The strong Democratic lean of Oregon’s 3rd congressional district, anchored in eastern Portland and surrounding areas, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 93.5%. Incumbent Maxine Dexter secured her party’s nomination with roughly 90% in the May 19, 2026 primary against limited opposition, while Republican Loran Ayles advanced unopposed. Cook Political Report rates the seat Solid Democratic, consistent with historical margins exceeding 30 points. With the general election scheduled for November 3, 2026, limited Republican infrastructure and fundraising in the district leave few near-term catalysts for a shift. Late developments such as a major scandal, incumbent health event, or unusually strong national Republican tailwinds could narrow the gap, though structural factors continue to favor the Democratic hold.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-03
民主党
94%
共和党
7%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
民主党
$750 交易量
94%
共和党
$3,138 交易量
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The strong Democratic lean of Oregon’s 3rd congressional district, anchored in eastern Portland and surrounding areas, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 93.5%. Incumbent Maxine Dexter secured her party’s nomination with roughly 90% in the May 19, 2026 primary against limited opposition, while Republican Loran Ayles advanced unopposed. Cook Political Report rates the seat Solid Democratic, consistent with historical margins exceeding 30 points. With the general election scheduled for November 3, 2026, limited Republican infrastructure and fundraising in the district leave few near-term catalysts for a shift. Late developments such as a major scandal, incumbent health event, or unusually strong national Republican tailwinds could narrow the gap, though structural factors continue to favor the Democratic hold.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
交易量
$3,887结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The strong Democratic lean of Oregon’s 3rd congressional district, anchored in eastern Portland and surrounding areas, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 93.5%. Incumbent Maxine Dexter secured her party’s nomination with roughly 90% in the May 19, 2026 primary against limited opposition, while Republican Loran Ayles advanced unopposed. Cook Political Report rates the seat Solid Democratic, consistent with historical margins exceeding 30 points. With the general election scheduled for November 3, 2026, limited Republican infrastructure and fundraising in the district leave few near-term catalysts for a shift. Late developments such as a major scandal, incumbent health event, or unusually strong national Republican tailwinds could narrow the gap, though structural factors continue to favor the Democratic hold.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$3,887结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The strong Democratic lean of Oregon’s 3rd congressional district, anchored in eastern Portland and surrounding areas, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 93.5%. Incumbent Maxine Dexter secured her party’s nomination with roughly 90% in the May 19, 2026 primary against limited opposition, while Republican Loran Ayles advanced unopposed. Cook Political Report rates the seat Solid Democratic, consistent with historical margins exceeding 30 points. With the general election scheduled for November 3, 2026, limited Republican infrastructure and fundraising in the district leave few near-term catalysts for a shift. Late developments such as a major scandal, incumbent health event, or unusually strong national Republican tailwinds could narrow the gap, though structural factors continue to favor the Democratic hold.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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