Montana’s 2nd Congressional District remains a reliably Republican seat in 2026, with the party holding a 93.5% implied probability on Polymarket. The district’s eastern, rural character and consistent voting patterns have produced large GOP margins in recent cycles, reinforced by the current Republican incumbent’s established position. Limited Democratic fundraising and name recognition have kept challenger efforts marginal, consistent with forecaster ratings that classify the race as safely Republican. Trader consensus reflects these structural advantages, though a late national Democratic surge, an unusually weak GOP nominee, or an unforeseen scandal could narrow the gap before November.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$39,708 交易量
$39,708 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
94%
民主党
6%
$39,708 交易量
$39,708 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$23,236 交易量
94%
民主党
$16,471 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Montana’s 2nd Congressional District remains a reliably Republican seat in 2026, with the party holding a 93.5% implied probability on Polymarket. The district’s eastern, rural character and consistent voting patterns have produced large GOP margins in recent cycles, reinforced by the current Republican incumbent’s established position. Limited Democratic fundraising and name recognition have kept challenger efforts marginal, consistent with forecaster ratings that classify the race as safely Republican. Trader consensus reflects these structural advantages, though a late national Democratic surge, an unusually weak GOP nominee, or an unforeseen scandal could narrow the gap before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
交易量
$39,708结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Montana’s 2nd Congressional District remains a reliably Republican seat in 2026, with the party holding a 93.5% implied probability on Polymarket. The district’s eastern, rural character and consistent voting patterns have produced large GOP margins in recent cycles, reinforced by the current Republican incumbent’s established position. Limited Democratic fundraising and name recognition have kept challenger efforts marginal, consistent with forecaster ratings that classify the race as safely Republican. Trader consensus reflects these structural advantages, though a late national Democratic surge, an unusually weak GOP nominee, or an unforeseen scandal could narrow the gap before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$39,708结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Montana’s 2nd Congressional District remains a reliably Republican seat in 2026, with the party holding a 93.5% implied probability on Polymarket. The district’s eastern, rural character and consistent voting patterns have produced large GOP margins in recent cycles, reinforced by the current Republican incumbent’s established position. Limited Democratic fundraising and name recognition have kept challenger efforts marginal, consistent with forecaster ratings that classify the race as safely Republican. Trader consensus reflects these structural advantages, though a late national Democratic surge, an unusually weak GOP nominee, or an unforeseen scandal could narrow the gap before November.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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