The Democratic nominee holds a commanding lead in the NJ-01 House race due to the district’s consistent D+10 partisan lean, rooted in South Jersey suburbs including Camden and Cherry Hill where registered Democrats significantly outnumber Republicans. Five-term incumbent Donald Norcross benefits from strong name recognition, established fundraising, and a history of comfortable general-election margins, including 57.8 percent in 2024. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, aligning with current trader consensus. A realistic shift would require an unusually strong national Republican wave, a major local scandal, or sharply depressed Democratic turnout that overcomes the district’s structural advantages and voter registration edge.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$22,263 交易量
$22,263 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
94%
共和党
7%
$22,263 交易量
$22,263 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$16,130 交易量
94%
共和党
$6,133 交易量
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Democratic nominee holds a commanding lead in the NJ-01 House race due to the district’s consistent D+10 partisan lean, rooted in South Jersey suburbs including Camden and Cherry Hill where registered Democrats significantly outnumber Republicans. Five-term incumbent Donald Norcross benefits from strong name recognition, established fundraising, and a history of comfortable general-election margins, including 57.8 percent in 2024. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, aligning with current trader consensus. A realistic shift would require an unusually strong national Republican wave, a major local scandal, or sharply depressed Democratic turnout that overcomes the district’s structural advantages and voter registration edge.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
交易量
$22,263结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Democratic nominee holds a commanding lead in the NJ-01 House race due to the district’s consistent D+10 partisan lean, rooted in South Jersey suburbs including Camden and Cherry Hill where registered Democrats significantly outnumber Republicans. Five-term incumbent Donald Norcross benefits from strong name recognition, established fundraising, and a history of comfortable general-election margins, including 57.8 percent in 2024. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, aligning with current trader consensus. A realistic shift would require an unusually strong national Republican wave, a major local scandal, or sharply depressed Democratic turnout that overcomes the district’s structural advantages and voter registration edge.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$22,263结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Democratic nominee holds a commanding lead in the NJ-01 House race due to the district’s consistent D+10 partisan lean, rooted in South Jersey suburbs including Camden and Cherry Hill where registered Democrats significantly outnumber Republicans. Five-term incumbent Donald Norcross benefits from strong name recognition, established fundraising, and a history of comfortable general-election margins, including 57.8 percent in 2024. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, aligning with current trader consensus. A realistic shift would require an unusually strong national Republican wave, a major local scandal, or sharply depressed Democratic turnout that overcomes the district’s structural advantages and voter registration edge.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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