Oregon’s 3rd congressional district carries a D+24 Partisan Voter Index, reflecting consistent Democratic dominance in presidential and statewide voting. Incumbent Maxine Dexter secured the Democratic nomination in the May 2026 primary with nearly 90 percent of the vote and maintains substantial fundraising, while the Republican nominee has reported no campaign funds. Rating organizations classify the seat as Solid Democratic. These structural and candidate-specific factors underpin the market’s 93.5 percent implied probability for a Democratic winner. A significant personal or ethical development affecting the incumbent, or an unprecedented national partisan shift, would be required to alter the outcome before November.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-03
民主党
94%
共和党
7%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
民主党
$750 交易量
94%
共和党
$3,138 交易量
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Oregon’s 3rd congressional district carries a D+24 Partisan Voter Index, reflecting consistent Democratic dominance in presidential and statewide voting. Incumbent Maxine Dexter secured the Democratic nomination in the May 2026 primary with nearly 90 percent of the vote and maintains substantial fundraising, while the Republican nominee has reported no campaign funds. Rating organizations classify the seat as Solid Democratic. These structural and candidate-specific factors underpin the market’s 93.5 percent implied probability for a Democratic winner. A significant personal or ethical development affecting the incumbent, or an unprecedented national partisan shift, would be required to alter the outcome before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
交易量
$3,887结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Oregon’s 3rd congressional district carries a D+24 Partisan Voter Index, reflecting consistent Democratic dominance in presidential and statewide voting. Incumbent Maxine Dexter secured the Democratic nomination in the May 2026 primary with nearly 90 percent of the vote and maintains substantial fundraising, while the Republican nominee has reported no campaign funds. Rating organizations classify the seat as Solid Democratic. These structural and candidate-specific factors underpin the market’s 93.5 percent implied probability for a Democratic winner. A significant personal or ethical development affecting the incumbent, or an unprecedented national partisan shift, would be required to alter the outcome before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$3,887结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Oregon’s 3rd congressional district carries a D+24 Partisan Voter Index, reflecting consistent Democratic dominance in presidential and statewide voting. Incumbent Maxine Dexter secured the Democratic nomination in the May 2026 primary with nearly 90 percent of the vote and maintains substantial fundraising, while the Republican nominee has reported no campaign funds. Rating organizations classify the seat as Solid Democratic. These structural and candidate-specific factors underpin the market’s 93.5 percent implied probability for a Democratic winner. A significant personal or ethical development affecting the incumbent, or an unprecedented national partisan shift, would be required to alter the outcome before November.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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