "Chuy" García's retirement opened the seat, yet Patty Garcia secured the nomination uncontested in the March 2026 primary as his endorsed successor, maintaining party continuity. The Republican nominee, Lupe Castillo, previously lost by wide margins in the same district. A recent poll showed Garcia ahead but with high undecideds ahead of the November general election. Realistic challenges include a major national Republican surge, Democratic turnout collapse, or late scandals that could narrow the margin in this otherwise safe hold.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$58,090结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The IL-04 district's strong Democratic tilt, rooted in its southwest Chicago and suburban voter base, underpins the 94.5% consensus for the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Jesús "Chuy" García's retirement opened the seat, yet Patty Garcia secured the nomination uncontested in the March 2026 primary as his endorsed successor, maintaining party continuity. The Republican nominee, Lupe Castillo, previously lost by wide margins in the same district. A recent poll showed Garcia ahead but with high undecideds ahead of the November general election. Realistic challenges include a major national Republican surge, Democratic turnout collapse, or late scandals that could narrow the margin in this otherwise safe hold.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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