North Carolina’s 2nd congressional district remains a solidly Democratic seat following 2025 redistricting, with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+17 and portions of central Wake County that have consistently favored Democratic candidates. Incumbent Deborah Ross secured 66.3 percent in 2024 and faces only nominal opposition in 2026 from Republican nominee Eugene Douglass after March primaries concluded without major upsets. Trader consensus at 92.5 percent for the Democratic nominee reflects this structural advantage, the absence of competitive polling, and the district’s recent voting patterns rather than any single recent event. A sustained national Republican surge, late-breaking scandal involving Ross, or unforeseen court-ordered map changes could narrow the margin, though each would need to overcome the district’s established partisan baseline to alter the outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$10,860 交易量
$10,860 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
93%
共和党
7%
$10,860 交易量
$10,860 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$5,224 交易量
93%
共和党
$5,636 交易量
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).North Carolina’s 2nd congressional district remains a solidly Democratic seat following 2025 redistricting, with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+17 and portions of central Wake County that have consistently favored Democratic candidates. Incumbent Deborah Ross secured 66.3 percent in 2024 and faces only nominal opposition in 2026 from Republican nominee Eugene Douglass after March primaries concluded without major upsets. Trader consensus at 92.5 percent for the Democratic nominee reflects this structural advantage, the absence of competitive polling, and the district’s recent voting patterns rather than any single recent event. A sustained national Republican surge, late-breaking scandal involving Ross, or unforeseen court-ordered map changes could narrow the margin, though each would need to overcome the district’s established partisan baseline to alter the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
交易量
$10,860结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).North Carolina’s 2nd congressional district remains a solidly Democratic seat following 2025 redistricting, with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+17 and portions of central Wake County that have consistently favored Democratic candidates. Incumbent Deborah Ross secured 66.3 percent in 2024 and faces only nominal opposition in 2026 from Republican nominee Eugene Douglass after March primaries concluded without major upsets. Trader consensus at 92.5 percent for the Democratic nominee reflects this structural advantage, the absence of competitive polling, and the district’s recent voting patterns rather than any single recent event. A sustained national Republican surge, late-breaking scandal involving Ross, or unforeseen court-ordered map changes could narrow the margin, though each would need to overcome the district’s established partisan baseline to alter the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$10,860结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...North Carolina’s 2nd congressional district remains a solidly Democratic seat following 2025 redistricting, with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+17 and portions of central Wake County that have consistently favored Democratic candidates. Incumbent Deborah Ross secured 66.3 percent in 2024 and faces only nominal opposition in 2026 from Republican nominee Eugene Douglass after March primaries concluded without major upsets. Trader consensus at 92.5 percent for the Democratic nominee reflects this structural advantage, the absence of competitive polling, and the district’s recent voting patterns rather than any single recent event. A sustained national Republican surge, late-breaking scandal involving Ross, or unforeseen court-ordered map changes could narrow the margin, though each would need to overcome the district’s established partisan baseline to alter the outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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