Maxine Dexter's renomination as the Democratic incumbent in Oregon's strongly Democratic 3rd district, rated D+24 by partisan voting index measures, underpins the market's 94% implied probability for a Democratic win. The district's consistent support for Democratic candidates in recent cycles, combined with Dexter's primary performance exceeding 87% against limited challengers, reinforces trader expectations of continuity. Republican nominee Loran Ayles faces structural barriers in a seat where Democrats have held the seat for decades. Late developments such as an unforeseen scandal, incumbent health issue, or national political realignment could still shift the narrow Republican odds, though no such catalysts have emerged ahead of the November 2026 general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$13,396 交易量
$13,396 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
94%
共和党
7%
$13,396 交易量
$13,396 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$4,633 交易量
94%
共和党
$8,762 交易量
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maxine Dexter's renomination as the Democratic incumbent in Oregon's strongly Democratic 3rd district, rated D+24 by partisan voting index measures, underpins the market's 94% implied probability for a Democratic win. The district's consistent support for Democratic candidates in recent cycles, combined with Dexter's primary performance exceeding 87% against limited challengers, reinforces trader expectations of continuity. Republican nominee Loran Ayles faces structural barriers in a seat where Democrats have held the seat for decades. Late developments such as an unforeseen scandal, incumbent health issue, or national political realignment could still shift the narrow Republican odds, though no such catalysts have emerged ahead of the November 2026 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
交易量
$13,396结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maxine Dexter's renomination as the Democratic incumbent in Oregon's strongly Democratic 3rd district, rated D+24 by partisan voting index measures, underpins the market's 94% implied probability for a Democratic win. The district's consistent support for Democratic candidates in recent cycles, combined with Dexter's primary performance exceeding 87% against limited challengers, reinforces trader expectations of continuity. Republican nominee Loran Ayles faces structural barriers in a seat where Democrats have held the seat for decades. Late developments such as an unforeseen scandal, incumbent health issue, or national political realignment could still shift the narrow Republican odds, though no such catalysts have emerged ahead of the November 2026 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$13,396结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Maxine Dexter's renomination as the Democratic incumbent in Oregon's strongly Democratic 3rd district, rated D+24 by partisan voting index measures, underpins the market's 94% implied probability for a Democratic win. The district's consistent support for Democratic candidates in recent cycles, combined with Dexter's primary performance exceeding 87% against limited challengers, reinforces trader expectations of continuity. Republican nominee Loran Ayles faces structural barriers in a seat where Democrats have held the seat for decades. Late developments such as an unforeseen scandal, incumbent health issue, or national political realignment could still shift the narrow Republican odds, though no such catalysts have emerged ahead of the November 2026 general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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