Incumbent Troy Downing holds a commanding position in Montana’s 2nd Congressional District race due to the district’s consistent Republican lean, his unopposed primary win, and a recent Montana Free Press-Eagleton poll showing him ahead of Democrat Brian Miller by 22 points among registered voters. Multiple forecasting outlets rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting historical voting patterns in eastern Montana and limited challenger resources. Traders’ consensus aligns with these structural advantages ahead of the November 3 general election. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a major national political shift against Republicans, an unforeseen scandal, or unusually strong turnout for Miller or independent candidate Michael Eisenhauer that fragments the vote.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$45,343 交易量
$45,343 交易量
2026-11-02
特洛伊·唐宁（共和党）
95%
布莱恩·米勒（民主党）
5%
$45,343 交易量
$45,343 交易量
2026-11-02
特洛伊·唐宁（共和党）
$26,444 交易量
95%
布莱恩·米勒（民主党）
$18,899 交易量
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Troy Downing holds a commanding position in Montana’s 2nd Congressional District race due to the district’s consistent Republican lean, his unopposed primary win, and a recent Montana Free Press-Eagleton poll showing him ahead of Democrat Brian Miller by 22 points among registered voters. Multiple forecasting outlets rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting historical voting patterns in eastern Montana and limited challenger resources. Traders’ consensus aligns with these structural advantages ahead of the November 3 general election. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a major national political shift against Republicans, an unforeseen scandal, or unusually strong turnout for Miller or independent candidate Michael Eisenhauer that fragments the vote.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
交易量
$45,343结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Troy Downing holds a commanding position in Montana’s 2nd Congressional District race due to the district’s consistent Republican lean, his unopposed primary win, and a recent Montana Free Press-Eagleton poll showing him ahead of Democrat Brian Miller by 22 points among registered voters. Multiple forecasting outlets rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting historical voting patterns in eastern Montana and limited challenger resources. Traders’ consensus aligns with these structural advantages ahead of the November 3 general election. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a major national political shift against Republicans, an unforeseen scandal, or unusually strong turnout for Miller or independent candidate Michael Eisenhauer that fragments the vote.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$45,343结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETIncumbent Troy Downing holds a commanding position in Montana’s 2nd Congressional District race due to the district’s consistent Republican lean, his unopposed primary win, and a recent Montana Free Press-Eagleton poll showing him ahead of Democrat Brian Miller by 22 points among registered voters. Multiple forecasting outlets rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting historical voting patterns in eastern Montana and limited challenger resources. Traders’ consensus aligns with these structural advantages ahead of the November 3 general election. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a major national political shift against Republicans, an unforeseen scandal, or unusually strong turnout for Miller or independent candidate Michael Eisenhauer that fragments the vote.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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