Democratic nominee Amish Shah holds a substantial edge over Republican Jay Feely in the open Arizona 1st District race, reflecting the seat’s swing character and trader assessment of the post-primary matchup. Incumbent Republican David Schweikert’s decision to run for governor instead of reelection created an open seat in a suburban Phoenix-Scottsdale district that Trump carried by three points in 2024. Shah, the 2024 Democratic nominee who narrowly lost to Schweikert, defeated the DCCC-backed candidate in the July primary and brings residual name recognition. Feely, a former NFL kicker endorsed by President Trump, prevailed in a competitive Republican primary but enters the general as a political newcomer. With the November 3 general election two months away, the race remains among the most closely watched House contests.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-03
民主党
76%
共和党
26%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
民主党
$5,615 交易量
76%
共和党
$1,120 交易量
26%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic nominee Amish Shah holds a substantial edge over Republican Jay Feely in the open Arizona 1st District race, reflecting the seat’s swing character and trader assessment of the post-primary matchup. Incumbent Republican David Schweikert’s decision to run for governor instead of reelection created an open seat in a suburban Phoenix-Scottsdale district that Trump carried by three points in 2024. Shah, the 2024 Democratic nominee who narrowly lost to Schweikert, defeated the DCCC-backed candidate in the July primary and brings residual name recognition. Feely, a former NFL kicker endorsed by President Trump, prevailed in a competitive Republican primary but enters the general as a political newcomer. With the November 3 general election two months away, the race remains among the most closely watched House contests.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Dec 16, 2025, 11:39 AM ET
交易量
$6,736结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 11:39 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic nominee Amish Shah holds a substantial edge over Republican Jay Feely in the open Arizona 1st District race, reflecting the seat’s swing character and trader assessment of the post-primary matchup. Incumbent Republican David Schweikert’s decision to run for governor instead of reelection created an open seat in a suburban Phoenix-Scottsdale district that Trump carried by three points in 2024. Shah, the 2024 Democratic nominee who narrowly lost to Schweikert, defeated the DCCC-backed candidate in the July primary and brings residual name recognition. Feely, a former NFL kicker endorsed by President Trump, prevailed in a competitive Republican primary but enters the general as a political newcomer. With the November 3 general election two months away, the race remains among the most closely watched House contests.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$6,736结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 11:39 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Democratic nominee Amish Shah holds a substantial edge over Republican Jay Feely in the open Arizona 1st District race, reflecting the seat’s swing character and trader assessment of the post-primary matchup. Incumbent Republican David Schweikert’s decision to run for governor instead of reelection created an open seat in a suburban Phoenix-Scottsdale district that Trump carried by three points in 2024. Shah, the 2024 Democratic nominee who narrowly lost to Schweikert, defeated the DCCC-backed candidate in the July primary and brings residual name recognition. Feely, a former NFL kicker endorsed by President Trump, prevailed in a competitive Republican primary but enters the general as a political newcomer. With the November 3 general election two months away, the race remains among the most closely watched House contests.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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