The competitive nature of Colorado's 8th Congressional District, which Republican Gabe Evans flipped by under 1 percentage point in 2024, underpins current trader positioning ahead of the November 2026 general election. Forecasters rate the race a toss-up due to its even partisan voter index and large independent voter bloc, with Democrats positioned to regain the seat through their June 30 primary between state representatives Shannon Bird and Manny Rutinel. Evans faces no Republican primary opposition and holds a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $4 million. Trader consensus assigning Democrats a 75.5% implied probability reflects assessments of national midterm dynamics and the district's recent volatility, while the 26% Republican share accounts for incumbency advantages and the narrow 2024 result. The upcoming primary outcome and subsequent general election campaign events could shift assessments.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-04
民主党
76%
共和党
26%
最新
最新
2026-11-04
民主党
$897 交易量
76%
共和党
$733 交易量
26%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The competitive nature of Colorado's 8th Congressional District, which Republican Gabe Evans flipped by under 1 percentage point in 2024, underpins current trader positioning ahead of the November 2026 general election. Forecasters rate the race a toss-up due to its even partisan voter index and large independent voter bloc, with Democrats positioned to regain the seat through their June 30 primary between state representatives Shannon Bird and Manny Rutinel. Evans faces no Republican primary opposition and holds a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $4 million. Trader consensus assigning Democrats a 75.5% implied probability reflects assessments of national midterm dynamics and the district's recent volatility, while the 26% Republican share accounts for incumbency advantages and the narrow 2024 result. The upcoming primary outcome and subsequent general election campaign events could shift assessments.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Dec 16, 2025, 11:47 AM ET
交易量
$1,631结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 11:47 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The competitive nature of Colorado's 8th Congressional District, which Republican Gabe Evans flipped by under 1 percentage point in 2024, underpins current trader positioning ahead of the November 2026 general election. Forecasters rate the race a toss-up due to its even partisan voter index and large independent voter bloc, with Democrats positioned to regain the seat through their June 30 primary between state representatives Shannon Bird and Manny Rutinel. Evans faces no Republican primary opposition and holds a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $4 million. Trader consensus assigning Democrats a 75.5% implied probability reflects assessments of national midterm dynamics and the district's recent volatility, while the 26% Republican share accounts for incumbency advantages and the narrow 2024 result. The upcoming primary outcome and subsequent general election campaign events could shift assessments.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$1,631结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 11:47 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The competitive nature of Colorado's 8th Congressional District, which Republican Gabe Evans flipped by under 1 percentage point in 2024, underpins current trader positioning ahead of the November 2026 general election. Forecasters rate the race a toss-up due to its even partisan voter index and large independent voter bloc, with Democrats positioned to regain the seat through their June 30 primary between state representatives Shannon Bird and Manny Rutinel. Evans faces no Republican primary opposition and holds a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $4 million. Trader consensus assigning Democrats a 75.5% implied probability reflects assessments of national midterm dynamics and the district's recent volatility, while the 26% Republican share accounts for incumbency advantages and the narrow 2024 result. The upcoming primary outcome and subsequent general election campaign events could shift assessments.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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