Incumbent Democrat Marcy Kaptur, who has held Ohio’s 9th district since 1983, advanced unopposed through the May 2026 primary and enters the November general as the clear frontrunner against Republican nominee Derek Merrin in a rematch. The narrow 2024 contest, decided by roughly 2,400 votes, prompted mid-decade redistricting that shifted the seat’s Cook PVI to R+5, yet Kaptur’s established local profile and fundraising continue to anchor Democratic advantages. Race ratings from outlets remain split between toss-up and lean Democratic, while Polymarket traders assign the Democratic Party a 72% implied probability, reflecting incumbency strength and limited recent shifts in the Toledo-based district ahead of the November 3 vote.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$28,326 交易量
$28,326 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
72%
共和党
27%
$28,326 交易量
$28,326 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$3,875 交易量
72%
共和党
$24,451 交易量
27%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Marcy Kaptur, who has held Ohio’s 9th district since 1983, advanced unopposed through the May 2026 primary and enters the November general as the clear frontrunner against Republican nominee Derek Merrin in a rematch. The narrow 2024 contest, decided by roughly 2,400 votes, prompted mid-decade redistricting that shifted the seat’s Cook PVI to R+5, yet Kaptur’s established local profile and fundraising continue to anchor Democratic advantages. Race ratings from outlets remain split between toss-up and lean Democratic, while Polymarket traders assign the Democratic Party a 72% implied probability, reflecting incumbency strength and limited recent shifts in the Toledo-based district ahead of the November 3 vote.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ET
交易量
$28,326结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Marcy Kaptur, who has held Ohio’s 9th district since 1983, advanced unopposed through the May 2026 primary and enters the November general as the clear frontrunner against Republican nominee Derek Merrin in a rematch. The narrow 2024 contest, decided by roughly 2,400 votes, prompted mid-decade redistricting that shifted the seat’s Cook PVI to R+5, yet Kaptur’s established local profile and fundraising continue to anchor Democratic advantages. Race ratings from outlets remain split between toss-up and lean Democratic, while Polymarket traders assign the Democratic Party a 72% implied probability, reflecting incumbency strength and limited recent shifts in the Toledo-based district ahead of the November 3 vote.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$28,326结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Marcy Kaptur, who has held Ohio’s 9th district since 1983, advanced unopposed through the May 2026 primary and enters the November general as the clear frontrunner against Republican nominee Derek Merrin in a rematch. The narrow 2024 contest, decided by roughly 2,400 votes, prompted mid-decade redistricting that shifted the seat’s Cook PVI to R+5, yet Kaptur’s established local profile and fundraising continue to anchor Democratic advantages. Race ratings from outlets remain split between toss-up and lean Democratic, while Polymarket traders assign the Democratic Party a 72% implied probability, reflecting incumbency strength and limited recent shifts in the Toledo-based district ahead of the November 3 vote.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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