The open seat created by retiring Republican incumbent Ryan Zinke has produced a competitive November 3 general election between Republican nominee Aaron Flint and Democratic nominee Sam Forstag after their June 2 primary wins. Flint prevailed with former President Trump's endorsement, while Forstag, a union smokejumper backed by progressive figures, edged out rivals in a multi-candidate Democratic field. Pre-primary polling showed the race within single digits, consistent with the district's western Montana mix of more Democratic-leaning urban counties and broader Republican tilt. Trader consensus assigning the Democratic Party a 58% implied probability reflects assessments of Forstag's potential path in a post-incumbent environment, while the Republican share at 34.5% accounts for the seat's historical lean and Flint's conservative profile.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-04
民主党
58%
共和党
30%
最新
最新
2026-11-04
民主党
$392 交易量
58%
共和党
$1,011 交易量
30%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open seat created by retiring Republican incumbent Ryan Zinke has produced a competitive November 3 general election between Republican nominee Aaron Flint and Democratic nominee Sam Forstag after their June 2 primary wins. Flint prevailed with former President Trump's endorsement, while Forstag, a union smokejumper backed by progressive figures, edged out rivals in a multi-candidate Democratic field. Pre-primary polling showed the race within single digits, consistent with the district's western Montana mix of more Democratic-leaning urban counties and broader Republican tilt. Trader consensus assigning the Democratic Party a 58% implied probability reflects assessments of Forstag's potential path in a post-incumbent environment, while the Republican share at 34.5% accounts for the seat's historical lean and Flint's conservative profile.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Dec 16, 2025, 12:19 PM ET
交易量
$1,402结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 12:19 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open seat created by retiring Republican incumbent Ryan Zinke has produced a competitive November 3 general election between Republican nominee Aaron Flint and Democratic nominee Sam Forstag after their June 2 primary wins. Flint prevailed with former President Trump's endorsement, while Forstag, a union smokejumper backed by progressive figures, edged out rivals in a multi-candidate Democratic field. Pre-primary polling showed the race within single digits, consistent with the district's western Montana mix of more Democratic-leaning urban counties and broader Republican tilt. Trader consensus assigning the Democratic Party a 58% implied probability reflects assessments of Forstag's potential path in a post-incumbent environment, while the Republican share at 34.5% accounts for the seat's historical lean and Flint's conservative profile.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$1,402结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 12:19 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The open seat created by retiring Republican incumbent Ryan Zinke has produced a competitive November 3 general election between Republican nominee Aaron Flint and Democratic nominee Sam Forstag after their June 2 primary wins. Flint prevailed with former President Trump's endorsement, while Forstag, a union smokejumper backed by progressive figures, edged out rivals in a multi-candidate Democratic field. Pre-primary polling showed the race within single digits, consistent with the district's western Montana mix of more Democratic-leaning urban counties and broader Republican tilt. Trader consensus assigning the Democratic Party a 58% implied probability reflects assessments of Forstag's potential path in a post-incumbent environment, while the Republican share at 34.5% accounts for the seat's historical lean and Flint's conservative profile.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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