The Illinois 4th congressional district remains a solidly Democratic seat centered in southwest Chicago and nearby suburbs, where the party has consistently secured large margins in recent cycles. With incumbent Jesús “Chuy” García retiring, his endorsed successor Patty Garcia secured the Democratic nomination after the March 2026 primary and faces only token opposition in the November general election. Republican nominee Lupe Castillo and minor-party candidates lack significant fundraising or organizational infrastructure in the heavily Democratic district. Trader consensus reflected in the current odds aligns with the district’s partisan composition and the absence of competitive challengers or late-cycle developments that could alter the outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$52,641 交易量
$52,641 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
95%
共和党
3%
$52,641 交易量
$52,641 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$37,994 交易量
95%
共和党
$14,647 交易量
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Illinois 4th congressional district remains a solidly Democratic seat centered in southwest Chicago and nearby suburbs, where the party has consistently secured large margins in recent cycles. With incumbent Jesús “Chuy” García retiring, his endorsed successor Patty Garcia secured the Democratic nomination after the March 2026 primary and faces only token opposition in the November general election. Republican nominee Lupe Castillo and minor-party candidates lack significant fundraising or organizational infrastructure in the heavily Democratic district. Trader consensus reflected in the current odds aligns with the district’s partisan composition and the absence of competitive challengers or late-cycle developments that could alter the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
交易量
$52,641结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Illinois 4th congressional district remains a solidly Democratic seat centered in southwest Chicago and nearby suburbs, where the party has consistently secured large margins in recent cycles. With incumbent Jesús “Chuy” García retiring, his endorsed successor Patty Garcia secured the Democratic nomination after the March 2026 primary and faces only token opposition in the November general election. Republican nominee Lupe Castillo and minor-party candidates lack significant fundraising or organizational infrastructure in the heavily Democratic district. Trader consensus reflected in the current odds aligns with the district’s partisan composition and the absence of competitive challengers or late-cycle developments that could alter the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$52,641结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Illinois 4th congressional district remains a solidly Democratic seat centered in southwest Chicago and nearby suburbs, where the party has consistently secured large margins in recent cycles. With incumbent Jesús “Chuy” García retiring, his endorsed successor Patty Garcia secured the Democratic nomination after the March 2026 primary and faces only token opposition in the November general election. Republican nominee Lupe Castillo and minor-party candidates lack significant fundraising or organizational infrastructure in the heavily Democratic district. Trader consensus reflected in the current odds aligns with the district’s partisan composition and the absence of competitive challengers or late-cycle developments that could alter the outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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