Democratic challenger Janelle Stelson holds a clear edge in the Pennsylvania 10th district race, reflecting trader views of her strong positioning against Republican incumbent Scott Perry. The rematch follows Stelson’s narrow 2024 loss by roughly one point in this Harrisburg- and York-centered swing district. She secured the Democratic nomination decisively in the May 2026 primary and maintains a significant fundraising advantage, while nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as a toss-up or lean Democratic. Perry won his primary unopposed but faces headwinds in a district that has trended competitive in recent cycles. The November 3 general election remains the key resolution point, with limited new developments since the primaries sustaining the current market consensus.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-03
民主党
77%
共和党
22%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
民主党
$3,127 交易量
77%
共和党
$2,682 交易量
22%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic challenger Janelle Stelson holds a clear edge in the Pennsylvania 10th district race, reflecting trader views of her strong positioning against Republican incumbent Scott Perry. The rematch follows Stelson’s narrow 2024 loss by roughly one point in this Harrisburg- and York-centered swing district. She secured the Democratic nomination decisively in the May 2026 primary and maintains a significant fundraising advantage, while nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as a toss-up or lean Democratic. Perry won his primary unopposed but faces headwinds in a district that has trended competitive in recent cycles. The November 3 general election remains the key resolution point, with limited new developments since the primaries sustaining the current market consensus.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ET
交易量
$5,810结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic challenger Janelle Stelson holds a clear edge in the Pennsylvania 10th district race, reflecting trader views of her strong positioning against Republican incumbent Scott Perry. The rematch follows Stelson’s narrow 2024 loss by roughly one point in this Harrisburg- and York-centered swing district. She secured the Democratic nomination decisively in the May 2026 primary and maintains a significant fundraising advantage, while nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as a toss-up or lean Democratic. Perry won his primary unopposed but faces headwinds in a district that has trended competitive in recent cycles. The November 3 general election remains the key resolution point, with limited new developments since the primaries sustaining the current market consensus.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$5,810结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ETDemocratic challenger Janelle Stelson holds a clear edge in the Pennsylvania 10th district race, reflecting trader views of her strong positioning against Republican incumbent Scott Perry. The rematch follows Stelson’s narrow 2024 loss by roughly one point in this Harrisburg- and York-centered swing district. She secured the Democratic nomination decisively in the May 2026 primary and maintains a significant fundraising advantage, while nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as a toss-up or lean Democratic. Perry won his primary unopposed but faces headwinds in a district that has trended competitive in recent cycles. The November 3 general election remains the key resolution point, with limited new developments since the primaries sustaining the current market consensus.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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