North Carolina’s 1st congressional district heads into the November 2026 general election with Democratic incumbent Don Davis seeking re-election against Republican nominee Laurie Buckhout, who secured her party’s nomination in the March primary. The seat carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+1 after 2025 redistricting that shifted the map toward Republicans, prompting Lean Republican ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Recent polling has shown closely contested matchups, with some surveys placing the candidates within a few points and others indicating slight advantages tied to voter concerns over the economy and immigration. Traders appear to weigh Davis’s incumbency and established support in the district against Buckhout’s profile as a retired Army colonel and the broader Republican lean of the redrawn boundaries, resulting in the current market pricing. The November 3 contest remains the key resolution date.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于民主党
60%
共和党
45%
民主党
60%
共和党
45%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间: Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...North Carolina’s 1st congressional district heads into the November 2026 general election with Democratic incumbent Don Davis seeking re-election against Republican nominee Laurie Buckhout, who secured her party’s nomination in the March primary. The seat carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+1 after 2025 redistricting that shifted the map toward Republicans, prompting Lean Republican ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Recent polling has shown closely contested matchups, with some surveys placing the candidates within a few points and others indicating slight advantages tied to voter concerns over the economy and immigration. Traders appear to weigh Davis’s incumbency and established support in the district against Buckhout’s profile as a retired Army colonel and the broader Republican lean of the redrawn boundaries, resulting in the current market pricing. The November 3 contest remains the key resolution date.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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