Incumbent Sylvia Garcia secured her Democratic nomination in March 2026 with 58 percent of the primary vote despite redistricting that altered the district’s demographic balance. All major forecasters rate TX-29 as Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November general election. Martha Fierro advanced unopposed on the Republican side. Garcia’s established fundraising edge, name recognition, and the district’s consistent partisan lean underpin the current trader consensus favoring her outcome. A late national Republican surge, unusually low Democratic turnout, or unforeseen legal developments could still narrow the margin, though historical results and structural factors limit the realistic scope for such shifts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-02
西尔维娅·加西亚（民主党）
94%
玛莎·菲耶罗（共和党）
6%
最新
最新
2026-11-02
西尔维娅·加西亚（民主党）
$4,441 交易量
94%
玛莎·菲耶罗（共和党）
$5,372 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-29 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Sylvia Garcia secured her Democratic nomination in March 2026 with 58 percent of the primary vote despite redistricting that altered the district’s demographic balance. All major forecasters rate TX-29 as Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November general election. Martha Fierro advanced unopposed on the Republican side. Garcia’s established fundraising edge, name recognition, and the district’s consistent partisan lean underpin the current trader consensus favoring her outcome. A late national Republican surge, unusually low Democratic turnout, or unforeseen legal developments could still narrow the margin, though historical results and structural factors limit the realistic scope for such shifts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-29 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
交易量
$9,813结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-29 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Sylvia Garcia secured her Democratic nomination in March 2026 with 58 percent of the primary vote despite redistricting that altered the district’s demographic balance. All major forecasters rate TX-29 as Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November general election. Martha Fierro advanced unopposed on the Republican side. Garcia’s established fundraising edge, name recognition, and the district’s consistent partisan lean underpin the current trader consensus favoring her outcome. A late national Republican surge, unusually low Democratic turnout, or unforeseen legal developments could still narrow the margin, though historical results and structural factors limit the realistic scope for such shifts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-29 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$9,813结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETIncumbent Sylvia Garcia secured her Democratic nomination in March 2026 with 58 percent of the primary vote despite redistricting that altered the district’s demographic balance. All major forecasters rate TX-29 as Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November general election. Martha Fierro advanced unopposed on the Republican side. Garcia’s established fundraising edge, name recognition, and the district’s consistent partisan lean underpin the current trader consensus favoring her outcome. A late national Republican surge, unusually low Democratic turnout, or unforeseen legal developments could still narrow the margin, though historical results and structural factors limit the realistic scope for such shifts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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