The race for Virginia's 1st congressional district remains tightly contested ahead of the August 4 Democratic primary and November 3 general election, with traders assigning near-even odds to the Democratic and Republican nominees. Incumbent Republican Rob Wittman benefits from the current map, which the state Supreme Court upheld in May after rejecting a mid-decade redistricting amendment, preserving a district that favored Trump by five points in 2024. Multiple Democratic candidates, including Shannon Taylor, are competing in the primary, while early polling shows Wittman and leading challengers separated by just one to four points. National midterm dynamics, fundraising, and turnout in suburban and Northern Neck areas could shift momentum before November.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$18,408 交易量
$18,408 交易量
2026-11-04
民主党
50%
共和党
47%
$18,408 交易量
$18,408 交易量
2026-11-04
民主党
$16,553 交易量
50%
共和党
$1,855 交易量
47%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The race for Virginia's 1st congressional district remains tightly contested ahead of the August 4 Democratic primary and November 3 general election, with traders assigning near-even odds to the Democratic and Republican nominees. Incumbent Republican Rob Wittman benefits from the current map, which the state Supreme Court upheld in May after rejecting a mid-decade redistricting amendment, preserving a district that favored Trump by five points in 2024. Multiple Democratic candidates, including Shannon Taylor, are competing in the primary, while early polling shows Wittman and leading challengers separated by just one to four points. National midterm dynamics, fundraising, and turnout in suburban and Northern Neck areas could shift momentum before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ET
交易量
$18,408结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The race for Virginia's 1st congressional district remains tightly contested ahead of the August 4 Democratic primary and November 3 general election, with traders assigning near-even odds to the Democratic and Republican nominees. Incumbent Republican Rob Wittman benefits from the current map, which the state Supreme Court upheld in May after rejecting a mid-decade redistricting amendment, preserving a district that favored Trump by five points in 2024. Multiple Democratic candidates, including Shannon Taylor, are competing in the primary, while early polling shows Wittman and leading challengers separated by just one to four points. National midterm dynamics, fundraising, and turnout in suburban and Northern Neck areas could shift momentum before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$18,408结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The race for Virginia's 1st congressional district remains tightly contested ahead of the August 4 Democratic primary and November 3 general election, with traders assigning near-even odds to the Democratic and Republican nominees. Incumbent Republican Rob Wittman benefits from the current map, which the state Supreme Court upheld in May after rejecting a mid-decade redistricting amendment, preserving a district that favored Trump by five points in 2024. Multiple Democratic candidates, including Shannon Taylor, are competing in the primary, while early polling shows Wittman and leading challengers separated by just one to four points. National midterm dynamics, fundraising, and turnout in suburban and Northern Neck areas could shift momentum before November.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题