Republican incumbent Brian Fitzpatrick holds a modest edge in trader pricing for the November 2026 general election in Pennsylvania’s 1st congressional district, reflecting his established moderate brand and consistent reelection margins in this suburban Philadelphia seat covering Bucks County and parts of Montgomery County. Democrat Bob Harvie, who secured the nomination after the May primary, brings local government experience as a Bucks County commissioner and has consolidated party support, keeping the implied probability narrow. The district’s swing character, with balanced partisan leanings and suburban voter priorities on economic conditions and federal spending, sustains the close contest. Developments that could widen the gap include shifts in national midterm sentiment, candidate-specific polling movements, or late-cycle events such as debates and turnout mobilization in key precincts, while primary results and lack of Republican primary opposition have so far reinforced the current trader consensus.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-04
共和党
54%
民主党
45%
最新
最新
2026-11-04
共和党
$2,001 交易量
54%
民主党
$1,418 交易量
45%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Brian Fitzpatrick holds a modest edge in trader pricing for the November 2026 general election in Pennsylvania’s 1st congressional district, reflecting his established moderate brand and consistent reelection margins in this suburban Philadelphia seat covering Bucks County and parts of Montgomery County. Democrat Bob Harvie, who secured the nomination after the May primary, brings local government experience as a Bucks County commissioner and has consolidated party support, keeping the implied probability narrow. The district’s swing character, with balanced partisan leanings and suburban voter priorities on economic conditions and federal spending, sustains the close contest. Developments that could widen the gap include shifts in national midterm sentiment, candidate-specific polling movements, or late-cycle events such as debates and turnout mobilization in key precincts, while primary results and lack of Republican primary opposition have so far reinforced the current trader consensus.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ET
交易量
$3,419结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Brian Fitzpatrick holds a modest edge in trader pricing for the November 2026 general election in Pennsylvania’s 1st congressional district, reflecting his established moderate brand and consistent reelection margins in this suburban Philadelphia seat covering Bucks County and parts of Montgomery County. Democrat Bob Harvie, who secured the nomination after the May primary, brings local government experience as a Bucks County commissioner and has consolidated party support, keeping the implied probability narrow. The district’s swing character, with balanced partisan leanings and suburban voter priorities on economic conditions and federal spending, sustains the close contest. Developments that could widen the gap include shifts in national midterm sentiment, candidate-specific polling movements, or late-cycle events such as debates and turnout mobilization in key precincts, while primary results and lack of Republican primary opposition have so far reinforced the current trader consensus.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$3,419结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican incumbent Brian Fitzpatrick holds a modest edge in trader pricing for the November 2026 general election in Pennsylvania’s 1st congressional district, reflecting his established moderate brand and consistent reelection margins in this suburban Philadelphia seat covering Bucks County and parts of Montgomery County. Democrat Bob Harvie, who secured the nomination after the May primary, brings local government experience as a Bucks County commissioner and has consolidated party support, keeping the implied probability narrow. The district’s swing character, with balanced partisan leanings and suburban voter priorities on economic conditions and federal spending, sustains the close contest. Developments that could widen the gap include shifts in national midterm sentiment, candidate-specific polling movements, or late-cycle events such as debates and turnout mobilization in key precincts, while primary results and lack of Republican primary opposition have so far reinforced the current trader consensus.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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