The open Guelph mayoral contest, set for October 26, 2026, features six certified candidates after nominations closed on August 21, following incumbent Mayor Cam Guthrie’s decision not to seek a fourth term. Sitting councillors Leanne Caron and Ken Yee Chew, both with recent council experience, lead trader pricing, while Ryan Meunier, Rajee Sinha, John Edward Krusky, and Evaristo Ramos Jr. trail. The closely matched probabilities reflect the absence of public polling, the late finalization of the field, and limited differentiation on core local issues such as housing affordability, infrastructure, and municipal finances. Upcoming campaign activities—including candidate town halls, platform releases, and advance voting from October 10–18—could shift momentum by clarifying voter priorities and turnout patterns in this at-large race.