Colorado's 8th congressional district remains one of the most competitive House seats heading into the 2026 midterms, with Republican incumbent Gabe Evans facing a Democratic challenger after winning the open seat by under two points in 2024. The June 30 Democratic primary between state Rep. Manny Rutinel and former state Rep. Shannon Bird has drawn significant fundraising and attention, while Evans runs unopposed on the Republican side. Nonpartisan race raters classify the contest as a toss-up, reflecting the district's even partisan split and diverse electorate north of Denver. Traders assign the Democratic nominee a strong implied probability of prevailing in November due to the seat's narrow Republican margin last cycle, typical midterm dynamics for the president's party, and the first-term incumbent's limited margin for error in a battleground environment. Upcoming primary results and subsequent general election polling will likely influence positioning further.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-04
民主党
76%
共和党
21%
最新
最新
2026-11-04
民主党
$897 交易量
76%
共和党
$741 交易量
21%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Colorado's 8th congressional district remains one of the most competitive House seats heading into the 2026 midterms, with Republican incumbent Gabe Evans facing a Democratic challenger after winning the open seat by under two points in 2024. The June 30 Democratic primary between state Rep. Manny Rutinel and former state Rep. Shannon Bird has drawn significant fundraising and attention, while Evans runs unopposed on the Republican side. Nonpartisan race raters classify the contest as a toss-up, reflecting the district's even partisan split and diverse electorate north of Denver. Traders assign the Democratic nominee a strong implied probability of prevailing in November due to the seat's narrow Republican margin last cycle, typical midterm dynamics for the president's party, and the first-term incumbent's limited margin for error in a battleground environment. Upcoming primary results and subsequent general election polling will likely influence positioning further.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Dec 16, 2025, 11:47 AM ET
交易量
$1,638结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 11:47 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Colorado's 8th congressional district remains one of the most competitive House seats heading into the 2026 midterms, with Republican incumbent Gabe Evans facing a Democratic challenger after winning the open seat by under two points in 2024. The June 30 Democratic primary between state Rep. Manny Rutinel and former state Rep. Shannon Bird has drawn significant fundraising and attention, while Evans runs unopposed on the Republican side. Nonpartisan race raters classify the contest as a toss-up, reflecting the district's even partisan split and diverse electorate north of Denver. Traders assign the Democratic nominee a strong implied probability of prevailing in November due to the seat's narrow Republican margin last cycle, typical midterm dynamics for the president's party, and the first-term incumbent's limited margin for error in a battleground environment. Upcoming primary results and subsequent general election polling will likely influence positioning further.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$1,638结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 11:47 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Colorado's 8th congressional district remains one of the most competitive House seats heading into the 2026 midterms, with Republican incumbent Gabe Evans facing a Democratic challenger after winning the open seat by under two points in 2024. The June 30 Democratic primary between state Rep. Manny Rutinel and former state Rep. Shannon Bird has drawn significant fundraising and attention, while Evans runs unopposed on the Republican side. Nonpartisan race raters classify the contest as a toss-up, reflecting the district's even partisan split and diverse electorate north of Denver. Traders assign the Democratic nominee a strong implied probability of prevailing in November due to the seat's narrow Republican margin last cycle, typical midterm dynamics for the president's party, and the first-term incumbent's limited margin for error in a battleground environment. Upcoming primary results and subsequent general election polling will likely influence positioning further.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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